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B Composite 71.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

None · Chicago Heights, IL 60411
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 730 sqft · SingleFamily · 41 Days on market
Built 1908 Poor condition Est $78k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Built 1908
  • Listed 41 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property sold as-is; marketed as an investor special with rehab potential; Living area source: Landlord/Tenant/Seller
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Raised ranch style; Fee simple ownership; Age: 100+ years; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions listed as 3100

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (10 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom on the main level (7 x 12); Two additional main-level bedrooms (each 7 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $870 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 6.4% in Chicago Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#339 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Bloom Twp Hsd 206 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #591 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Chicago Heights Middle School (math 9% / reading 24%, grade F, #482 of 665 statewide, top 73%, 940 students, 0% FRL); Bloom High School (math 7% / reading 8%, grade F, #589 of 693 statewide, top 86%, 1,737 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $67,900 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.45%
Cap rate
21.20%
Cash-on-cash
53.24%
DSCR
3.37
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$78,110
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1230 Lincoln Ave 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 725 (-1%) 20mo $77,400 $107 65
1212 Center Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 809 (+11%) 4mo $160,000 $198 64
1309 Portland Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 640 (-12%) 14mo $40,000 $63 46
1635 Oak St Unit 1B 0.57mi 2/1.5 (-1) 792 (+8%) 10mo $80,000 $101 44
1313 Vincennes Ave 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (+10%) 16mo $130,000 $163 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.2%
Equity multiple
3.57×
Total profit
$50,277
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
61.6%
Equity multiple
8.27×
Total profit
$142,571
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60411

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
224
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,713 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$870

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $918 -5% $894 +0% $870 +5% $845 +10% $821
Rent -10% $734 -5% $802 +0% $870 +5% $937 +10% $1,005
Rate -1.0pp $905 -0.5pp $887 base $870 +0.5pp $851 +1.0pp $833

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $70,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $70,000 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 20 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    listed $70,000 Active
  17. 2007-09-18
    historical
  18. 2007-04-16
    listed

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,558
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,645
− Management
−$1,645
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$9,911
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,379
After-tax cash flow
$8,057/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

The property is in a poor condition with an abandoned building and overgrown vegetation. Significant repairs and maintenance are needed to improve its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Abandoned building — Structural damage and overgrown vegetation
  • Major Overgrown vegetation — Safety hazard and poor curb appeal

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Clearing overgrown vegetation — Improves safety and curb appeal
  • Both Structural repairs to abandoned building — Safety hazard and potential for redevelopment

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Abandoned building · Structural damage and overgrown vegetation Major $15,000–50,000
Overgrown vegetation · Safety hazard and poor curb appeal Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Clearing overgrown vegetation — Improves safety and curb appeal
  • Both Structural repairs to abandoned building — Safety hazard and potential for redevelopment

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bloom Twp Hsd 206
NCES district ID
1706420
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$39,795
Composite
7.4/100
National rank
#9952
State rank
#591 of 620 in IL

Livability — Chicago Heights

Score
71/100
State rank
#339
US rank
#6836

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chicago Heights, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
52,175
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
52,175
Household income
$62,073
Rent vs Own
34.8% rent · 65.2% own
Severe rent burden
1714.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.75%
Current HPI
212.4058
Rent YoY
▲ 6.48%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $70,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-09-18 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-16 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…