77 S Zinns Mill Rd · Quentin, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.4/30.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * * * Offer Deadline, May 5 at 7pm * * * * Attention investors and buyers seeking an opportunity to build equity—this property is full of potential. Situated on a private lot in West Cornwall Township, this compact yet functional home offers a versatile layout and a great foundation for customization. The main level features two bedrooms, a spacious family room, and a generously sized kitchen. The lower level provides additional flexibility with two bonus rooms or potential bedrooms, along with a dedicated laundry area and workshop space. Recent updates include a new oil furnace and a Kinetico water softener system. While the interior is ready for updates, it presents a valua
Key facts
- Workshop space
- Private lot
- Versatile layout
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport with 2 spaces; Driveway with 4 spaces; Total of 6 garage and parking spaces; Shared driveway; Crushed stone/gravel driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Above-ground utilities; Municipal trash not provided
- Home design: Detached structure
- Construction: Block, frame, brick veneer and vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation and crawl space; Year built (assessor source)
- Exterior features: Backs to trees; Private, rear yard; Landlocked; Deck(s); Shed; Above grade and below grade other structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; Two bedrooms on the lower level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Oil heating fuel; Window air conditioning units (electric)
- Interior features: Paneled and plaster walls; Partially finished basement with workshop and drain; Building not winterized; Not furnished; Grab bars (modified)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in the basement; Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-311 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $125k (30.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (36.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (36.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,103 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Cornwall-Lebanon SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #219 of 539 in PA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cornwall El Sch (math 46% / reading 70%, grade C+, #430 of 1,518 statewide, top 29%, 534 students, 33% FRL); Cedar Crest Ms (math 24% / reading 59%, grade F, #234 of 512 statewide, top 47%, 1,302 students, 44% FRL); Cedar Crest Hs (math 77% / reading 34%, grade C, #93 of 437 statewide, top 22%, 1,633 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 315 units permitted in Lebanon County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Lebanon County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.41%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 13.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $234,762
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- -23.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,877
- Equity at exit
- $80,936
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $34,472
- Equity at exit
- $124,732
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17083
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 13.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,148 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$199 /mo · $2,393/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $-311
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-209 | -5% $-260 | +0% $-311 | +5% $-362 | +10% $-413 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-402 | -5% $-356 | +0% $-311 | +5% $-266 | +10% $-220 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-220 | -0.5pp $-265 | base $-311 | +0.5pp $-358 | +1.0pp $-405 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 906-char remark
-
2026-05-01$180,000 Active 906-char remark
-
1970-08-13soldstatus $8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,393 · $199/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,618 · $218/mo
- Expected delta
- +$226/yr (+$19/mo · 9.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,782
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,393
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,103
- − Management
- −$1,103
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$7,035
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,688
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,044/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cornwall-Lebanon SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206840
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,483
- Composite
- 41.0/100
- National rank
- #3589
- State rank
- #219 of 539 in PA
Livability — Quentin
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #1103
- US rank
- #12499
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Quentin, PA
Population outlook (Lebanon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,806 people
- By 2030
- 147,534 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 152,952 · +5.6%
- By 2050
- 159,406 · +10.1%
- By 2075
- 181,736 · +25.5%
- By 2100
- 198,402 · +37.0%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+2150.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1970-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2026): $2,393 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…