🏷️ Likely Rental
182 Mountain Rd · Indian Mountain Lake, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$2,100
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Estate Sale - 3 bedrooms, plus attached garage in amenity-filled and STR-friendly community, Vinyl siding and fenced back yard. House needs some work and being sold in ''as-is'' condition.
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1984
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Annual association fee of $1,350
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage; Driveway
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story; Vinyl siding; Shingle and wood roof; Block foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Block foundation; Shingle and wood roof; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Deck; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Resilient flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Dining area; Separate/formal dining room; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $2k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
- Cap rate 881.4% vs local median 4.7% in Indian Mountain Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,349 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Jim Thorpe Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #394 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 453 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $15 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $61 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $588 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 100.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 881.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3125.48%
- DSCR
- 140.07
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $215,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 182 Mountain Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 2mo | $162,500 | $169 | 98 |
| 23 Willow Way | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+5%) | 0mo | $188,000 | $187 | 70 |
| 101 Mohawk Trl | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $188 | 67 |
| 102 Shore Dr | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-6%) | 9mo | $217,900 | $242 | 62 |
| 193 N Shore Dr | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (+6%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $113 | 61 |
| 120 Penn Forest Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 14mo | $215,000 | $224 | 61 |
| 29 Long Brook Way | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 960 (0%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $214 | 59 |
| 66 Hunter Ln | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (+2%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $235 | 54 |
| 103 Sycamore Cir | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,009 (+5%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $243 | 52 |
| 109 Sycamore Cir | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 992 (+3%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $227 | 49 |
| 86 Penn Forest Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-5%) | 13mo | $183,000 | $201 | 46 |
| 186 Buckhill Rd | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-10%) | 21mo | $200,000 | $231 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 166.50×
- Total profit
- $97,312
- Equity at exit
- $324
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 359.43×
- Total profit
- $210,757
- Equity at exit
- $200
Cash invested: $588 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18210
- Home prices YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 453
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$11
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$3 /mo · $32/yr
- Insurance
- −$1
- HOA
- −$113
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$441
- Net cashflow
- $1,531
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,533 | -5% $1,532 | +0% $1,531 | +5% $1,531 | +10% $1,530 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,366 | -5% $1,449 | +0% $1,531 | +5% $1,614 | +10% $1,697 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,533 | -0.5pp $1,532 | base $1,531 | +0.5pp $1,531 | +1.0pp $1,530 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $525
- Closing costs
- $63
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 182 Mountain Rd Albrightsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,100 | $2.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.02mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $113 · $1,356/yr
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-06-14$2,100 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$118
- − Property taxes
- −$32
- − Insurance
- −$10
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,016
- − Management
- −$2,016
- − HOA
- −$1,356
- − Depreciation
- −$61
- Taxable income
- $19,591
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,702
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,676/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jim Thorpe Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212540
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,476
- Composite
- 31.42/100
- National rank
- #5988
- State rank
- #394 of 539 in PA
Livability — Indian Mountain Lake
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #1349
- US rank
- #16713
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indian Mountain Lake, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,879
Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,643 people
- By 2030
- 59,840 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 55,413 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 50,843 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 43,326 · -29.7%
- By 2100
- 37,126 · -39.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Russian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carbon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.89%
- Current HPI
- 203.8099
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-97.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed for Rent $2,100 PMAR
- 2026-06-11 Listed $2,100 GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $162,500 Public Records
- 2026-04-24 Sold (MLS) $162,500 PMAR
- 2026-04-03 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-03-30 Listed $195,000 PMAR
- 2015-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 2015-10-09 Sold (MLS) $69,000 PMAR
- 2015-05-06 Listed $74,900 PMAR
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2026): $2,029 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…