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275 Beechwood
D+ Composite 48.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$70,995

275 Beechwood · Warsaw, KY 41095
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,001 sqft · Manufactured · 36 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition $400/mo HOA · 38% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Just Listed! 218 Beechwood 2026 Champion Prime Vertex - 3 Bed, 2 Bath Built for modern, low maintenance living, this brand new single width Vertex model features a well balanced 16×66' layout with an open living space, contemporary kitchen, and three comfortable bedrooms. The bright interior, clean finishes, and efficient design make this home both practical and inviting from day one. Community amenities include a clubhouse, pond, picnic area, and very quiet streets.

Key facts

  • Contemporary kitchen
  • Clubhouse
  • Pond

Tags

MODERN LOW MAINTENANCE LIVINGOPEN LIVING SPACECONTEMPORARY KITCHENCOMMUNITY AMENITIESCLUBHOUSEPOND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Address: 275 Beechwood, Warsaw KY 41095; Listing status: Active; Last updated: 2026-05-13
  • Financial info: List price $70,995
  • HOA & community: Association fee of 400

Exterior

  • Home design: Spec inventory, plan name: Vertex (Asbury Pointe)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (full)
  • Interior features: Living area of 1,001

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $71k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-788/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $61k (13.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $71k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#376 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Gallatin County (rural): math 20% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #137 of 165 in KY (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 56 units permitted in Gallatin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($491 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • Gallatin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 38% of rent.
Recommended offer $61,494 (13.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
5.18%
Cash-on-cash
-3.96%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$27,029
Equity at exit
$55,749
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
5.13×
Total profit
$82,166
Equity at exit
$112,436

Cash invested: $19,879 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41095

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,044 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$372
Tax est. 1.5%
$89 /mo · $1,065/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$400
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$-66

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,127
Max offer price $61,494
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,749
Closing costs
$2,130
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$400 · $4,800/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,995 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,995 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,995 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,995 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,995 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $70,995 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,995 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,995 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,995 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,995 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $70,995 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,995 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,995 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,995 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,995 Active 17 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,531
− Mortgage interest
−$3,977
− Property taxes
−$1,065
− Insurance
−$355
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,002
− Management
−$1,002
− HOA
−$4,800
− Depreciation
−$2,065
Taxable loss
−$1,736
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$417
After-tax cash flow
$-371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-width Vertex model is in good condition with modern finishes and efficient design, making it a practical and inviting home. Minor exterior painting and landscaping improvements can further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced curb appeal and increased property value.
  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced curb appeal and increased property value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced curb appeal and increased property value.
  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced curb appeal and increased property value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gallatin County
NCES district ID
2102130
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$46,041
Composite
22.05/100
National rank
#8195
State rank
#137 of 165 in KY

Livability — Warsaw

Score
61/100
State rank
#376
US rank
#17814

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,775

Population outlook (Gallatin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,658 people
By 2030
8,616 · -0.5%
By 2040
8,410 · -2.9%
By 2050
8,140 · -6.0%
By 2075
7,308 · -15.6%
By 2100
6,671 · -22.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Gallatin

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.9) · D 19.4% · R 79.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-42.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.6pp · 2024: -59.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.9 2020: R+55.4 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.37%
Current HPI
293.2896
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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