3717 S Taft Hill Rd S #70 · Fort Collins, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Make Offer! Seller has to move. Great Location! Lot Rent $711. North end of park. Fewer neighbors. 16x16 Beautiful Deck off back! Clean well cared for Doublewide MH. Trim molding throughout home and matching baseboards. White appliances, Alluminum siding. Saloon doors to laundryroom. Newer carpeting & paint. Blanco porceline kitchen sink 33x22. Gas Range, Ref, Washer/Dryer. Hardwood floors. Application with Sun Communities.
Key facts
- Real drywall
- 16 by 16 deck
- No rear neighbors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Timber Ridge North Mobile Home Park (directions: west side of S Taft Hill Rd between Harmony and Horsetooth; very north end of park on Wyoming Street)
- HOA & community: No association fees or transfer fees
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No designated parking features
- Utilities: City water with meter; Natural gas available (Xcel Energy); Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Trash service included in monthly lease payment
- Home design: Manufactured in park; Mobile home
- Construction: Metal siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Storage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Separate dining room; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 2.6% in Fort Collins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#11 in CO, #1,750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Olander Elementary School (math 34% / reading 62%, grade D, #232 of 966 statewide, top 25%, 343 students, 40% FRL); Rocky Mountain High School (math 46% / reading 69%, grade C, #68 of 381 statewide, top 18%, 2,069 students, 27% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.13%
- DSCR
- 2.56
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,712
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2300 W County Road 38e #72 | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (0%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $83 | 63 |
| 2300 W County Road 38 Rd E #242 | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-7%) | 4mo | $123,000 | $84 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $41,562
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 35.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.04×
- Total profit
- $106,516
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80526
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,228 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $338/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$468
- Net cashflow
- $1,025
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,095 | -5% $1,060 | +0% $1,025 | +5% $989 | +10% $954 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $849 | -5% $937 | +0% $1,025 | +5% $1,113 | +10% $1,201 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,088 | -0.5pp $1,056 | base $1,025 | +0.5pp $992 | +1.0pp $959 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4109 Red Fox Rd Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4400 Vista Dr Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1901 | $2,595 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2828 Silverplume Dr Unit N-1 Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1983 | $1,885 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1020 Wabash St Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 883 | $2,142 | $2.42 | 14d | 12 | 1.19mi |
| 1212 Raintree Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1048 | $2,235 | $2.13 | 14d | 14 | 1.36mi |
| 3525 Tradition Dr Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1716 | $2,450 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 737 Butte Pass Dr Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,795 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1775 Ashlar DR Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1071 | $2,664 | $2.49 | 14d | 2 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-09status $125,000 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-15$125,000 Active
-
2022-10-17soldstatus $132,000 Sold 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
Make Offer! Seller has to move. Great Location! Lot Rent $711. North end of park. Fewer neighbors. 16x16 Beautiful Deck off back! Clean well cared for Doublewide MH. Trim molding throughout home and matching baseboards. White appliances, Alluminum siding. Saloon doors to laundryroom. Newer carpeting & paint. Blanco porceline kitchen sink 33x22. Gas Range, Ref, Washer/Dryer. Hardwood floors. Application with Sun Communities.
-
2022-09-28status Pending 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
Make Offer! Seller has to move. Great Location! Lot Rent $711. North end of park. Fewer neighbors. 16x16 Beautiful Deck off back! Clean well cared for Doublewide MH. Trim molding throughout home and matching baseboards. White appliances, Alluminum siding. Saloon doors to laundryroom. Newer carpeting & paint. Blanco porceline kitchen sink 33x22. Gas Range, Ref, Washer/Dryer. Hardwood floors. Application with Sun Communities.
-
2022-09-14price $132,000 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
Make Offer! Seller has to move. Great Location! Lot Rent $711. North end of park. Fewer neighbors. 16x16 Beautiful Deck off back! Clean well cared for Doublewide MH. Trim molding throughout home and matching baseboards. White appliances, Alluminum siding. Saloon doors to laundryroom. Newer carpeting & paint. Blanco porceline kitchen sink 33x22. Gas Range, Ref, Washer/Dryer. Hardwood floors. Application with Sun Communities.
-
2022-09-08price $142,000 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
Make Offer! Seller has to move. Great Location! Lot Rent $711. North end of park. Fewer neighbors. 16x16 Beautiful Deck off back! Clean well cared for Doublewide MH. Trim molding throughout home and matching baseboards. White appliances, Alluminum siding. Saloon doors to laundryroom. Newer carpeting & paint. Blanco porceline kitchen sink 33x22. Gas Range, Ref, Washer/Dryer. Hardwood floors. Application with Sun Communities.
-
2022-09-06$150,000 Active 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
Make Offer! Seller has to move. Great Location! Lot Rent $711. North end of park. Fewer neighbors. 16x16 Beautiful Deck off back! Clean well cared for Doublewide MH. Trim molding throughout home and matching baseboards. White appliances, Alluminum siding. Saloon doors to laundryroom. Newer carpeting & paint. Blanco porceline kitchen sink 33x22. Gas Range, Ref, Washer/Dryer. Hardwood floors. Application with Sun Communities.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $338 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $688 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$350/yr (+$29/mo · 103.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$338
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,139
- − Management
- −$2,139
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $10,861
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,607
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,690/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poudre School District R-1
- NCES district ID
- 0803990
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,281
- Composite
- 45.5/100
- National rank
- #2610
- State rank
- #10 of 86 in CO
Livability — Fort Collins
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #1750
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Larimer County · 338,255 people
- City population
- 202,303
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,326
- Household income
- $88,686
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2386.0
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 4% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -437.47%
- Current HPI
- 280.4791
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.46%
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-16.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $125,000 IRES
- 2022-10-17 Sold (MLS) $132,000 IRES
- 2022-09-28 Pending — IRES
- 2022-09-14 Price Changed $132,000 IRES
- 2022-09-08 Price Changed $142,000 IRES
- 2022-09-06 Listed $150,000 IRES
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $338 · +247.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…