5838 Highway 42 · Morrow, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! This Home Is Perfect For A First Time Buyer or Rental! Brick Ranch With Easy Access To I-75 and I-675 - 3 Bedroom 1 Full Bath - Original REAL Hardwood Floors Throughout (even under carpet) and Open Floor Plan Offer Great Flow and So Many Possibilities - Fireplace - Move In Ready With Room To Update and Personalize - Easy FHA and VA Financing Available - Quick Commute Options and Prime Ellenwood Setting - Possible Future Commercial Great Investment - Call Agent Today For A Private Showing
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Easy access to i-675
- Move in ready
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Accepted financing: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Parking pad; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Phone service available
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); Resale property; Built in 1960
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Partial unfinished basement (dirt floor)
- Exterior features: Level lot; Back yard with chain-link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Laundry area located in the kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: One-level layout; Public-record living area of 1,075 (above grade); Basement is partial, unfinished with a dirt floor; Masonry fireplace in the family room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $547 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.9% in Morrow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#229 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
- Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: East Clayton Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,032 of 1,228 statewide, top 85%, 632 students, 90% FRL); Adamson Middle School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #319 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 557 students, 90% FRL); Morrow High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #277 of 424 statewide, top 67%, 1,980 students, 91% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $150k implies a 466% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.64%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $234,477
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -25.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5827 Northspring Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,201 (+12%) | 18mo | $190,000 | $158 | 43 |
| 5791 Cobbrook Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,201 (+12%) | 12mo | $201,000 | $167 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $13,410
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $68,662
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30294
- Home prices YoY
- -25.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 254
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,826 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $553/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $547
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $632 | -5% $590 | +0% $547 | +5% $505 | +10% $463 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $403 | -5% $475 | +0% $547 | +5% $620 | +10% $692 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $623 | -0.5pp $586 | base $547 | +0.5pp $509 | +1.0pp $469 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5704 Wesson Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,710 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6068 Monica Dr Morrow, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5958 Sherwood Pl Unit 5958 Ellenwood, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $995 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5958 Sherwood Pl Ellenwood, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $995 | $0.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6043 Deerfield Ct Morrow, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,741 | $1.27 | 0d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2445 Rex Rd Ellenwood, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1149 | $1,569 | $1.37 | 0d | 10 | 0.90mi |
| 2690 Lake Harbin Rd Morrow, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,653 | $1.69 | 0d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6010 Fairfield Dr Morrow, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1246 | $1,841 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5720 Buck Ct Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,850 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5731 Buck Ct Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,525 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 6498 Menlo Way Rex, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1246 | $1,895 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6494 Bobolink Ct Rex, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,630 | $1.24 | 0d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2260 Hammond Ct Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,850 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6424 Monica Dr Morrow, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,400 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6511 Mill Ct Morrow, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $1,881 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 6593 Sleepy Hollow Ln Morrow, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 6572 Sleepy Hollow Ln Morrow, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5248 Katherine Village Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1364 | $1,995 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01statusdays on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Price Change 3 DOM
-
2026-04-07$175,000 New 522-char remark
-
2026-04-07historical
-
2026-01-15historical
-
2026-01-15historical
-
2026-01-14$175,000 New
-
2026-01-14$175,000 New
-
2026-01-09price $175,000
-
2026-01-09$285,000 New
-
2026-01-08historical
-
2026-01-07price $175,000
-
2025-10-01price $180,000
-
2025-09-02price $185,000
-
2025-08-12$200,000 New
-
1978-06-01soldstatus $26,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $553 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,380 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$827/yr (+$69/mo · 149.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,914
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$553
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,753
- − Management
- −$1,753
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $4,338
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,041
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,528/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clayton County
- NCES district ID
- 1301230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,266
- Composite
- 13.41/100
- National rank
- #9527
- State rank
- #155 of 174 in GA
Livability — Morrow
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #13314
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Henry County · 316,359 people
- City population
- 28,693
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,983
- Household income
- $79,762
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 864.0
Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 310,777 people
- By 2030
- 329,762 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 368,052 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 401,196 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 472,488 · +52.0%
- By 2100
- 500,446 · +61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% White 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clayton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+69.2) · D 84.3% · R 15.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 66.4pp · 2024: 69.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+69.2 2020: D+70.9 2016: D+71.9 2012: D+70.1 2008: D+66.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.99%
- Current HPI
- 213.1999
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.56%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+466.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $150,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-28 Listed $160,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $175,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-15 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-01-15 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $175,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $175,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $175,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $285,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-08 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $175,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $180,000 GAMLS
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $185,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-12 Listed $200,000 GAMLS
- 1978-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $553 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…