CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
8893 E Sanders Rd
C- Composite 54.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

8893 E Sanders Rd · Winn, MI 48891
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1980 1.82 ac lot $103/sqft · 43% below area Est $166k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome To 8893 E Sanders Rd - This Well-Maintained Home Sits On Almost 2 Acres And Offers Peaceful Country Living With Plenty Of Space. The Property Features A 24x24 Pole Barn With Cement Flooring, Perfect For Storage Or A Workshop. The Home Has Been Well Cared For And Includes A Ramp For Easy Handicap Access, Adding Extra Convenience And Accessibility.

Key facts

  • Cement flooring
  • 24x24 pole barn
  • 1.82 acre lot

Tags

24X24 POLE BARNCEMENT FLOORINGRAMP FOR EASY HANDICAP ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($972/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $93k (1.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Vestaburg Community Schools (rural): math 33% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #459 of 760 in MI (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 273 units permitted in Montcalm County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montcalm County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.66%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$166,025
List price
$95,000
Delta
-42.78%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8937 E Sanders Rd 0.05mi 3/2.0 (+1) 910 (-2%) 2mo $151,900 $167 88
8937 E Sanders Rd 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 910 (-2%) 2mo $151,900 $167 81

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.5%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-10,219
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,195
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48891

Home prices YoY
-25.1%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$934 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $147 -5% $114 +0% $81 +5% $48 +10% $15
Rent -10% $7 -5% $44 +0% $81 +5% $118 +10% $155
Rate -1.0pp $129 -0.5pp $105 base $81 +0.5pp $56 +1.0pp $31

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $95,000 Pending 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
  5. 2026-04-09
    listed $99,000 Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Welcome To 8893 E Sanders Rd - This Well-Maintained Home Sits On Almost 2 Acres And Offers Peaceful Country Living With Plenty Of Space. The Property Features A 24x24 Pole Barn With Cement Flooring, Perfect For Storage Or A Workshop. The Home Has Been Well Cared For And Includes A Ramp For Easy Handicap Access, Adding Extra Convenience And Accessibility.

  6. 2026-04-09
    listed $99,000 Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Welcome To 8893 E Sanders Rd - This Well-Maintained Home Sits On Almost 2 Acres And Offers Peaceful Country Living With Plenty Of Space. The Property Features A 24x24 Pole Barn With Cement Flooring, Perfect For Storage Or A Workshop. The Home Has Been Well Cared For And Includes A Ramp For Easy Handicap Access, Adding Extra Convenience And Accessibility.

  7. 2026-04-09
    listed $99,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Welcome To 8893 E Sanders Rd - This Well-Maintained Home Sits On Almost 2 Acres And Offers Peaceful Country Living With Plenty Of Space. The Property Features A 24x24 Pole Barn With Cement Flooring, Perfect For Storage Or A Workshop. The Home Has Been Well Cared For And Includes A Ramp For Easy Handicap Access, Adding Extra Convenience And Accessibility.

  8. 2025-12-19
    historical
  9. 2025-12-19
    historical
  10. 2025-10-14
    price $99,000
  11. 2025-10-14
    price $99,000
  12. 2025-10-14
    price $99,000
  13. 2025-08-23
    listed $105,000 Active
  14. 2025-08-22
    listed $105,000 Active
  15. 2024-01-03
    soldstatus $65,000
  16. 2023-12-20
    soldstatus $65,000 Sold
  17. 2023-12-20
    soldstatus $65,000 Sold
  18. 2023-12-20
    soldstatus $65,000 Closed
  19. 2023-12-20
    soldstatus $65,000 Closed
  20. 2023-12-20
    soldstatus $65,000 Sold
  21. 2023-12-12
    status Pending
  22. 2023-12-12
    status Pending
  23. 2023-12-11
    status Pending
  24. 2023-12-11
    status Pending
  25. 2023-12-11
    status Pending
  26. 2023-12-11
    listed $75,000 Active
  27. 2023-12-11
    listed $75,000 Active
  28. 2023-12-11
    listed $75,000 Active
  29. 2023-12-11
    listed $75,000 Active
  30. 2023-12-11
    listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,203
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$896
− Management
−$896
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable loss
−$574
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$138
After-tax cash flow
$1,110/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vestaburg Community Schools
NCES district ID
2634920
Math proficiency
33% ▲ 9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$43,346
Composite
32.34/100
National rank
#10890
State rank
#459 of 760 in MI

Livability — Winn

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
218
Population (ZIP)
2,923

Population outlook (Montcalm County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,011 people
By 2030
59,467 · -2.5%
By 2040
55,427 · -9.2%
By 2050
50,517 · -17.2%
By 2075
38,731 · -36.5%
By 2100
26,770 · -56.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montcalm

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.0) · D 29.8% · R 68.7% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-38.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: -39.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.0 2020: R+37.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+0.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.90%
Current HPI
208.6966
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+32.0% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $99,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $99,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-08-23 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-22 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2023-12-20 Sold (MLS) $65,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-12-20 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-12-20 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-12-20 Sold (MLS) $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-12-20 Sold (MLS) $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-12-12 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-12-12 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-12-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-12-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-12-11 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-12-11 Listed $75,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-12-11 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-12-11 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-12-11 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-12-11 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…