18900 Forrer St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom brick bungalow situated on a desirable corner lot! This move-in-ready home offers the perfect blend of classic charm and modern updates. Step inside to find fresh paint throughout, all new flooring, stylish recessed lighting, and new six-panel interior doors. The completely updated kitchen features beautiful oak wood cabinetry, a custom tile backsplash, and stainless-steel appliances. The spacious second-floor primary bedroom provides a private retreat with plenty of room for a sitting area or home office. The finished basement adds valuable living space and includes a second full bathroom, making it ideal for entertaining, a recreation room, home gym, or guest accommodations. Outside, you'll enjoy a covered rear porch overlooking the yard, a newer vinyl privacy fence, and a 2-car detached garage. The corner lot offers added privacy and curb appeal. Conveniently located near several parks and recreational destinations including Rouge Park, one of Detroit's largest parks featuring walking trails, playgrounds, sports fields, and picnic areas. Residents also enjoy easy access to Patton Park, offering athletic fields, tennis courts, and community activities. With its extensive updates, finished basement, corner-lot location, and proximity to parks and recreation, this home is a fantastic opportunity for homeowners and investors alike. Schedule your private showing today!
Key facts
- Oak wood cabinetry
- Finished basement
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half levels; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.14 acres (40 x 140.18)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace in the living room; Finished full basement; 7 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($425/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (13.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $138k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $160k implies a 433% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.95%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,856
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18435 Robson St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-1%) | 0mo | $86,000 | $93 | 76 |
| 18460 Winthrop St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,002 (+7%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $65 | 73 |
| 19142 Murray Hill St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 907 (-3%) | 8mo | $87,000 | $96 | 72 |
| 19165 Rutherford St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,013 (+8%) | 6mo | $43,500 | $43 | 70 |
| 19348 Montrose St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 990 (+6%) | 5mo | $145,900 | $147 | 70 |
| 18937 Lindsay St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 951 (+2%) | 2mo | $59,000 | $62 | 68 |
| 19215 Winthrop St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,030 (+10%) | 6mo | $137,000 | $133 | 65 |
| 19132 Gilchrist St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 916 (-2%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $93 | 64 |
| 19152 Whitcomb St | 0.32mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,012 (+8%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $109 | 63 |
| 17552 Ferguson St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 957 (+2%) | 5mo | $43,000 | $45 | 60 |
| 19966 Prevost St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 890 (-5%) | 7mo | $130,000 | $146 | 53 |
| 18277 Asbury Park | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,038 (+11%) | 7mo | $123,500 | $119 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-23,312
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-15,986
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48235
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 283
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,384 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$153 /mo · $1,834/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $126 | -5% $81 | +0% $35 | +5% $-10 | +10% $-55 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-74 | -5% $-19 | +0% $35 | +5% $90 | +10% $145 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $116 | -0.5pp $76 | base $35 | +0.5pp $-6 | +1.0pp $-48 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18481 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 20d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 18427 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $980 | $1.03 | 5d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 18400 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 18268 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 19440 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 19467 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 18276 Oakfield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,175 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 19736 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $995 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 17165 Prevost St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $2,400 | $2.26 | 2d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 18494 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 17d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 20210 Biltmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,350 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 19818 Fenmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,275 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 20555 Motor Dr Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,222 | $1.63 | 15d | 5 | 1.03mi |
| 20203 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 19918 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,375 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 20314 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,500 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 18010 Lesure St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,550 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 20043 Fenmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,453 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 18512 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 20259 Oakfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,250 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 19970 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 19474 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,075 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 19445 Avon Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,550 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 19329 Stahelin Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 833 | $1,250 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 20068 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 17654 Sunderland Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 20527 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,528 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 20011 Avon Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 18452 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 17d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 18699 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 18659 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $1,373 | $1.80 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $159,900 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$159,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,834 · $153/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,148 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- +$314/yr (+$26/mo · 17.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,609
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$1,834
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,329
- − Management
- −$1,329
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$2,290
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$550
- After-tax cash flow
- $975/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,600
- Household income
- $39,265
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3064.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.02%
- Current HPI
- 263.6326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+1302.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-04 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
- 2010-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2010-07-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-06-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-06-21 Listed $45,900 REALCOMP
- 2010-04-30 Listed $49,999 REALCOMP
- 2009-02-19 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-10-28 Listed $11,400 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+17.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,834 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…