1520 Orange Rd #131 · Ashland, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1985 Redman Venture. Well maintained. Open eat-in kitchen living room plan. Breakfast bar. All appliances and electric fireplace will stay. Central air conditioning. Partially enclosed patio. Storage shed. New asphalt 2-car onsite parking.
Key facts
- Manufactured home
- New hot water tank
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed: cats and dogs
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $500 covering trash and water
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service
- Home design: Single-story home; Single-level entry
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heat; Central air
- Interior features: Central air conditioning; Baseboard heating
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $50 ($603/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($914 rent vs $25k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.8% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#373 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Ashland City (town): math 70% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #165 of 656 in OH (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 61 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashland County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 55% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.64%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $24,948
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 Harold Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (0%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $27 | 73 |
| 1520 Orange Rd Lot 35 Rd | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,012 (+10%) | 3mo | $10,200 | $10 | 72 |
| 1471 Troy Rd Lot 23 Rd | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 990 (+7%) | 2mo | $28,000 | $28 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $3,382
- Equity at exit
- $3,713
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.70×
- Total profit
- $25,762
- Equity at exit
- $2,153
Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44805
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $914 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $374/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$500
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$192
- Net cashflow
- $50
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,225
- Closing costs
- $747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 917 Birch St Ashland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 521 W 10th St Unit 521 Ashland, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 568 | $600 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 222 E Walnut St Unit 212 Ashland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $900 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 318 Quarry St Unit 4 Ashland, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $500 · $6,000/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 267-char remark
-
2026-06-18$24,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,972
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,395
- − Property taxes
- −$374
- − Insurance
- −$124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$878
- − Management
- −$878
- − HOA
- −$6,000
- − Depreciation
- −$724
- Taxable income
- $599
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$144
- After-tax cash flow
- $459/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashland City
- NCES district ID
- 3904350
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,164
- Composite
- 58.31/100
- National rank
- #1015
- State rank
- #165 of 656 in OH
Livability — Ashland
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #373
- US rank
- #6095
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashland, OH
- County
- Ashland County · 30,805 people
- City population
- 30,805
- Metro
- Ashland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,805
- Household income
- $68,299
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 706.0
Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 52,732 people
- By 2030
- 51,728 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 48,956 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 46,070 · -12.6%
- By 2075
- 38,945 · -26.1%
- By 2100
- 30,883 · -41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.5% · R 74.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -50.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.0 2020: R+48.7 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -196.79%
- Current HPI
- 201.96
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.07%
- Metro
- Ashland, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-41.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $24,900 MLSNOW
- 2023-08-17 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MARMLS
- 2023-08-16 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MLSNOW
- 2023-08-16 Sold (MLS) $28,000 ABOR
- 2023-08-04 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2023-08-04 Pending — MARMLS
- 2023-07-24 Price Changed $29,900 MARMLS
- 2023-07-24 Price Changed $29,900 MLSNOW
- 2023-06-29 Price Changed $34,900 MLSNOW
- 2023-06-29 Price Changed $34,900 MARMLS
- 2023-06-18 Price Changed $39,000 MLSNOW
- 2023-06-18 Price Changed $39,000 MARMLS
- 2023-05-02 Listed $29,900 ABOR
- 2023-05-02 Listed $42,500 MARMLS
- 2023-05-01 Listed $42,500 MLSNOW
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…