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1520 Orange Rd #131
B- Composite 65.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$24,900

1520 Orange Rd #131 · Ashland, OH 44805
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1985 435 sqft lot Est $25k · at est. $500/mo HOA · 55% of rent ↓ 41% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1985 Redman Venture. Well maintained. Open eat-in kitchen living room plan. Breakfast bar. All appliances and electric fireplace will stay. Central air conditioning. Partially enclosed patio. Storage shed. New asphalt 2-car onsite parking.

Key facts

  • Manufactured home
  • New hot water tank
  • New flooring

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOMENEW FLOORINGNEW HOT WATER TANKMOVE IN READY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed: cats and dogs
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $500 covering trash and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service
  • Home design: Single-story home; Single-level entry
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Built per public records
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heat; Central air
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning; Baseboard heating
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $50 ($603/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($914 rent vs $25k).
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.8% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#373 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Ashland City (town): math 70% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #165 of 656 in OH (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 61 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ashland County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 55% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $24,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.67%
Cap rate
8.71%
Cash-on-cash
8.64%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$24,948
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
54 Harold Dr 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (0%) 4mo $25,000 $27 73
1520 Orange Rd Lot 35 Rd 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,012 (+10%) 3mo $10,200 $10 72
1471 Troy Rd Lot 23 Rd 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 990 (+7%) 2mo $28,000 $28 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$3,382
Equity at exit
$3,713
10-year hold
IRR
27.1%
Equity multiple
4.70×
Total profit
$25,762
Equity at exit
$2,153

Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44805

Rents YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$914 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $374/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$500
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$192
Net cashflow
$50

Break-even live

Break-even rent $851
Max offer price $24,900
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,225
Closing costs
$747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
917 Birch St Ashland, OH 3.0 1.0 1116 $1,175 $1.05 43d 1 0.59mi
521 W 10th St Unit 521 Ashland, OH 1.0 1.0 568 $600 $1.06 43d 1 0.88mi
222 E Walnut St Unit 212 Ashland, OH 2.0 1.0 970 $900 $0.93 43d 1 1.21mi
318 Quarry St Unit 4 Ashland, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 43d 1 1.22mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$500 · $6,000/yr
Likely covers
electric

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 267-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $24,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,972
− Mortgage interest
−$1,395
− Property taxes
−$374
− Insurance
−$124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$878
− Management
−$878
− HOA
−$6,000
− Depreciation
−$724
Taxable income
$599
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$144
After-tax cash flow
$459/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ashland City
NCES district ID
3904350
Math proficiency
70% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,164
Composite
58.31/100
National rank
#1015
State rank
#165 of 656 in OH

Livability — Ashland

Score
72/100
State rank
#373
US rank
#6095

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ashland, OH
County
Ashland County · 30,805 people
City population
30,805
Metro
Ashland, OH
Population (ZIP)
30,805
Household income
$68,299
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
706.0

Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
52,732 people
By 2030
51,728 · -1.9%
By 2040
48,956 · -7.2%
By 2050
46,070 · -12.6%
By 2075
38,945 · -26.1%
By 2100
30,883 · -41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ashland

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.5% · R 74.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -50.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.0 2020: R+48.7 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -196.79%
Current HPI
201.96
Rent YoY
▲ 7.07%
Metro
Ashland, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-41.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $24,900 MLSNOW
  • 2023-08-17 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MARMLS
  • 2023-08-16 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MLSNOW
  • 2023-08-16 Sold (MLS) $28,000 ABOR
  • 2023-08-04 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2023-08-04 Pending MARMLS
  • 2023-07-24 Price Changed $29,900 MARMLS
  • 2023-07-24 Price Changed $29,900 MLSNOW
  • 2023-06-29 Price Changed $34,900 MLSNOW
  • 2023-06-29 Price Changed $34,900 MARMLS
  • 2023-06-18 Price Changed $39,000 MLSNOW
  • 2023-06-18 Price Changed $39,000 MARMLS
  • 2023-05-02 Listed $29,900 ABOR
  • 2023-05-02 Listed $42,500 MARMLS
  • 2023-05-01 Listed $42,500 MLSNOW

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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