1828 Maple Ave · Florence, AL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.2/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 1828 Maple Ave — a move-in ready home packed with space, value, and opportunity! This freshly painted 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home sits on a rare double lot, giving you extra room that’s hard to find at this price point. Perfect for first-time buyers looking for more space without breaking the budget, or investors searching for a solid rental with strong potential. The flexible 4-bedroom layout allows room for a home office, guest space, or growing family needs. Step outside and you’ll find a 2-car garage/shop — ideal for storage, hobbies, a workshop, or even additional income possibilities. The oversized lot gives you endless options: park multiple vehicles,
Key facts
- Double lot
- Bonus room
- Carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax information available
Exterior
- Parking: Has a carport (1 carport space)
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (residential property)
- Construction: Above-grade finished area approximately 1,569
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 150 x 160 (0.55 acres); Subdivision: Elting Park
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.6% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#4 in AL, #1,140 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Florence City (urban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #44 of 129 in AL (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Harlan Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #467 of 627 statewide, top 76%, 402 students, 90% FRL); Florence Middle School (math 22% / reading 44%, grade F, #101 of 257 statewide, top 40%, 689 students, 51% FRL); Florence High School (math 28% / reading 34%, grade F, #66 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 1,034 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 164 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.80%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $194,556
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1926 Randolph St | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 1,585 (+1%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $129 | 85 |
| 504 Imperial Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,628 (+4%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $114 | 77 |
| 459 Francis Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,569 (0%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $143 | 74 |
| 1602 Chisholm Rd | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,661 (+6%) | 3mo | $202,000 | $122 | 67 |
| 208 Roosevelt Ave | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,500 (-4%) | 1mo | $219,900 | $147 | 62 |
| 2314 Haviland Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,607 (+2%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $124 | 61 |
| 2331 Mcburney Dr | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,616 (+3%) | 1mo | $219,000 | $136 | 61 |
| 541 Eugenia St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,450 (-8%) | 2mo | $268,900 | $185 | 61 |
| 407 Seymore Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+2%) | 0mo | $199,000 | $124 | 56 |
| 2332 Mcburney Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,683 (+7%) | 3mo | $187,000 | $111 | 48 |
| 319 Garfield Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,700 (+8%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $124 | 46 |
| 2314 Norwood Blvd | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,371 (-13%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $69 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-6,103
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $38,999
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35630
- Home prices YoY
- -33.7%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 268
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,733 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,630/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $234
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1413 N Pine St Florence, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,695 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2370 Roberts Ln Florence, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1716 | $1,650 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 114 Cedarcrest Dr Florence, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 602 E Tuscaloosa St Unit 602 Florence, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,600 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $164,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $164,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $164,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $164,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $164,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-22status Active
-
2026-04-08status Pending
-
2026-01-21$164,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,630 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,630 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,799
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$1,630
- − Insurance
- −$1,622
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,664
- − Management
- −$1,664
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable income
- $185
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$44
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,758/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Florence City
- NCES district ID
- 0101530
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,997
- Composite
- 29.69/100
- National rank
- #6456
- State rank
- #44 of 129 in AL
Livability — Florence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1140
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florence, AL
- County
- Lauderdale County · 47,988 people
- City population
- 34,028
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,028
- Household income
- $46,304
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1516.0
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,386 people
- By 2030
- 93,634 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 93,114 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 91,586 · -1.9%
- By 2075
- 88,667 · -5.1%
- By 2100
- 81,098 · -13.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.8% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -51.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+30.9 2008: R+28.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.78%
- Current HPI
- 206.1364
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.18%
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — SAARMLS
- 2026-04-08 Pending — SAARMLS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $164,900 SAARMLS
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,630 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…