8569 Creekwood Way · Riverdale, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent investment opportunity in the Pointe South Condo community! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhome offers a spacious great room with fireplace, a functional kitchen with eat-in area, and a private patio for outdoor enjoyment. The two-story layout features all bedrooms upstairs, providing ideal separation of space for families or tenants. Community amenities include a clubhouse and pool, with convenient access to MARTA, shopping, and major highways. Property requires some updates-great potential for added value.
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Clubhouse
- Private patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.5% in Riverdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#100 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 251 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $129k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.35%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,551
- List price
- $149,000
- Delta
- -4.21%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-9,410
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $6,545
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30238
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 251
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,735 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,587/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$139
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $256
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $340 | -5% $298 | +0% $256 | +5% $213 | +10% $171 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $119 | -5% $187 | +0% $256 | +5% $324 | +10% $393 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $331 | -0.5pp $294 | base $256 | +0.5pp $217 | +1.0pp $178 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8588 Creekwood Way Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,300 | $0.97 | 6d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 8671 Woodside Ln Jonesboro, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 8671 Woodside Ln Jonesboro, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 785 Redland Dr Jonesboro, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $1,935 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 801 Redland Dr Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,750 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 801 Redland Dr Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,725 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 634 Morton Ct Unit 636 Jonesboro, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,225 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1022 Brandon Hill Way Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,615 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 772 Pointe South Pkwy Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1202 | $1,384 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1 Lakeview Way Jonesboro, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,937 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1 Lakeview Way Jonesboro, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,531 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 8641 Thomas Ln Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1540 | $1,863 | $1.21 | 6d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 8643 Thomas Ln Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $1,818 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 8631 Thomas Ln Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $1,673 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 8609 Thomas Ln Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $1,658 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 693 Oak Dr Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,825 | $1.38 | 6d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 8644 Thomas Ln Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $1,623 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 8640 Thomas Ln Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $1,673 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 8669 Thomas Rd Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1532 | $1,623 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 8630 Thomas Rd Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $1,500 | $0.98 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 8612 Thomas Rd Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1532 | $1,623 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 100 Chase Ridge Dr Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,545 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 100 Chase Ridge Dr Riverdale, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $1,545 | $1.54 | 6d | 6 | 0.58mi |
| 8443 Cedar Creek Rdg Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $1,735 | $1.18 | 20d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 100 Chase Ridge Dr Unit 1005 Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,395 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8584 Guthrie Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 8983 Habersham Dr Jonesboro, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1770 | $1,910 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 575 Oak Trace Ct Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,761 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 8600 Cedar Creek Rdg Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1555 | $1,745 | $1.12 | 6d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 8614 Cedar Creek Rdg Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1728 | $1,500 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9039 Raven Dr Jonesboro, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,795 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 372 Cheri Pl Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1468 | $1,749 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1124 Cliftwood Dr Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1845 | $2,165 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1132 Cliftwood Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1616 | $2,200 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 432 Wesley Park Dr Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,685 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 655 Post Oak Rd Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1302 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 16d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 640 Post Oak Rd Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,780 | $1.18 | 6d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 672 Raven Ct Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,645 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 8931 Wesley Pl Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,498 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 426 Park Ridge Cir Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1578 | $1,773 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $139 · $1,668/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 37 events
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2026-06-18days on market $149,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $149,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Active
-
2026-03-27$149,000 Active
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity in the Pointe South Condo community! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhome offers a spacious great room with fireplace, a functional kitchen with eat-in area, and a private patio for outdoor enjoyment. The two-story layout features all bedrooms upstairs, providing ideal separation of space for families or tenants. Community amenities include a clubhouse and pool, with convenient access to MARTA, shopping, and major highways. Property requires some updates-great potential for added value.
-
2026-03-27$149,000 New 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity in the Pointe South Condo community! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhome offers a spacious great room with fireplace, a functional kitchen with eat-in area, and a private patio for outdoor enjoyment. The two-story layout features all bedrooms upstairs, providing ideal separation of space for families or tenants. Community amenities include a clubhouse and pool, with convenient access to MARTA, shopping, and major highways. Property requires some updates-great potential for added value.
-
2026-03-17historical
-
2026-03-17historical
-
2025-12-17$155,000 New
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2025-12-17$155,000 Active
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2025-10-29historical
-
2025-10-29historical
-
2025-10-25$90,000 Active
-
2025-10-25$90,000 New
-
2019-09-03soldstatus $128,700
-
2017-06-07soldstatus $38,000
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2016-11-03historical
-
2016-05-03$43,000 New
-
2016-04-29historical
-
2016-04-27status Back On Market
-
2016-04-12status Under Contract
-
2015-10-16$45,000 New
-
2015-09-04historical
-
2015-06-09price $44,999
-
2015-03-19$51,999 New
-
1994-09-06soldstatus $46,000
-
1981-04-24soldstatus $41,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,587 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,587 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,815
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$1,587
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,665
- − Management
- −$1,665
- − HOA
- −$1,668
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable income
- $804
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$193
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,875/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clayton County
- NCES district ID
- 1301230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,266
- Composite
- 13.41/100
- National rank
- #9527
- State rank
- #155 of 174 in GA
Livability — Riverdale
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #100
- US rank
- #7907
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Clayton County · 230,153 people
- City population
- 61,126
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,191
- Household income
- $62,185
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1992.0
Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 310,777 people
- By 2030
- 329,762 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 368,052 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 401,196 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 472,488 · +52.0%
- By 2100
- 500,446 · +61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clayton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+69.2) · D 84.3% · R 15.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 66.4pp · 2024: 69.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+69.2 2020: D+70.9 2016: D+71.9 2012: D+70.1 2008: D+66.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.48%
- Current HPI
- 211.6309
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.06%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+258.2% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $149,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $149,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-17 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2026-03-17 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-12-17 Listed $155,000 FMLS
- 2025-12-17 Listed $155,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-29 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-10-29 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-10-25 Listed $90,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-25 Listed $90,000 FMLS
- 2019-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $128,700 Public Records
- 2017-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 2016-11-03 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2016-05-03 Listed $43,000 GAMLS
- 2016-04-29 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2016-04-27 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2016-04-12 Pending — GAMLS
- 2015-10-16 Listed $45,000 GAMLS
- 2015-09-04 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2015-06-09 Price Changed $44,999 GAMLS
- 2015-03-19 Listed $51,999 GAMLS
- 1994-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 1981-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $41,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,587 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…