9790 66th St N #310 · Pinellas Park, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Impressive 1290 sq. ft. 2 or 3 bedroom, 2 bath Decorator Home, with 2 Florida Rooms to enjoy! Beautiful Corner Landscaped Lot, right across from the Clubhouse & 2 Pools! Inviting large front loaded kitchen, with updated designer cabinets! Newer Windows, New Insulated Roof Over with new gutters, and Central Air/Heat 5/24. Convenient inside Washer/Dryer, with wonderful storage & extra walk in closets! All updated interior paneled doors, New Exterior paint, Vinyl Siding & Fantastic 11x15 Workshop/Shed! So much to see! Come see this 5 Star, 55+, Fun & Active Resident Owned Clearwater Cascade Community! See www. Clearwatercascade website for park pics! Located next to gro
Key facts
- Central air heat
- Inside washer dryer
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.0% in Pinellas Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#170 in FL, #2,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.3%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.24%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $174,150
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9790 66th St N #397 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,192 (-8%) | 1mo | $207,000 | $174 | 87 |
| 9790 66th St N #468 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-11%) | 2mo | $93,000 | $81 | 80 |
| 9790 66th St N #235 | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,254 (-3%) | 14mo | $105,000 | $84 | 77 |
| 9790 66th St N #391 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (+9%) | 7mo | $213,805 | $152 | 75 |
| 9790 66th St N #61 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,107 (-14%) | 19mo | $149,000 | $135 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-18,125
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-22,010
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33782
- Rents YoY
- -5.3%
- Active inventory
- 200
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,961 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$330
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $183
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $287 | -5% $235 | +0% $183 | +5% $132 | +10% $80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $28 | -5% $106 | +0% $183 | +5% $261 | +10% $338 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $259 | -0.5pp $222 | base $183 | +0.5pp $145 | +1.0pp $105 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6388 93rd Ter Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1245 | $2,095 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7077 Versailles Unit 7077 Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,695 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 6960 Versailles Unit 6960 Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1109 | $1,695 | $1.53 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 8464 Austin Unit 8464 Pinellas Park, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,495 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 8303 Bardmoor Blvd #105 Seminole, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,800 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 8303 Bardmoor Blvd Seminole, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,850 | $2.10 | 12d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 8096 Rose Ter Seminole, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $2,000 | $2.04 | 18d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 9563 Lynn Ln Seminole, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,495 | $1.56 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 9435 Lynn Ln Unit B Seminole, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,495 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6622 83rd Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1730 | $2,500 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 6132 100th Cir N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,995 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 6641 80th Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1269 | $2,400 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5865 92nd Ave N Pinellas Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $2,400 | $2.26 | 18d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 604 Cordova Grn #604 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6740 121st Ave #6 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1118 | $1,735 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 9992 86th St Seminole, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,900 | $2.01 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 8703 Bardmoor Blvd #201 Seminole, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $3,000 | $2.79 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $330 · $3,960/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-01status Pending
-
2026-04-01status Active
-
2026-03-31historical
-
2026-02-02price $149,900
-
2025-09-26$159,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,534
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,883
- − Management
- −$1,883
- − HOA
- −$3,960
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $53
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$13
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,188/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pinellas Park
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #2546
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pinellas Park, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 50,533
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,461
- Household income
- $66,461
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 486.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 12% Two or more races 8% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 7% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -250.17%
- Current HPI
- 314.1689
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.28%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-6.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-26 Listed $159,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-11.6%/yrLatest (2025): $178 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…