1214 W Marshall St · Tulsa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$157,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Don’t miss this adorable 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with a 1-car garage and a golf course right out your back door! Featuring new flooring and a fresh, move-in-ready feel, this home offers comfort, charm, and a hard-to-find setting. Whether you’re looking for your first home, next home, or a smart investment, this property checks all the boxes!
Key facts
- 8,801 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Built using brick, vinyl siding, and wood frame; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Chain link full yard fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Stove; Dishwasher; Breakfast nook
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on first level; Additional bedrooms on first level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (hall bath with bathtub)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate counters; Electric oven and range connections; Vinyl windows
- Laundry & utility: Utility room (first level, in garage); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $158k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $635 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $158k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
- Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 113 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 89 units permitted in Osage County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,997/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 782% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Osage County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.29%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $196,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1334 N Nogales Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,304 (-0%) | 7mo | $159,900 | $123 | 78 |
| 923 N Denver Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+3%) | 2mo | $96,500 | $72 | 73 |
| 782 N Zenith Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,346 (+3%) | 1mo | $127,000 | $94 | 57 |
| 1803 W Haskell St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,336 (+2%) | 13mo | $199,900 | $150 | 55 |
| 1101 N Main St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+7%) | 8mo | $303,000 | $216 | 52 |
| 1104 N Boston Ave E | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+7%) | 6mo | $305,000 | $218 | 52 |
| 1407 N Boston Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,260 (-4%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $75 | 52 |
| 1332 N Denver Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (+12%) | 6mo | $245,500 | $167 | 51 |
| 1107 N Main St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+7%) | 10mo | $291,746 | $208 | 50 |
| 1176 W Union Pl | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,480 (+13%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $152 | 45 |
| 750 N Xenophon Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-10%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $149 | 44 |
| 1546 N Denver Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,498 (+14%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $144 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $13,780
- Equity at exit
- $23,484
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $59,395
- Equity at exit
- $13,618
Cash invested: $44,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74127
- Home prices YoY
- -20.4%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,997 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$826
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $614/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $635
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,375
- Closing costs
- $4,725
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1127 N Boston Ave Tulsa, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1745 | $2,275 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1152 N Boston Pl Tulsa, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $2,550 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 205 E Marshall St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,725 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 424 N Boulder Ave Tulsa, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1220 | $3,699 | $3.03 | 2d | 62 | 0.91mi |
| 209 N Xenophon Ave Unit B Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2521 W Cameron St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1161 | $1,295 | $1.12 | 19d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 420 E Archer St Tulsa, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1159 | $3,646 | $3.15 | 2d | 30 | 1.32mi |
| 313 E Woodrow Pl Tulsa, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1747 | $1,640 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 310 E 1st St Tulsa, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1226 | $2,870 | $2.34 | 2d | 4 | 1.42mi |
| 310 E 1st St Tulsa, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1110 | $2,870 | $2.58 | 19d | 5 | 1.42mi |
| 238 E Young Pl Unit A Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,550 | $1.52 | 16d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 238 E Young Pl Unit B Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 415 E 2nd St S Tulsa, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 807 | $2,180 | $2.70 | 2d | 28 | 1.46mi |
| 505 E 2nd St S Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $2,180 | $2.01 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 245 E Young Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $1,450 | $0.95 | 16d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 230 E Zion St Tulsa, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1857 | $1,650 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-04-24price $157,500
-
2026-04-09$165,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $614 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,418 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$804/yr (+$67/mo · 130.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,970
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,822
- − Property taxes
- −$614
- − Insurance
- −$788
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,918
- − Management
- −$1,918
- − Depreciation
- −$4,582
- Taxable income
- $5,329
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,279
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,344/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tulsa
- NCES district ID
- 4030240
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,895
- Composite
- 8.04/100
- National rank
- #9919
- State rank
- #250 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tulsa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #4058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulsa, OK
- County
- Osage County · 26,244 people
- City population
- 389,418
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,324
- Household income
- $46,373
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 782.0
Population outlook (Osage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,950 people
- By 2030
- 48,936 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 47,826 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 45,781 · -6.5%
- By 2075
- 41,140 · -16.0%
- By 2100
- 32,796 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Osage
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.4% · R 69.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -41.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.4 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+25.2 2008: R+23.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.31%
- Current HPI
- 231.5994
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.45%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-4.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $157,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-09 Listed $165,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $614 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…