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1115 S Carolina St
C- Composite 53.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.3/10.0

$124,900

1115 S Carolina St · Louisiana, MO 63353
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,304 sqft · Other public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1915 6,838 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home full of character and potential! Featuring a covered front porch, mature landscaping, and a inviting layout. This property offers the perfect canvas to make your own. Whether you're looking to add your personal touch or create your dream home, you'll appreciate the charm, potential, and possibilities this home has to offer.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Inviting layout
  • Mature landscaping

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHMATURE LANDSCAPINGINVITING LAYOUT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level / single story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Fireplace in the family room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (3.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $120k (3.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#105 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Louisiana R-II (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #227 of 324 in MO (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Louisiana Elem. (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #761 of 1,115 statewide, top 72%, 322 students, 74% FRL); Louisiana Middle (math 42% / reading 42%, grade D-, #149 of 391 statewide, top 41%, 173 students, 74% FRL); Louisiana High (math 17% / reading 44%, grade F, #373 of 521 statewide, top 72%, 226 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pike County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,000 (3.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
8.23%
Cash-on-cash
6.90%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.8%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-7,478
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$9,773
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63353

Home prices YoY
-5.0%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $477/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$201

Break-even live

Break-even rent $945
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $272 -5% $237 +0% $201 +5% $166 +10% $131
Rent -10% $106 -5% $154 +0% $201 +5% $249 +10% $296
Rate -1.0pp $264 -0.5pp $233 base $201 +0.5pp $169 +1.0pp $136

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
500 Frankford Rd Louisiana, MO 3.0 1.0 1481 $1,200 $0.81 45d 1 0.65mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    remarks 373-char remark
  9. 2026-06-12
    listed $124,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$477 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,212 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$734/yr (+$61/mo · 153.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,400
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$477
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$365
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$87
After-tax cash flow
$2,327/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Louisiana R-II
NCES district ID
2919260
Math proficiency
31% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$37,149
Composite
29.1/100
National rank
#6595
State rank
#227 of 324 in MO

Livability — Louisiana

Score
71/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#6899

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisiana, MO
Population (ZIP)
4,935

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,895 people
By 2030
17,591 · -1.7%
By 2040
17,080 · -4.6%
By 2050
16,589 · -7.3%
By 2075
14,761 · -17.5%
By 2100
11,606 · -35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.9) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
2008→2024 swing
-48.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -57.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.9 2020: R+53.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+27.3 2008: R+9.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.40%
Current HPI
180.6084
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $124,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-01-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $477 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…