157 Edgewood Dr Unit EDG157 · Asheville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,800
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as a playground, community events, and a clubhouse. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Modern bathroom
- Premium entry doors
- Built 2026
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $938 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.6% vs local median 2.4% in Asheville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#96 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F.
- Buncombe County Schools (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #72 of 178 in NC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 251 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,305 units permitted in Buncombe County in 2024 (1,855 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $586 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Buncombe County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.43%
- DSCR
- 3.11
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $41,047
- Equity at exit
- $12,644
- IRR
- 46.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.93×
- Total profit
- $93,321
- Equity at exit
- $7,332
Cash invested: $23,744 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28704
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 251
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,930 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,272/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$405
- Net cashflow
- $938
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $997 | -5% $968 | +0% $938 | +5% $909 | +10% $880 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $786 | -5% $862 | +0% $938 | +5% $1,015 | +10% $1,091 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $981 | -0.5pp $960 | base $938 | +0.5pp $917 | +1.0pp $894 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,200
- Closing costs
- $2,544
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Sweeten Grass Hl Arden, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1163 | $2,064 | $1.77 | 14d | 24 | 0.51mi |
| 6 Chambers Garden Dr Arden, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1375 | $2,145 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2359 Hendersonville Rd Arden, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 22d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 160 Thoroughbred Cir Arden, NC | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1212 | $1,860 | $1.53 | 14d | 7 | 0.66mi |
| 65 Lilac Fields Way Arden, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1324 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 13 Christ School Rd Unit 9 Arden, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,300 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 305 Heywood Shores Dr Arden, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $2,135 | $2.43 | 14d | 11 | 0.92mi |
| 9 Aberdeen Dr Arden, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1456 | $1,695 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 110 Heywood Rd Arden, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,448 | $1.38 | 44d | 2 | 0.98mi |
| 120 Rockberry Way Arden, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1046 | $2,570 | $2.46 | 14d | 84 | 1.01mi |
| 341 Oak Branch Rd Arden, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1360 | $2,250 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 352 Oak Branch Rd Arden, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1392 | $2,295 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2604 Hendersonville Rd Arden, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,395 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 10 Rippon Ct Arden, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,750 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 179 Rutledge Rd Fletcher, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,750 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 85 Farington Cir Fletcher, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 67 Farington Cir Fletcher, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1311 | $1,850 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 105 Olde Covington Way Arden, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 101 Olde Covington Way #101 Arden, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,695 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-02-01price $84,800 471-char remark
Show marketing remark (471 chars)
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as a playground, community events, and a clubhouse. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2026-01-13$85,300 Active 471-char remark
Show marketing remark (471 chars)
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as a playground, community events, and a clubhouse. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,157
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,750
- − Property taxes
- −$1,272
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,853
- − Management
- −$1,853
- − Depreciation
- −$2,467
- Taxable income
- $10,539
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,529
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,732/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This brand new 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is move-in ready with modern amenities and a great location. It's in excellent condition with no repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping and adding curb appeal features — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
- Both Adding smart home features — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and adding curb appeal features — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buncombe County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700450
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,981
- Composite
- 40.32/100
- National rank
- #3749
- State rank
- #72 of 178 in NC
Livability — Asheville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #96
- US rank
- #6307
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Asheville, NC
- County
- Buncombe County · 241,085 people
- City population
- 137,611
- Metro
- Asheville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,138
- Household income
- $81,096
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 511.0
Population outlook (Buncombe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,475 people
- By 2030
- 302,237 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 330,687 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 356,370 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 409,383 · +42.9%
- By 2100
- 437,270 · +52.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Buncombe
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.8) · D 61.7% · R 36.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.9pp toward D · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 24.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.8 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+14.6 2012: D+12.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.22%
- Current HPI
- 268.2861
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.35%
- Metro
- Asheville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
-0.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-01 Price Changed $84,800 Zillow
- 2026-01-13 Listed $85,300 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…