CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3336 Hillcrest Ave
B- Composite 69.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

3336 Hillcrest Ave · Minor, AL 35224
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 639 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1952 0.37 ac lot $102/sqft · 7% below area Est $91k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Calling Investors & First-Time Homeowners who are seeking instant equity! Don’t miss this charming home nestled in a well-established, and quiet neighborhood. This cozy 3-bedroom home offers a durable metal roof and all-electric appliance hook-ups, this home is ready for your personal touch! Please Note: No wholesalers or contract assignors. All offers require an in-person viewing.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • 0.37 acre lot
  • Parking

Tags

METAL ROOFWELL-ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($775 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#368 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Minor Community School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 409 students, 84% FRL); Minor Middle School (math 0% / reading 18%, grade F, #235 of 257 statewide, top 93%, 728 students, 88% FRL); Minor High School (math 4% / reading 8%, grade F, #275 of 305 statewide, top 90%, 915 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 49% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $65k implies a 441% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $62,953 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.98%
Cash-on-cash
13.17%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$90,900
List price
$64,900
Delta
-28.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1022 Pine St 0.22mi 2/1.0 704 (+10%) 2mo $71,000 $101 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$2,176
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$18,209
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35224

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$775 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $545/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$163
Net cashflow
$199

Break-even live

Break-even rent $523
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $236 -5% $218 +0% $199 +5% $181 +10% $163
Rent -10% $138 -5% $169 +0% $199 +5% $230 +10% $261
Rate -1.0pp $232 -0.5pp $216 base $199 +0.5pp $183 +1.0pp $166

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1054 McDonald Chapel Rd Birmingham, AL 1.0 1.0 400 $775 $1.94 25d 1 0.36mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,900 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-05-18
    price $64,900 399-char remark
  6. 2026-04-30
    price $69,900 399-char remark
  7. 2026-04-18
    listed $74,900 Active 399-char remark
  8. 2025-02-25
    price $79,900
  9. 2025-01-24
    price $84,900
  10. 2015-07-30
    soldstatus $12,000
  11. 2015-07-14
    historical
  12. 2015-05-02
    listed $18,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$545 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$545 · $45/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,300
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$545
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$744
− Management
−$744
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$1,419
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$341
After-tax cash flow
$2,053/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Minor

Score
58/100
State rank
#368
US rank
#21309

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minor, AL
Population (ZIP)
5,409

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 0%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.47%
Current HPI
126.3423
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+250.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $64,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $69,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-02-25 Price Changed $79,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-01-24 Price Changed $84,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2015-07-30 Sold (MLS) $12,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2015-07-14 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2015-05-02 Listed $18,500 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $545 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…