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222 Silent Lake Dr
D- Composite 36.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.3/5.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0

$313,385

222 Silent Lake Dr · Lehigh Acres, FL 33974
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,580 sqft · SingleFamily · 365 Days on market
Built 2025 Est $307k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2025
  • Listed 364 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price: $313,385

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family spec home — Plan: Daniel; Active listing
  • Exterior features: Address: 222 Silent Lake Dr, Lehigh Acres, FL 33974

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Open living area (1,580 livable area)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $313k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-512 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (23.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (33.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (33.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$54k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 365 days — a 12% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $209,319 (33.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 365 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
4.33%
Cash-on-cash
-7.00%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
12.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$306,520
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
626 Linville Pl 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,608 (+2%) 4mo $290,000 $180 79
261 Moonlit Lake Trl 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,521 (-4%) 6mo $310,000 $204 74
654 Lakeside Oasis Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,521 (-4%) 11mo $327,529 $215 71
252 Moonlit Lake Trl 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,742 (+10%) 3mo $345,500 $198 68
763 Cadis St E 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,600 (+1%) 3mo $310,000 $194 67
193 Verdun Ave S 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,566 (-1%) 10mo $325,900 $208 65
212 Lausanne Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 1,638 (+4%) 6mo $340,000 $208 64
723 Cadis St E 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,700 (+8%) 4mo $319,000 $188 64
200 Danby Rd 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,678 (+6%) 3mo $289,000 $172 62
218 Lomax Ave S 0.44mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,713 (+8%) 3mo $275,000 $161 56
320 Laurel Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,652 (+5%) 2mo $250,000 $151 54
379 Charwood Ave S 0.69mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,780 (+13%) 3mo $250,000 $140 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$131,958
Equity at exit
$282,322
10-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
5.60×
Total profit
$403,324
Equity at exit
$608,838

Cash invested: $87,748 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33974

Home prices YoY
5.8%
Rents YoY
-4.7%
Active inventory
2460
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,093 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,643
Tax est. 1.5%
$392 /mo · $4,701/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$440
Net cashflow
$-512

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,741
Max offer price $239,281
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,346
Closing costs
$9,402
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
270 Silent Lake Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1800 $1,895 $1.05 12d 1 0.13mi
202 Eaglesmere Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1443 $1,695 $1.17 24d 1 0.30mi
202 Eaglesmere Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1443 $1,600 $1.11 3d 1 0.30mi
286 Justene Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1839 $1,900 $1.03 24d 1 0.37mi
217 Jayview Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1491 $1,600 $1.07 14d 1 0.40mi
718 Sunrise Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,610 $1.46 24d 1 0.41mi
242 S Lake Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1572 $1,600 $1.02 24d 1 0.41mi
230 E Malden Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,875 $1.02 24d 1 0.55mi
727 Cane St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1582 $2,000 $1.26 24d 1 0.61mi
719 Center Lake St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1616 $1,750 $1.08 24d 1 0.62mi
713 Cardinal St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,635 $1.49 3d 1 0.64mi
264 Ground Dove Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1683 $2,300 $1.37 24d 1 0.67mi
506 Corinne Dr Unit 506 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1706 $2,300 $1.35 24d 1 0.68mi
127 Highview Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1495 $1,860 $1.24 3d 1 0.68mi
219 Beckley Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1548 $1,890 $1.22 16d 1 0.70mi
107 W Lake Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1610 $2,100 $1.30 24d 1 0.72mi
706 Arianne Ct Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 2009 $2,600 $1.29 24d 1 0.74mi
750 Cane St E Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 1537 $2,800 $1.82 3d 1 0.76mi
374 Compese Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 16d 1 0.79mi
759 Cane St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1169 $1,950 $1.67 3d 1 0.79mi
346 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,495 $1.26 3d 1 0.84mi
346 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,495 $1.26 15d 1 0.84mi
333 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,300 $1.17 3d 1 0.84mi
532 Ilaria Ct Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1598 $2,300 $1.44 16d 1 0.85mi
397 Carrillon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 3d 1 0.88mi
350 Limerick Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1199 $1,800 $1.50 3d 1 0.91mi
222 Ground Dove Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1417 $1,695 $1.20 10d 1 0.91mi
388 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,780 $1.48 24d 1 0.93mi
477 Rayford St Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 1715 $2,000 $1.17 24d 1 0.94mi
312 Lenz Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 2208 $2,500 $1.13 24d 1 0.95mi
404 Chalet Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 24d 1 0.95mi
406 Chalet Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 24d 1 0.96mi
472 Rajah St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1715 $2,200 $1.28 3d 1 0.96mi
129 Wanatah Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1798 $1,911 $1.06 3d 1 0.98mi
815 Porter St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1659 $1,800 $1.08 24d 1 1.03mi
20055 Lake Vista Cir N Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1442 $1,700 $1.18 24d 1 1.04mi
467 Raymer St Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,850 $1.01 10d 1 1.04mi
337 Rancho Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1723 $2,150 $1.25 24d 1 1.06mi
1406 Ford Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1662 $2,100 $1.26 24d 1 1.07mi
351 Ranchito Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,000 $1.33 24d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $313,385 Active 365 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $313,385 Active 364 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $313,385 Active 363 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $313,385 Active 361 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $313,385 Active 357 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $313,385 Active 355 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $313,385 Active 349 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $313,385 Active 348 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,118
− Mortgage interest
−$17,554
− Property taxes
−$4,701
− Insurance
−$1,567
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,009
− Management
−$2,009
− Depreciation
−$9,117
Taxable loss
−$11,839
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,841
After-tax cash flow
$-3,304/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,927
Household income
$72,192
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
434.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% Two or more races 31% White 26% Black 18%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 20% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 7% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.53%
Current HPI
303.3399
Rent YoY
▼ -4.68%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…