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C+ Composite 63.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,000

80 Punk Lott Rd · Wiggins, MS 39577
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · SingleFamily · 161 Days on market
Built 1930 1.00 ac lot ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This older 2-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on one acre at the end of a quiet road, offering a peaceful country feel while still being close to everything in Wiggins. There's also an extra room that could work great as a home office, hobby room, or even a third bedroom. The yard is fully fenced in and great for kids, pets, or enjoying the beautiful pecan trees on the property. A brand new deck has just been built outside, giving you the perfect spot to relax or entertain. A storage shed is also included, giving you plenty of room for tools or outdoor gear. If you're looking for a little quiet, a little land, and a lot of potential, this place might be just right. Buyer to verify all information.

Key facts

  • Brand new deck
  • Storage shed
  • Fully fenced yard

Tags

FULLY FENCED YARDBRAND NEW DECKSTORAGE SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.5% in Wiggins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#58 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Stone County School District (town): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #15 of 130 in MS (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Stone Elementary School (math 46% / reading 51%, grade D, #80 of 375 statewide, top 21%, 648 students, 100% FRL); Stone Middle School (math 54% / reading 42%, grade C-, #34 of 179 statewide, top 20%, 599 students, 100% FRL); Stone High School (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #30 of 197 statewide, top 15%, 722 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 60 units permitted in Stone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stone County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.59%
Cash-on-cash
11.78%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,439
Equity at exit
$16,252
10-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$25,906
Equity at exit
$9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39577

Home prices YoY
-30.1%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,333 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax est. 1.5%
$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$300

Break-even live

Break-even rent $954
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $375 -5% $337 +0% $300 +5% $262 +10% $224
Rent -10% $194 -5% $247 +0% $300 +5% $352 +10% $405
Rate -1.0pp $354 -0.5pp $327 base $300 +0.5pp $271 +1.0pp $243

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-01-05
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-12
    price $109,000
  3. 2025-10-03
    status Active
  4. 2025-09-30
    status Pending
  5. 2025-08-07
    price $115,000
  6. 2025-07-25
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,993
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$1,635
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,279
− Management
−$1,279
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$1,978
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$475
After-tax cash flow
$3,121/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stone County School District
NCES district ID
2804170
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$43,785
Composite
41.4/100
National rank
#3476
State rank
#15 of 130 in MS

Livability — Wiggins

Score
68/100
State rank
#58
US rank
#9290

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,488

Population outlook (Stone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,528 people
By 2030
18,585 · +0.3%
By 2040
18,429 · -0.5%
By 2050
17,825 · -3.8%
By 2075
16,095 · -13.1%
By 2100
14,276 · -22.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 27% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stone

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.0) · D 20.5% · R 78.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -43.5pp · 2024: -58.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.0 2020: R+52.8 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+45.9 2008: R+43.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.19%
Current HPI
158.2419
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-12.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-05 Pending MLSU
  • 2025-12-12 Price Changed $109,000 MLSU
  • 2025-10-03 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-09-30 Pending MLSU
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $115,000 MLSU
  • 2025-07-25 Listed $125,000 MLSU

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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