8 Lawrence Dr Unit C · Valhalla, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This top (2nd) floor large 1 bedroom is in very good condition. This unit has an eat in kitchen, excellent closet space, large living room with a picture window. The monthly maintenance makes owning cheaper than renting, when you factor in the Star the MM is closer to approx. $625.00 a month. This co-op is located near the Bronx River parkway on a tree lined street. Garage parking (only $25.00 a month) is a reasonable wait list with plenty of free unassigned lot and street parking. Co-op allows renting but owner must live in unit first for 2 years. No dogs. Walking trail 1/2 mile away and North WP train station, approx. 2 miles. *Agents please read the agent remarks for the updates/requirements* Additional Information: Amenities:Windowed Kitchen,HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,ParkingFeatures:1 Car Detached,
Key facts
- Storage
- Great space
- Built 1960
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $165k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $552 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.8% in Valhalla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#795 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, commute A; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Valhalla Union Free School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #119 of 590 in NY (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $132k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.06%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $191,984
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -14.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $8,493
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $52,967
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10603
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,226 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$468
- Net cashflow
- $552
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Summitt Pl Valhalla, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 566 | $2,500 | $4.42 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 9 Wyndover Woods Ln #23 White Plains, NY | — | 1.0 | 600 | $1,850 | $3.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $165,000 Pending 53 DOM
-
2026-03-20$165,000 Active
-
2022-07-25soldstatus $132,000 Closed 818-char remark
Show marketing remark (818 chars)
This top (2nd) floor large 1 bedroom is in very good condition. This unit has an eat in kitchen, excellent closet space, large living room with a picture window. The monthly maintenance makes owning cheaper than renting, when you factor in the Star the MM is closer to approx. $625.00 a month. This co-op is located near the Bronx River parkway on a tree lined street. Garage parking (only $25.00 a month) is a reasonable wait list with plenty of free unassigned lot and street parking. Co-op allows renting but owner must live in unit first for 2 years. No dogs. Walking trail 1/2 mile away and North WP train station, approx. 2 miles. *Agents please read the agent remarks for the updates/requirements* Additional Information: Amenities:Windowed Kitchen,HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,ParkingFeatures:1 Car Detached,
-
2022-04-14status Pending 818-char remark
Show marketing remark (818 chars)
This top (2nd) floor large 1 bedroom is in very good condition. This unit has an eat in kitchen, excellent closet space, large living room with a picture window. The monthly maintenance makes owning cheaper than renting, when you factor in the Star the MM is closer to approx. $625.00 a month. This co-op is located near the Bronx River parkway on a tree lined street. Garage parking (only $25.00 a month) is a reasonable wait list with plenty of free unassigned lot and street parking. Co-op allows renting but owner must live in unit first for 2 years. No dogs. Walking trail 1/2 mile away and North WP train station, approx. 2 miles. *Agents please read the agent remarks for the updates/requirements* Additional Information: Amenities:Windowed Kitchen,HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,ParkingFeatures:1 Car Detached,
-
2022-03-01status Active 818-char remark
Show marketing remark (818 chars)
This top (2nd) floor large 1 bedroom is in very good condition. This unit has an eat in kitchen, excellent closet space, large living room with a picture window. The monthly maintenance makes owning cheaper than renting, when you factor in the Star the MM is closer to approx. $625.00 a month. This co-op is located near the Bronx River parkway on a tree lined street. Garage parking (only $25.00 a month) is a reasonable wait list with plenty of free unassigned lot and street parking. Co-op allows renting but owner must live in unit first for 2 years. No dogs. Walking trail 1/2 mile away and North WP train station, approx. 2 miles. *Agents please read the agent remarks for the updates/requirements* Additional Information: Amenities:Windowed Kitchen,HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,ParkingFeatures:1 Car Detached,
-
2022-03-01price $134,900 818-char remark
Show marketing remark (818 chars)
This top (2nd) floor large 1 bedroom is in very good condition. This unit has an eat in kitchen, excellent closet space, large living room with a picture window. The monthly maintenance makes owning cheaper than renting, when you factor in the Star the MM is closer to approx. $625.00 a month. This co-op is located near the Bronx River parkway on a tree lined street. Garage parking (only $25.00 a month) is a reasonable wait list with plenty of free unassigned lot and street parking. Co-op allows renting but owner must live in unit first for 2 years. No dogs. Walking trail 1/2 mile away and North WP train station, approx. 2 miles. *Agents please read the agent remarks for the updates/requirements* Additional Information: Amenities:Windowed Kitchen,HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,ParkingFeatures:1 Car Detached,
-
2022-02-21historical 818-char remark
Show marketing remark (818 chars)
This top (2nd) floor large 1 bedroom is in very good condition. This unit has an eat in kitchen, excellent closet space, large living room with a picture window. The monthly maintenance makes owning cheaper than renting, when you factor in the Star the MM is closer to approx. $625.00 a month. This co-op is located near the Bronx River parkway on a tree lined street. Garage parking (only $25.00 a month) is a reasonable wait list with plenty of free unassigned lot and street parking. Co-op allows renting but owner must live in unit first for 2 years. No dogs. Walking trail 1/2 mile away and North WP train station, approx. 2 miles. *Agents please read the agent remarks for the updates/requirements* Additional Information: Amenities:Windowed Kitchen,HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,ParkingFeatures:1 Car Detached,
-
2022-02-20$159,900 Active 818-char remark
Show marketing remark (818 chars)
This top (2nd) floor large 1 bedroom is in very good condition. This unit has an eat in kitchen, excellent closet space, large living room with a picture window. The monthly maintenance makes owning cheaper than renting, when you factor in the Star the MM is closer to approx. $625.00 a month. This co-op is located near the Bronx River parkway on a tree lined street. Garage parking (only $25.00 a month) is a reasonable wait list with plenty of free unassigned lot and street parking. Co-op allows renting but owner must live in unit first for 2 years. No dogs. Walking trail 1/2 mile away and North WP train station, approx. 2 miles. *Agents please read the agent remarks for the updates/requirements* Additional Information: Amenities:Windowed Kitchen,HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,ParkingFeatures:1 Car Detached,
-
2022-02-12historical $159,900 818-char remark
Show marketing remark (818 chars)
This top (2nd) floor large 1 bedroom is in very good condition. This unit has an eat in kitchen, excellent closet space, large living room with a picture window. The monthly maintenance makes owning cheaper than renting, when you factor in the Star the MM is closer to approx. $625.00 a month. This co-op is located near the Bronx River parkway on a tree lined street. Garage parking (only $25.00 a month) is a reasonable wait list with plenty of free unassigned lot and street parking. Co-op allows renting but owner must live in unit first for 2 years. No dogs. Walking trail 1/2 mile away and North WP train station, approx. 2 miles. *Agents please read the agent remarks for the updates/requirements* Additional Information: Amenities:Windowed Kitchen,HeatingFuel:Oil Below Ground,ParkingFeatures:1 Car Detached,
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,715
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,475
- − Insurance
- −$1,622
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,137
- − Management
- −$2,137
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $4,300
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,032
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,592/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This unit requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including major work on the exterior and landscaping, as well as interior updates. Significant investment is needed to bring it up to a livable condition.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior brick facade — Severe weathering and staining
- Major exterior landscaping — Overgrown bushes and unkempt lawn
- Major interior walls and paint — No visible interior, but the condition is poor
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping and exterior painting — Improves curb appeal and resale value
- Both interior painting and minor repairs — Enhances interior appearance and rental appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior brick facade · Severe weathering and staining | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior landscaping · Overgrown bushes and unkempt lawn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls and paint · No visible interior, but the condition is poor | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping and exterior painting — Improves curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both interior painting and minor repairs — Enhances interior appearance and rental appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Valhalla Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629400
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $106,068
- Composite
- 62.26/100
- National rank
- #699
- State rank
- #119 of 590 in NY
Livability — Valhalla
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #795
- US rank
- #15361
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 7,180
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,201
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 35% White 34% Black 21% Two or more races 13% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Indo-European 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.72%
- Current HPI
- 317.8177
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+3.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Listed $165,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-25 Sold (MLS) $132,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-14 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-01 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-01 Price Changed $134,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-21 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-20 Listed $159,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-12 Coming Soon $159,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…