1233 Bauch St · Waterloo, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a spacious corner lot! The inviting kitchen features a stylish tile backsplash and new laminate flooring. Just off the kitchen, the welcoming living room offers new carpet and complemented by new windows throughout the home. Two main-floor bedrooms with new carpet and a full bathroom provide convenient single-level living, while the upper-level bedroom offers flexible space that can be used as a primary suite, home office, guest room, or hobby area. Outside, you'll find a fenced-in yard with mature trees. The detached one-stall garage adds valuable storage and convenient parking. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Laminate flooring
- Corner lot
- Tile backsplash
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle/asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 40 x 120; Road surface: other; Zoned R-2
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: No fireplace; Basement with block construction
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($589/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (2.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $112k (2.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.2% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Fred Becker Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #494 of 616 statewide, top 83%, 473 students, 76% FRL); East High School (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #317 of 336 statewide, top 94%, 1,022 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 58% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 285 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.83%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $128,112
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 712 Maxwell St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 850 (-10%) | 1mo | $105,500 | $124 | 75 |
| 724 Kirkwood Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 972 (+3%) | 6mo | $170,250 | $175 | 72 |
| 645 Dundee Dr | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 922 (-2%) | 3mo | $147,000 | $159 | 70 |
| 606 Wallgate Ave | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 964 (+2%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $124 | 59 |
| 743 Wallgate Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 972 (+3%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $87 | 57 |
| 1108 Eleanor Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 870 (-8%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $103 | 57 |
| 1240 Eleanor Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-3%) | 8mo | $123,600 | $136 | 57 |
| 1016 Ansborough Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-8%) | 11mo | $194,900 | $226 | 50 |
| 2621 University Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-8%) | 5mo | $168,500 | $195 | 49 |
| 634 Englewood Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,016 (+8%) | 12mo | $60,000 | $59 | 47 |
| 1236 Sheerer Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-8%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $208 | 46 |
| 1219 Dundee Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,036 (+10%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $82 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-14,548
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-4,706
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50701
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 285
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,115 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$182 /mo · $2,180/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $49
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $114 | -5% $82 | +0% $49 | +5% $17 | +10% $-16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-39 | -5% $5 | +0% $49 | +5% $93 | +10% $137 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $107 | -0.5pp $78 | base $49 | +0.5pp $19 | +1.0pp $-11 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425 Auburn St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 983 | $1,450 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1653 Carriage Hill Dr #1 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $795 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1115 Doreen Ave Unit 1120-3 Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $890 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1115 Doreen Ave Unit 1115-12 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $785 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 136 Janney Ave Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 901 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3621 Sager Ave Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 851 | $795 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1118 Tiffany Pl #12 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 851 | $795 | $0.93 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1132 Tiffany Pl Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 857 | $795 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1124 Kern St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $950 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3215 Terrace Dr #7 Cedar Falls, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $875 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-13remarks 671-char remark
-
2026-06-13$114,900 Pending 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,180 · $182/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,180 · $182/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,385
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$2,180
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,071
- − Management
- −$1,071
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable loss
- −$1,290
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$310
- After-tax cash flow
- $899/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterloo Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930480
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,545
- Composite
- 43.72/100
- National rank
- #2950
- State rank
- #276 of 289 in IA
Livability — Waterloo
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waterloo, IA
- County
- Black Hawk County · 112,933 people
- City population
- 69,066
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,232
- Household income
- $61,475
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1377.0
Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 139,716 people
- By 2030
- 142,853 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 147,843 · +5.8%
- By 2050
- 153,247 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 167,977 · +20.2%
- By 2100
- 177,320 · +26.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 11% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 3% American 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.19%
- Current HPI
- 162.8951
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Pending — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-06-11 Listed $114,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,180 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…