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11236 Tuscarora Path
B+ Composite 77.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

11236 Tuscarora Path · Chippewa Park, OH 43331
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 529 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1940 5,227 sqft lot $151/sqft · 46% below area Est $147k · 46% under ↓ 27% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bring your vision and creativity to this charming cottage full of potential! This home is ready for a fresh start and offers a fantastic opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own personalized retreat. Located in golf cart- friendly Chippewa park, you'll be a short drive to fishing, boat launch, grocery shopping and the Moose and Eagles. Everything you need for a fun weekend at Indian Lake.

Key facts

  • Chippewa park
  • Grocery shopping
  • Personalized retreat

Tags

GOLF CART FRIENDLYFISHINGBOAT LAUNCHGROCERY SHOPPINGCHIPPEWA PARKPERSONALIZED RETREAT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer; Well water
  • Home design: Single-family residential cabin; Built in 1940; Slab foundation; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Slab foundation; Built in 1940
  • Exterior features: Residential lot; Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 74; Lot area about 0.12 acres; Well water

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Has heating
  • Interior features: No basement; Other heating system (see remarks)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $427 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 5.5% in Chippewa Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,173 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Indian Lake Local (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #261 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Logan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $77,503 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.70%
Cash-on-cash
22.88%
DSCR
2.02
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$147,337
List price
$79,900
Delta
-45.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11188 Chickasaw Path 0.21mi 2/1.0 (+1) 576 (+9%) 10mo $100,000 $174 62
13647 Seminole Path 0.24mi 2/1.0 (+1) 576 (+9%) 9mo $207,450 $360 61
11496 Pocahontas Path 0.48mi 2/1.0 (+1) 456 (-14%) 1mo $112,000 $246 49
13920 Seminole Path 0.33mi 1/1.0 594 (+12%) 23mo $137,000 $231 45
14250 Basswood Ave 0.72mi 1/0.5 576 (+9%) 11mo $180,000 $313 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$14,214
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
24.4%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$47,338
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43331

Home prices YoY
-30.0%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,191 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $749/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$427

Break-even live

Break-even rent $651
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,900 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-01
    listed $79,900 Active 426-char remark
  16. 2024-03-13
    historical
  17. 2023-09-18
    soldstatus $205,000
  18. 2023-09-17
    listed $110,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$749 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$997 · $83/mo
Expected delta
+$249/yr (+$21/mo · 33.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,297
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$749
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,144
− Management
−$1,144
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$4,061
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$975
After-tax cash flow
$4,144/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian Lake Local
NCES district ID
3904808
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,496
Composite
52.6/100
National rank
#1559
State rank
#261 of 656 in OH

Livability — Chippewa Park

Score
49/100
State rank
#1173
US rank
#25758

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chippewa Park, OH
County
Logan · 47,256 people
Population (ZIP)
4,012
Household income
$60,159
Rent vs Own
11.5% rent · 88.5% own
Severe rent burden
16.1

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,240 people
By 2030
43,166 · -2.4%
By 2040
40,495 · -8.5%
By 2050
37,511 · -15.2%
By 2075
30,453 · -31.2%
By 2100
23,081 · -47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.5% · R 77.7%
2008→2024 swing
-29.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -56.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.2 2020: R+55.2 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.75%
Current HPI
256.2406
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-27.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $79,900 WRIST
  • 2024-03-13 Listing Removed WRIST
  • 2023-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
  • 2023-09-17 Listed $110,000 WRIST

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $749 · +35.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…