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61 Water St
B Composite 71.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

61 Water St · Perry, NY 14530
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1890 8,400 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attention investors, renovators, and savvy buyers seeking exceptional value in Wyoming County, New York — 61 Water Street in the Village of Perry presents a rare opportunity to transform a character-rich, circa-1890 four-bedroom, three-full-bath home into your dream property at an unbeatable price point. This fixer-upper is loaded with good bones and standout features, including original hardwood floors throughout 1st floor, custom cherry kitchen cabinets, multiple private balconies perfect for enjoying the fresh Western New York air, & a massive workshop area ideal for hobbyists, craftsmen, contractors, or anyone craving serious storage and flex space. The home sits on a 0.19-ac

Key facts

  • 0.19-acre lot
  • 8,400 sq ft lot
  • Built 1890

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSCUSTOM CHERRY KITCHEN CABINETSMULTIPLE PRIVATE BALCONIESMASSIVE WORKSHOP AREA0.19-ACRE LOTOUTSTANDING REGIONAL ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 4.2% in Perry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#348 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Perry Central School District (rural): math 53% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #272 of 590 in NY (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Wyoming County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wyoming County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $75k implies a 317% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $70,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
12.95%
Cash-on-cash
23.78%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$187,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
26 Olin Ave 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,772 (-2%) 1mo $205,000 $116 77
30 Elm St 0.09mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,653 (-8%) 1mo $92,000 $56 74
12 Clark St 0.20mi 4/2.0 1,718 (-5%) 10mo $224,930 $131 71
18 Water St 0.13mi 4/1.5 1,968 (+9%) 9mo $144,750 $74 69
22 Genesee St 0.28mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,697 (-6%) 7mo $45,000 $27 67
8 Main Ter 0.05mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,560 (-13%) 10mo $75,000 $48 62
21 Benedict St 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,595 (-11%) 5mo $195,000 $122 58
34 Dolbeer St 0.42mi 4/1.5 1,582 (-12%) 4mo $205,000 $130 55
51 Saint Helena St 0.55mi 4/1.5 1,634 (-9%) 4mo $169,900 $104 54
17 Tuna St 0.62mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,657 (-8%) 9mo $30,400 $18 43
80 Saint Helena St 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,947 (+8%) 15mo $210,000 $108 34
118 South Main St 0.63mi 4/1.5 1,540 (-14%) 14mo $160,000 $104 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$14,483
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$47,263
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14530

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,401 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$266 /mo · $3,197/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$416

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-27
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-21
    price $75,000
  4. 2026-03-05
    listed $85,000 Active
  5. 1995-02-28
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,197 · $266/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,197 · $266/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,818
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$3,197
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,345
− Management
−$1,345
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$4,172
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,001
After-tax cash flow
$3,993/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Perry Central School District
NCES district ID
3622770
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▲ 12.00%
Median HH income
$48,386
Composite
49.23/100
National rank
#2036
State rank
#272 of 590 in NY

Livability — Perry

Score
72/100
State rank
#348
US rank
#5898

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Perry, NY
Population (ZIP)
6,396

Population outlook (Wyoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,976 people
By 2030
37,826 · -3.0%
By 2040
35,585 · -8.7%
By 2050
32,841 · -15.7%
By 2075
25,920 · -33.5%
By 2100
19,082 · -51.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 5% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Danish 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wyoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.2) · D 25.9% · R 74.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -48.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.2 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+51.0 2012: R+29.6 2008: R+26.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.45%
Current HPI
250.8251
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+316.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-27 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $75,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $85,000 UNYREIS
  • 1995-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,197 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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