22143 Navaho Ave · Sauk Village, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +6.8/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bdrm ranch w/1 bath, 1 car garage. Property being sold in it's as condition. No disclosures, termite or survey. Buyer responsible for all/any village inspections, repairs & escrows. All offers should include POF(cash) Prequal(fin)which is required at sellers final acceptance. 1st look applies. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Spacious backyard
- Bright living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $293 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#546 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, commute D.
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #591 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $9k; list at $150k implies a 1539% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.37%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $147,574
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2522 Orion Ave | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 894 (+1%) | 6mo | $61,790 | $69 | 91 |
| 2402 Sauk Trl | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 894 (+1%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $95 | 81 |
| 2171 221st St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 925 (+4%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $86 | 74 |
| 2053 222nd Pl | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 906 (+2%) | 5mo | $122,000 | $135 | 70 |
| 22336 Merrill Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 913 (+3%) | 2mo | $139,900 | $153 | 64 |
| 2133 216th St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 913 (+3%) | 1mo | $152,000 | $166 | 61 |
| 22116 Brookwood Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 918 (+3%) | 6mo | $162,000 | $176 | 61 |
| 22226 Brookwood Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 918 (+3%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $180 | 60 |
| 2059 216th St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 913 (+3%) | 4mo | $167,000 | $183 | 58 |
| 22437 Strassburg Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 913 (+3%) | 6mo | $172,000 | $188 | 56 |
| 2065 219th Pl | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+12%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $145 | 53 |
| 1835 223rd St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+12%) | 2mo | $169,900 | $170 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $502
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $51,593
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60411
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,692 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$194 /mo · $2,334/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $293
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2236 220th St Sauk Village, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,800 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 22332 Clyde Ave Sauk Village, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,800 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 22340 Chappel Ave Sauk Village, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 18d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 21538 Gailine Ave Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,600 | $1.55 | 2d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1154 Barry Ln Sauk Village, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 1d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2241 Astor St Unit Labs Sauk Village, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 1d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$150,000 Active
-
2013-12-06soldstatus $9,151 Closed Sale 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
2 bdrm ranch w/1 bath, 1 car garage. Property being sold in it's as condition. No disclosures, termite or survey. Buyer responsible for all/any village inspections, repairs & escrows. All offers should include POF(cash) Prequal(fin)which is required at sellers final acceptance. 1st look applies. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property
-
2013-10-18status Pending 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
2 bdrm ranch w/1 bath, 1 car garage. Property being sold in it's as condition. No disclosures, termite or survey. Buyer responsible for all/any village inspections, repairs & escrows. All offers should include POF(cash) Prequal(fin)which is required at sellers final acceptance. 1st look applies. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property
-
2013-09-18price $12,000 Price Change 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
2 bdrm ranch w/1 bath, 1 car garage. Property being sold in it's as condition. No disclosures, termite or survey. Buyer responsible for all/any village inspections, repairs & escrows. All offers should include POF(cash) Prequal(fin)which is required at sellers final acceptance. 1st look applies. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property
-
2013-08-14price $14,000 Price Change 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
2 bdrm ranch w/1 bath, 1 car garage. Property being sold in it's as condition. No disclosures, termite or survey. Buyer responsible for all/any village inspections, repairs & escrows. All offers should include POF(cash) Prequal(fin)which is required at sellers final acceptance. 1st look applies. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property
-
2013-07-13$15,900 New 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
2 bdrm ranch w/1 bath, 1 car garage. Property being sold in it's as condition. No disclosures, termite or survey. Buyer responsible for all/any village inspections, repairs & escrows. All offers should include POF(cash) Prequal(fin)which is required at sellers final acceptance. 1st look applies. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property
-
1981-10-20soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,334 · $194/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,869 · $239/mo
- Expected delta
- +$536/yr (+$45/mo · 22.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,300
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,334
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,624
- − Management
- −$1,624
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $1,202
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$288
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,225/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206
- NCES district ID
- 1706420
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,795
- Composite
- 7.4/100
- National rank
- #9952
- State rank
- #591 of 620 in IL
Livability — Sauk Village
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #546
- US rank
- #11370
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sauk Village, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,175
- Household income
- $62,073
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1714.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.75%
- Current HPI
- 212.4058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.48%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+275.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $150,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-12-06 Sold (MLS) $9,151 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-18 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-09-18 Price Changed $12,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-14 Price Changed $14,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-13 Listed $15,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1981-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2023): $2,334 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…