2302 Copeman Blvd · Flint, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom, 1.5 bath Cape Cod home with basement and attached garage. Property is in need of rehab. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1943
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 1,087 above-grade finished square feet
- Financial info: Not specified
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Security: Not specified
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 67 x 101 x 65 x 100; Lot size about 0.15 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Not specified
- Bedrooms: Not specified
- Flooring: Not specified
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 3 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($930 rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.3% vs local median 11.6% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Holmes Stem Middle School Academy (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #420 of 493 statewide, top 86%, 324 students, 90% FRL).
- Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 15 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask is 20% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $30k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 64.36%
- DSCR
- 3.86
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $46,750
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2112 Winona St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,292 (-6%) | 1mo | $30,000 | $23 | 79 |
| 1909 Welch Blvd | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,435 (+4%) | 4mo | $28,600 | $20 | 76 |
| 3307 Mackin Rd | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,345 (-2%) | 9mo | $104,000 | $77 | 67 |
| 2917 Mallery St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,495 (+9%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $57 | 66 |
| 2565 Mccollum Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,298 (-6%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $77 | 60 |
| 1502 Lavender Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,430 (+4%) | 10mo | $80,000 | $56 | 56 |
| 3101 Brynmawr Pl | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,478 (+8%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $34 | 56 |
| 2030 Milbourne Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,415 (+3%) | 11mo | $15,000 | $11 | 48 |
| 2812 Berkley St | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,403 (+2%) | 11mo | $88,000 | $63 | 47 |
| 2622 Mackin Rd | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,307 (-5%) | 9mo | $28,000 | $21 | 44 |
| 2729 Mackin Rd | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,240 (-10%) | 11mo | $19,900 | $16 | 36 |
| 2025 Milbourne Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,212 (-12%) | 10mo | $15,000 | $12 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 63.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $23,895
- Equity at exit
- $4,473
- IRR
- 68.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.91×
- Total profit
- $58,005
- Equity at exit
- $2,594
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48504
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $930 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,369/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$195
- Net cashflow
- $451
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $548 | -5% $459 | +0% $451 | +5% $442 | +10% $434 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $377 | -5% $414 | +0% $451 | +5% $487 | +10% $524 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $466 | -0.5pp $458 | base $451 | +0.5pp $443 | +1.0pp $435 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2410 Gena Ann Ln Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 46d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2410 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2410 Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2419 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2419 Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3616 Concord St Unit CON3616 Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2462 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2462 Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3376 Preston Pl Unit PRE3376 Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2332 Fredonia Ave Unit FRE2332 Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 711 W Dewey St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $925 | $0.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2544 Tyrone St Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $825 | $0.57 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2428 Norbert St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1540 Garland St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $1,017 | $0.76 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-19status $30,000 Pending 165 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $30,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $30,000 Active 164 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $30,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $30,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $30,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $30,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $30,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $30,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $30,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $30,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $30,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $30,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $30,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $30,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $30,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $30,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-04-29status Active
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
3 bedroom, 1.5 bath Cape Cod home with basement and attached garage. Property is in need of rehab. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2026-04-29status Active 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
3 bedroom, 1.5 bath Cape Cod home with basement and attached garage. Property is in need of rehab. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2026-04-16status Pending
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
3 bedroom, 1.5 bath Cape Cod home with basement and attached garage. Property is in need of rehab. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2026-04-16status Pending 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
3 bedroom, 1.5 bath Cape Cod home with basement and attached garage. Property is in need of rehab. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2025-12-30price $30,000 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
3 bedroom, 1.5 bath Cape Cod home with basement and attached garage. Property is in need of rehab. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2025-12-29price $30,000
-
2025-12-22$25,000 Active
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
3 bedroom, 1.5 bath Cape Cod home with basement and attached garage. Property is in need of rehab. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2025-12-22$25,000 Active 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
3 bedroom, 1.5 bath Cape Cod home with basement and attached garage. Property is in need of rehab. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.
-
2017-08-07soldstatus $14,200 Sold 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Great investment property! 3 Bedrooms, 1 1/2 Baths, finished basement, large yard. This home is currently rented with long term tenants.
-
2017-07-01status Pending
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Great investment property! 3 Bedrooms, 1 1/2 Baths, finished basement, large yard. This home is currently rented with long term tenants.
-
2017-07-01status Pending 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Great investment property! 3 Bedrooms, 1 1/2 Baths, finished basement, large yard. This home is currently rented with long term tenants.
-
2017-07-01status Active 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Great investment property! 3 Bedrooms, 1 1/2 Baths, finished basement, large yard. This home is currently rented with long term tenants.
-
2017-06-27historical 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Great investment property! 3 Bedrooms, 1 1/2 Baths, finished basement, large yard. This home is currently rented with long term tenants.
-
2017-06-27status Active
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Great investment property! 3 Bedrooms, 1 1/2 Baths, finished basement, large yard. This home is currently rented with long term tenants.
-
2017-06-21historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl
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2017-06-18$14,900 Active
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Great investment property! 3 Bedrooms, 1 1/2 Baths, finished basement, large yard. This home is currently rented with long term tenants.
-
2017-06-18$14,900 Active 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Great investment property! 3 Bedrooms, 1 1/2 Baths, finished basement, large yard. This home is currently rented with long term tenants.
-
2011-01-03soldstatus $11,000
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2011-01-03soldstatus $11,000
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2010-11-14historical
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2010-10-05$14,900
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2010-10-05$14,900
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2009-03-13soldstatus $8,800
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2009-03-13soldstatus $8,800
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2009-03-13soldstatus $8,800
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2009-02-25historical
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2009-02-23$10,000
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2009-02-23$10,000
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2009-02-20$10,000
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2005-09-28soldstatus $20,000
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2005-09-28soldstatus $20,000
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2005-08-25historical
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2005-08-10$22,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,369 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,369 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,156
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$1,369
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$892
- − Management
- −$892
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $5,299
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,272
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,135/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- City population
- 93,814
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,873
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.67%
- Current HPI
- 94.3111
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+31.0% since first listed34 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-29 Price Changed $30,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-22 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-22 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-08-07 Sold (MLS) $14,200 REALCOMP
- 2017-07-01 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-07-01 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2017-07-01 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2017-06-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2017-06-27 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-06-21 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-06-18 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-06-18 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
- 2011-01-03 Sold (MLS) $11,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-01-03 Sold (MLS) $11,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-11-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-10-05 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-10-05 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
- 2009-03-13 Sold (MLS) $8,800 REALCOMP
- 2009-03-13 Sold (MLS) $8,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-03-13 Sold (MLS) $8,800 REALCOMP
- 2009-02-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-02-23 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-02-23 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-02-20 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2005-09-28 Sold (MLS) $20,000 REALCOMP
- 2005-09-28 Sold (MLS) $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-08-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-08-10 Listed $22,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-08-10 Listed $22,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,369 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…