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201 W 3rd Ave
D Composite 44.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.8/15.0

$132,000

201 W 3rd Ave · La Harpe, IL 61450
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,914 sqft · SingleFamily · 68 Days on market
Built 2000 0.40 ac lot Est $115k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Three bed, 2 bath, modular home built in 2000 on a large, shaded lot. This home features an open floor plan for plenty of space to entertain. The primary bed with full bath includes a soaker tub, separate shower, and walk in closet. The other two bedrooms are near the second full bath. The large kitchen has an island, natural lighting, and access to the back yard. The attached 2 car garage with cement parking pad in front completes the property. Call today for a tour!

Key facts

  • 0.4 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2000

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage; Parking pad
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Living area approximately 1914; Built in 2000
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built in 2000
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with vinyl flooring; Includes dishwasher and refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet in main living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Refrigerator; Washer; No fireplaces; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $132k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (14.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#657 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Illini West H S District 307 (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #611 of 919 in IL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: La Harpe Elementary School (math 24% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,043 of 2,056 statewide, top 51%, 200 students, 0% FRL); Illini West High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #319 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 342 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($913 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
  • Hancock County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $112,292 (14.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
7.35%
Cash-on-cash
3.77%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$114,840
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
308 W Archer Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,946 (+2%) 12mo $144,000 $74 71
103 W 1st Ave 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,712 (-11%) 10mo $135,000 $79 67
405 N Center St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,890 (-1%) 19mo $15,000 $8 58
300 W 1st Ave 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,740 (-9%) 24mo $77,500 $45 56
301 N Louise St 0.40mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,064 (+8%) 10mo $124,500 $60 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$17,777
Equity at exit
$53,548
10-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$59,849
Equity at exit
$78,266

Cash invested: $36,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61450

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,123 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$692
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $284/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$116

Break-even live

Break-even rent $976
Max offer price $132,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $191 -5% $154 +0% $116 +5% $79 +10% $-116
Rent -10% $28 -5% $72 +0% $116 +5% $161 +10% $205
Rate -1.0pp $183 -0.5pp $150 base $116 +0.5pp $82 +1.0pp $47

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,000
Closing costs
$3,960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $132,000 Active 68 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $132,000 Active 67 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $132,000 Active 66 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $132,000 Active 65 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $132,000 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $132,000 Active 62 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $132,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $132,000 Active 58 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $132,000 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $132,000 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $132,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $132,000 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $132,000 Active 51 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $132,000 Active 50 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $132,000 Active 49 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $132,000 Active 48 DOM
  17. 2026-04-12
    listed $132,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$284 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,640 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$1,356/yr (+$113/mo · 477.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,475
− Mortgage interest
−$7,394
− Property taxes
−$284
− Insurance
−$660
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,078
− Management
−$1,078
− Depreciation
−$3,840
Taxable loss
−$859
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$206
After-tax cash flow
$1,601/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Illini West H S District 307
NCES district ID
1701384
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$47,745
Composite
24.88/100
National rank
#12997
State rank
#611 of 919 in IL

Livability — La Harpe

Score
65/100
State rank
#657
US rank
#13488

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
La Harpe, IL
Population (ZIP)
1,617

Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,042 people
By 2030
16,056 · -5.8%
By 2040
13,912 · -18.4%
By 2050
11,879 · -30.3%
By 2075
8,302 · -51.3%
By 2100
5,846 · -65.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hancock

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.1% · R 74.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-39.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -50.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.0 2020: R+48.9 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+19.0 2008: R+10.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.21%
Current HPI
153.6282
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $132,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-6.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $284 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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