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104 Silver Ridge Ln
D Composite 41.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,900

104 Silver Ridge Ln · Pearl, MS 39208
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,436 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 88 Days on market
Built 2009 0.30 ac lot $167/sqft · at area comps Est $247k · at est. $21/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute and cozy full brick home with 3 bedrooms, 2 bath, split floor plan, living room, eat in kitchen with eye catching cabinetry, granite counter tops, stainless appliances, recently added vinyl flooring and separate laundry room. Spacious main bedroom with en-suite complete with jacuzzi tub, separate shower, and walk-in closet. Backyard large enough for multiple uses and the front yard compliments the curb appeal for this home. Home is located in Silver Ridge Subdivision, close to Hwy 468 and just minutes from Hwy 80. Close to shops, restaurants and the Interstate.

Key facts

  • Split floor plan
  • Eat in kitchen
  • Stainless appliances

Tags

SPLIT FLOOR PLANEAT IN KITCHENGRANITE COUNTER TOPSSTAINLESS APPLIANCESRECENTLY ADDED VINYL FLOORINGSEPARATE LAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-52 ($-629/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $231k (3.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (23.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#19 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Pearl Public School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #32 of 130 in MS (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pearl Lower Elementary School (782 students, 100% FRL); Pearl Junior High School (math 46% / reading 40%, grade D-, #47 of 179 statewide, top 26%, 1,001 students, 100% FRL); Pearl High School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #28 of 197 statewide, top 14%, 1,262 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 57% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 277 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 343 units permitted in Rankin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rankin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,204 (23.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.94%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$246,874
List price
$239,900
Delta
-2.82%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
304 Silver Tree Ln 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+0%) 2mo $238,000 $165 92
427 Silver Hill Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+1%) 4mo $264,900 $182 88
114 Silver Ridge Ln 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+4%) 9mo $1,160,000 $773 82
405 Silver Hill Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,427 (-1%) 21mo $235,000 $165 79
227 Silver Lk 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,433 (-0%) 23mo $239,000 $167 74
606 Silver Cv 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,585 (+10%) 5mo $270,000 $170 64
510 Silver Hl 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,485 (+3%) 17mo $259,999 $175 59
807 Silver Pointe 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,485 (+3%) 18mo $269,999 $182 59
805 Silver Pointe 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,485 (+3%) 18mo $259,999 $175 59
549 Silver Hill Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,585 (+10%) 6mo $278,000 $175 58
1280 Deeb St 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,292 (-10%) 16mo $110,000 $85 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-35,880
Equity at exit
$35,770
10-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-7,685
Equity at exit
$20,742

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39208

Home prices YoY
-20.3%
Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
277
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,842 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax from tax record
$129 /mo · $1,543/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$21
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$-52

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,908
Max offer price $230,641
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $83 -5% $15 +0% $-52 +5% $-120 +10% $-188
Rent -10% $-198 -5% $-125 +0% $-52 +5% $20 +10% $93
Rate -1.0pp $68 -0.5pp $9 base $-52 +0.5pp $-115 +1.0pp $-178

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,975
Closing costs
$7,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
509 Silver Hill Dr Pearl, MS 3.0 2.0 1714 $2,250 $1.31 15d 1 0.25mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$21 · $252/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $239,900 Active 88 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $239,900 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $239,900 Active 86 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $239,900 Active 85 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $239,900 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $239,900 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,900 Active 79 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,900 Active 78 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $239,900 Active 77 DOM
  10. 2026-04-24
    price $239,900 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Cute and cozy full brick home with 3 bedrooms, 2 bath, split floor plan, living room, eat in kitchen with eye catching cabinetry, granite counter tops, stainless appliances, recently added vinyl flooring and separate laundry room. Spacious main bedroom with en-suite complete with jacuzzi tub, separate shower, and walk-in closet. Backyard large enough for multiple uses and the front yard compliments the curb appeal for this home. Home is located in Silver Ridge Subdivision, close to Hwy 468 and just minutes from Hwy 80. Close to shops, restaurants and the Interstate.

  11. 2026-03-14
    listed $243,000 Active 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Cute and cozy full brick home with 3 bedrooms, 2 bath, split floor plan, living room, eat in kitchen with eye catching cabinetry, granite counter tops, stainless appliances, recently added vinyl flooring and separate laundry room. Spacious main bedroom with en-suite complete with jacuzzi tub, separate shower, and walk-in closet. Backyard large enough for multiple uses and the front yard compliments the curb appeal for this home. Home is located in Silver Ridge Subdivision, close to Hwy 468 and just minutes from Hwy 80. Close to shops, restaurants and the Interstate.

  12. 2021-10-08
    historical
  13. 2021-10-08
    historical
  14. 2009-01-15
    listed $149,900
  15. 2008-08-14
    listed $159,750
  16. 2007-08-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,543 · $129/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,895 · $158/mo
Expected delta
+$352/yr (+$29/mo · 22.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,104
− Mortgage interest
−$13,438
− Property taxes
−$1,543
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,768
− Management
−$1,768
− HOA
−$252
− Depreciation
−$6,979
Taxable loss
−$4,844
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,163
After-tax cash flow
$534/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pearl Public School District
NCES district ID
2803520
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,525
Composite
36.29/100
National rank
#4699
State rank
#32 of 130 in MS

Livability — Pearl

Score
73/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#5662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pearl, MS
County
Rankin County · 123,614 people
City population
34,442
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
34,442
Household income
$65,480
Rent vs Own
35.3% rent · 64.7% own
Severe rent burden
1235.0

Population outlook (Rankin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,317 people
By 2030
171,013 · +4.1%
By 2040
182,723 · +11.2%
By 2050
192,376 · +17.1%
By 2075
209,535 · +27.5%
By 2100
209,534 · +27.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rankin

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+6.4pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.1 2020: R+45.4 2016: R+52.9 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+53.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.11%
Current HPI
193.0609
Rent YoY
▲ 6.34%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+50.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $239,900 MLSU
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $243,000 MLSU
  • 2021-10-08 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2021-10-08 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2009-01-15 Listed $149,900 MLSU
  • 2008-08-14 Listed $159,750 MLSU
  • 2007-08-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,543 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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