600 S Dennison Rd Spc 109 · Tehachapi, CA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 17 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in a welcoming 55+ mobile home community in scenic Kern County, this well-maintained home offers comfort, low-maintenance living, and a peaceful neighborhood atmosphere. Enjoy fresh air, four mild seasons, and stunning views of the Tehachapi Mountains -- all just minutes from shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. Walking distance to local middle schools and high schools and less than a 5 minute drive to Downtown Tehachapi. Perfect for those ready to downsize without compromise, this home delivers affordability, convenience, and the lifestyle you deserve. Seller is offering $8,000 in credits - ideal for carpet/paint replacement! Come see why so many love calling Tehachapi home!
Key facts
- Built 2004
- Listed 73 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $984 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 3.4% in Tehachapi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,093 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Tehachapi Unified (town): math 26% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #285 of 517 in CA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 654 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.13%
- DSCR
- 2.34
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,663
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -15.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 S Dennison Rd #112 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (0%) | 6mo | $154,000 | $106 | 95 |
| 600 S Dennison Rd #13 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (-12%) | 3mo | $139,900 | $109 | 78 |
| 600 S Dennison Rd #19 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (+7%) | 17mo | $252,100 | $162 | 69 |
| 600 S Dennison Rd #50 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-14%) | 24mo | $175,000 | $140 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $33,288
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $83,739
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93561
- Home prices YoY
- -23.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 654
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,313 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $602/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$486
- Net cashflow
- $984
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49500 Alan Ave Tehachapi, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,200 | $2.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 933 Clearview St Tehachapi, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,350 | $2.08 | 11d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 933 Clearview St Tehachapi, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,350 | $2.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1431 Cimarron Ct Unit 2 Tehachapi, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 458 Sherwood Pl Tehachapi, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $2,300 | $1.67 | 10d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-07remarks 698-char remark
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $140,000 Pending 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $140,000 Pending Sale 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active Under Contract 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active Under Contract 96 DOM
-
2026-05-08status Pending 698-char remark
Show marketing remark (698 chars)
Located in a welcoming 55+ mobile home community in scenic Kern County, this well-maintained home offers comfort, low-maintenance living, and a peaceful neighborhood atmosphere. Enjoy fresh air, four mild seasons, and stunning views of the Tehachapi Mountains -- all just minutes from shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. Walking distance to local middle schools and high schools and less than a 5 minute drive to Downtown Tehachapi. Perfect for those ready to downsize without compromise, this home delivers affordability, convenience, and the lifestyle you deserve. Seller is offering $8,000 in credits - ideal for carpet/paint replacement! Come see why so many love calling Tehachapi home!
-
2026-05-04historical Active Under Contract 935-char remark
Show marketing remark (935 chars)
* * * Offering $8,000 seller credit for carpet & paint * * * Enjoy peaceful living in the beautiful mountain community of Tehachapi. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home offers comfortable, single-level living in a quiet and welcoming neighborhood. The home features a spacious living area filled with natural light, a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space, and a private primary bedroom with its own bathroom for added comfort. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for visiting family, hobbies, or simply extra space to enjoy. Surrounded by fresh mountain air and four mild seasons, this home offers a relaxed pace of life while still being just minutes from shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. It’s the perfect place to settle in, unwind, and enjoy this next chapter in comfort and simplicity. Come experience the charm and tranquility that make Tehachapi such a special place to call home.
-
2026-02-24$140,000 Active 698-char remark
Show marketing remark (935 chars)
* * * Offering $8,000 seller credit for carpet & paint * * * Enjoy peaceful living in the beautiful mountain community of Tehachapi. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home offers comfortable, single-level living in a quiet and welcoming neighborhood. The home features a spacious living area filled with natural light, a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space, and a private primary bedroom with its own bathroom for added comfort. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for visiting family, hobbies, or simply extra space to enjoy. Surrounded by fresh mountain air and four mild seasons, this home offers a relaxed pace of life while still being just minutes from shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. It’s the perfect place to settle in, unwind, and enjoy this next chapter in comfort and simplicity. Come experience the charm and tranquility that make Tehachapi such a special place to call home.
-
2026-02-24$140,000 Active 935-char remark
Show marketing remark (935 chars)
* * * Offering $8,000 seller credit for carpet & paint * * * Enjoy peaceful living in the beautiful mountain community of Tehachapi. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home offers comfortable, single-level living in a quiet and welcoming neighborhood. The home features a spacious living area filled with natural light, a functional kitchen with ample cabinet space, and a private primary bedroom with its own bathroom for added comfort. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for visiting family, hobbies, or simply extra space to enjoy. Surrounded by fresh mountain air and four mild seasons, this home offers a relaxed pace of life while still being just minutes from shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. It’s the perfect place to settle in, unwind, and enjoy this next chapter in comfort and simplicity. Come experience the charm and tranquility that make Tehachapi such a special place to call home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $602 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,064 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$462/yr (+$38/mo · 76.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 17 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,750
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$602
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,220
- − Management
- −$2,220
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $10,093
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,422
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,388/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tehachapi Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0638880
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,230
- Composite
- 29.52/100
- National rank
- #6497
- State rank
- #285 of 517 in CA
Livability — Tehachapi
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1093
- US rank
- #25419
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tehachapi, CA
- County
- Kern County · 710,371 people
- City population
- 31,175
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,175
- Household income
- $87,357
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 568.0
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.70%
- Current HPI
- 371.6546
- Rent YoY
- ▬ 0.05%
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — AVMLS
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listed $140,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listed $140,000 AVMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $602 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…