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315 Storch St
D Composite 44.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

315 Storch St · Saginaw, MI 48602
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 160 Days on market
Built 1924 4,792 sqft lot Est $83k · 21% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Landlords/Investors, enjoy the guaranteed rental payments with this Section 8 rental property. This 3-bedroom property has undergone many recent updates. Section 8 pays directly to the owner, with a total monthly rent of $1363. This 3-bedroom investment property is located in a well-maintained neighborhood, close to schools and shopping. This home comes with all appliances, including a washer and dryer. Central air and the roof are newer. Do Not Disturb tenants! Serious buyers only!

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Recent updates
  • All appliances

Tags

RECENT UPDATESWELL-MAINTAINED NEIGHBORHOODCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO SHOPPINGALL APPLIANCESCENTRAL AIR

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1.5 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 125 (0.11 acre)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $100k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
7.87%
Cash-on-cash
5.62%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$82,944
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
310 S Bates St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,069 (+4%) 2mo $42,000 $39 77
1511 Osborn St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,041 (+2%) 1mo $90,000 $86 72
250 Goetz St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+9%) 4mo $79,900 $71 71
1415 Lyon St 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,068 (+4%) 0mo $74,900 $70 71
1715 Hancock St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 970 (-5%) 1mo $42,500 $44 70
35 Congress Court A 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,026 (+0%) 0mo $115,000 $112 68
1902 Newberry St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,004 (-2%) 4mo $139,900 $139 62
144 Lockwood St 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,164 (+14%) 4mo $94,000 $81 61
828 Malzahn St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,138 (+11%) 3mo $109,900 $97 56
2821 Cooper Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 917 (-10%) 3mo $95,000 $104 55
809 S Mason St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 890 (-13%) 7mo $11,000 $12 45
2016 Houghton Ave 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,152 (+12%) 6mo $90,000 $78 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-6,662
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$9,916
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48602

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,130 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,349/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $964
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $188 -5% $160 +0% $131 +5% $103 +10% $75
Rent -10% $42 -5% $87 +0% $131 +5% $176 +10% $220
Rate -1.0pp $182 -0.5pp $157 base $131 +0.5pp $105 +1.0pp $79

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4156 Ann St Saginaw, MI 4.0 1.5 1387 $1,225 $0.88 44d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $100,000 Active 160 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 159 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 158 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 157 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 156 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 154 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $100,000 Active 153 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 150 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 149 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 148 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 145 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 144 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 143 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 142 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 141 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 140 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    price $100,000 487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Landlords/Investors, enjoy the guaranteed rental payments with this Section 8 rental property. This 3-bedroom property has undergone many recent updates. Section 8 pays directly to the owner, with a total monthly rent of $1363. This 3-bedroom investment property is located in a well-maintained neighborhood, close to schools and shopping. This home comes with all appliances, including a washer and dryer. Central air and the roof are newer. Do Not Disturb tenants! Serious buyers only!

  18. 2026-04-02
    price $100,000
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Landlords/Investors, enjoy the guaranteed rental payments with this Section 8 rental property. This 3-bedroom property has undergone many recent updates. Section 8 pays directly to the owner, with a total monthly rent of $1363. This 3-bedroom investment property is located in a well-maintained neighborhood, close to schools and shopping. This home comes with all appliances, including a washer and dryer. Central air and the roof are newer. Do Not Disturb tenants! Serious buyers only!

  19. 2026-01-10
    listed $115,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Landlords/Investors, enjoy the guaranteed rental payments with this Section 8 rental property. This 3-bedroom property has undergone many recent updates. Section 8 pays directly to the owner, with a total monthly rent of $1363. This 3-bedroom investment property is located in a well-maintained neighborhood, close to schools and shopping. This home comes with all appliances, including a washer and dryer. Central air and the roof are newer. Do Not Disturb tenants! Serious buyers only!

  20. 2026-01-10
    listed $115,000 Active 487-char remark
    Show marketing remark (487 chars)

    Landlords/Investors, enjoy the guaranteed rental payments with this Section 8 rental property. This 3-bedroom property has undergone many recent updates. Section 8 pays directly to the owner, with a total monthly rent of $1363. This 3-bedroom investment property is located in a well-maintained neighborhood, close to schools and shopping. This home comes with all appliances, including a washer and dryer. Central air and the roof are newer. Do Not Disturb tenants! Serious buyers only!

  21. 2023-07-06
    soldstatus $37,000 Sold 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom home is located in a very quiet, well maintained neighborhood and close to schools and shopping. First time home buyers, this home comes with all appliances and a new central air unit just put in for cooling comfort on those hot summer days. Ready for a new family or an investment.

  22. 2023-07-06
    soldstatus $37,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom home is located in a very quiet, well maintained neighborhood and close to schools and shopping. First time home buyers, this home comes with all appliances and a new central air unit just put in for cooling comfort on those hot summer days. Ready for a new family or an investment.

  23. 2023-07-06
    soldstatus $47,000
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom home is located in a very quiet, well maintained neighborhood and close to schools and shopping. First time home buyers, this home comes with all appliances and a new central air unit just put in for cooling comfort on those hot summer days. Ready for a new family or an investment.

  24. 2023-06-30
    status Pending 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom home is located in a very quiet, well maintained neighborhood and close to schools and shopping. First time home buyers, this home comes with all appliances and a new central air unit just put in for cooling comfort on those hot summer days. Ready for a new family or an investment.

  25. 2023-06-30
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom home is located in a very quiet, well maintained neighborhood and close to schools and shopping. First time home buyers, this home comes with all appliances and a new central air unit just put in for cooling comfort on those hot summer days. Ready for a new family or an investment.

  26. 2023-06-29
    status Active 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom home is located in a very quiet, well maintained neighborhood and close to schools and shopping. First time home buyers, this home comes with all appliances and a new central air unit just put in for cooling comfort on those hot summer days. Ready for a new family or an investment.

  27. 2023-06-29
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom home is located in a very quiet, well maintained neighborhood and close to schools and shopping. First time home buyers, this home comes with all appliances and a new central air unit just put in for cooling comfort on those hot summer days. Ready for a new family or an investment.

  28. 2023-06-29
    status Pending 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom home is located in a very quiet, well maintained neighborhood and close to schools and shopping. First time home buyers, this home comes with all appliances and a new central air unit just put in for cooling comfort on those hot summer days. Ready for a new family or an investment.

  29. 2023-06-29
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom home is located in a very quiet, well maintained neighborhood and close to schools and shopping. First time home buyers, this home comes with all appliances and a new central air unit just put in for cooling comfort on those hot summer days. Ready for a new family or an investment.

  30. 2023-06-26
    listed $49,000 Active 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom home is located in a very quiet, well maintained neighborhood and close to schools and shopping. First time home buyers, this home comes with all appliances and a new central air unit just put in for cooling comfort on those hot summer days. Ready for a new family or an investment.

  31. 2023-06-26
    listed $49,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    This cute 3 bedroom home is located in a very quiet, well maintained neighborhood and close to schools and shopping. First time home buyers, this home comes with all appliances and a new central air unit just put in for cooling comfort on those hot summer days. Ready for a new family or an investment.

  32. 2019-02-21
    soldstatus $43,900
  33. 2019-02-15
    soldstatus $43,900
  34. 2019-02-15
    soldstatus $43,900 Closed
  35. 2019-02-01
    status Pending
  36. 2019-01-10
    historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl
  37. 2018-12-10
    listed $45,500
  38. 2018-12-10
    listed $45,500 Active
  39. 2007-06-07
    soldstatus $26,000
  40. 2007-06-07
    soldstatus $26,000
  41. 2007-06-07
    soldstatus $26,000
  42. 2007-04-02
    historical
  43. 2007-03-29
    listed $34,900
  44. 2007-03-29
    listed $34,900
  45. 2007-03-29
    listed $34,900
  46. 2002-04-05
    soldstatus $71,900
  47. 2002-02-26
    soldstatus $71,900
  48. 2002-02-26
    soldstatus $71,900
  49. 2001-09-05
    listed $68,900
  50. 2001-09-05
    listed $68,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,349 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,349 · $196/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,565
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$2,349
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,085
− Management
−$1,085
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$35
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$8
After-tax cash flow
$1,566/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saginaw School District
NCES district ID
2630390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,940
Composite
19.6/100
National rank
#8755
State rank
#444 of 540 in MI

Livability — Saginaw

Score
63/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#15424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, MI
County
Saginaw County · 54,884 people
City population
54,884
Metro
Saginaw, MI
Population (ZIP)
27,127
Household income
$46,984
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1416.0

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.15%
Current HPI
159.8807
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Saginaw, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.1% since first listed
34 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-10 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-10 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
  • 2023-07-06 Sold (MLS) $37,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-06 Sold (MLS) $37,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-06-30 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-06-30 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-29 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2023-06-29 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-29 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-06-29 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-26 Listed $49,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-26 Listed $49,000 REALCOMP
  • 2019-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $43,900 Public Records
  • 2019-02-15 Sold (MLS) $43,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-02-15 Sold (MLS) $43,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-02-01 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-01-10 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-12-10 Listed $45,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-12-10 Listed $45,500 REALCOMP
  • 2007-06-07 Sold (MLS) $26,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-06-07 Sold (MLS) $26,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-06-07 Sold (MLS) $26,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-04-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-03-29 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-03-29 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-03-29 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 2002-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $71,900 Public Records
  • 2002-02-26 Sold (MLS) $71,900 REALCOMP
  • 2002-02-26 Sold (MLS) $71,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-09-05 Listed $68,900 REALCOMP
  • 2001-09-05 Listed $68,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,349 · -16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…