16601 S Garfield Ave #95 · Paramount, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +2.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience modern living, open concept, in this beautiful 55+ Senior Community residence. This 2 bedroom 2 bath home features an inside laundry room and enhanced by an open concept living room, dining room, kitchen equipped with an over counter gas stove and lots of cabinets.
Key facts
- Open concept
- Lots of cabinets
- Inside laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Park name: Golden State MHP
- Financial info: Monthly land lease: $1,399
- HOA & community: Senior community; Land lease through park
Exterior
- Parking: Located in Golden State MHP (mobile home park)
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Zero lot line
- Construction: Mobile home remains on site; Mobile dimensions approximately 56' x 24'; Year built source: Builder; Double body type
- Exterior features: Community pool; Sidewalks
Interior
- Kitchen: Garbage disposal; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms on ground floor; Main floor bedroom
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Double sinks in bathroom(s)
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan; Front door entry
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Has laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.2% in Paramount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#432 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Paramount Unified (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #416 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.85%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,957
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- 12.33%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16601 Garfield Ave #107 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $141 | 94 |
| 16511 Garfield Unit B4 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-4%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $193 | 79 |
| 16601 Garfield #129 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-8%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $146 | 76 |
| 16707 Garfield Ave #1707 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,176 (-12%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $221 | 61 |
| 16707 S Garfield, #1703 #1703 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,413 (+5%) | 23mo | $150,000 | $106 | 61 |
| 16600 Orange Ave Spc 111 | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 16mo | $158,000 | $110 | 53 |
| 16600 Orange Ave #129 | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-7%) | 22mo | $217,500 | $174 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $4,286
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $32,353
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90723
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,758 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$579
- Net cashflow
- $728
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1319 E 68th St Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $2,600 | $2.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 6890 Paramount Blvd Unit 12 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,695 | $2.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 6501 Cherry Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,874 | $2.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 6765 Lemon Ave Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $3,800 | $3.17 | 2d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 15334 Orizaba Ave Paramount, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $3,095 | $2.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3384 E 67th St Apt 2 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,234 | $3.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6202 Cherry Ave Unit 6202 Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,175 | $2.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 17050 Passage Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 828 | $2,495 | $3.01 | 20d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 6045 Cherry Ave Unit 1 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $2,850 | $2.60 | 12d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 15005 Indiana Ave Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $3,300 | $2.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7317 Richfield St Unit 7317 Paramount, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $3,200 | $3.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 8523 Cedar St Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $3,000 | $2.55 | 6d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 7227 Richfield St Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $2,450 | $2.75 | 2d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 8623 Cedar St Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,195 | $2.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 16245 Lakewood Blvd Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $2,402 | $2.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $210,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$210,000 Active 276-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$3,150
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,648
- − Management
- −$2,648
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable income
- $5,732
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,376
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,359/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 55+ Senior Community residence requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and appeal. Key areas for improvement include the awning, kitchen cabinets, and bathroom fixtures. Upgrades in these areas will significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Awning — Weathered and likely not functioning properly
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Aesthetic upgrade needed
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Update needed for a more modern look
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale Replace awning — A new awning improves functionality and aesthetics
- Resale Update kitchen cabinets — Modern cabinets increase appeal and functionality
- Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Awning · Weathered and likely not functioning properly | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Kitchen cabinets · Aesthetic upgrade needed | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Update needed for a more modern look | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $16,000–56,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Replace awning — A new awning improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale Update kitchen cabinets — Modern cabinets increase appeal and functionality ↑
- Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paramount Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629850
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,631
- Composite
- 21.25/100
- National rank
- #8398
- State rank
- #416 of 517 in CA
Livability — Paramount
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #432
- US rank
- #14664
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paramount, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 52,050
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,050
- Household income
- $75,250
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2420.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 26% Black 9% White 4% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 71%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 67% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -459.80%
- Current HPI
- 478.1981
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.99%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $210,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $397 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…