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16601 S Garfield Ave #95
C Composite 59.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +2.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

16601 S Garfield Ave #95 · Paramount, CA 90723
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1971 Fair condition $156/sqft · 12% above area Est $187k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience modern living, open concept, in this beautiful 55+ Senior Community residence. This 2 bedroom 2 bath home features an inside laundry room and enhanced by an open concept living room, dining room, kitchen equipped with an over counter gas stove and lots of cabinets.

Key facts

  • Open concept
  • Lots of cabinets
  • Inside laundry room

Tags

OPEN CONCEPTINSIDE LAUNDRY ROOMOVER COUNTER GAS STOVELOTS OF CABINETS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Park name: Golden State MHP
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease: $1,399
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Land lease through park

Exterior

  • Parking: Located in Golden State MHP (mobile home park)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Zero lot line
  • Construction: Mobile home remains on site; Mobile dimensions approximately 56' x 24'; Year built source: Builder; Double body type
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Garbage disposal; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on ground floor; Main floor bedroom
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Double sinks in bathroom(s)
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan; Front door entry
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Has laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.2% in Paramount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#432 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Paramount Unified (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #416 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $203,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.45%
Cash-on-cash
14.85%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$186,957
List price
$210,000
Delta
12.33%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16601 Garfield Ave #107 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,344 (0%) 7mo $190,000 $141 94
16511 Garfield Unit B4 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,296 (-4%) 5mo $250,000 $193 79
16601 Garfield #129 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (-8%) 6mo $180,000 $146 76
16707 Garfield Ave #1707 0.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,176 (-12%) 8mo $260,000 $221 61
16707 S Garfield, #1703 #1703 0.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,413 (+5%) 23mo $150,000 $106 61
16600 Orange Ave Spc 111 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+7%) 16mo $158,000 $110 53
16600 Orange Ave #129 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-7%) 22mo $217,500 $174 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$4,286
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$32,353
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 90723

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,758 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax est. 1.5%
$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$579
Net cashflow
$728

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,837
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1319 E 68th St Long Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 902 $2,600 $2.88 24d 1 0.51mi
6890 Paramount Blvd Unit 12 Long Beach, CA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,695 $2.45 43d 1 0.58mi
6501 Cherry Ave Long Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 915 $1,874 $2.05 15d 1 0.69mi
6765 Lemon Ave Long Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1197 $3,800 $3.17 2d 1 0.71mi
15334 Orizaba Ave Paramount, CA 3.0 1.0 1116 $3,095 $2.77 43d 1 1.01mi
3384 E 67th St Apt 2 Long Beach, CA 3.0 1.0 1000 $3,234 $3.23 43d 1 1.04mi
6202 Cherry Ave Unit 6202 Long Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 875 $2,175 $2.49 43d 1 1.06mi
17050 Passage Ave Bellflower, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 828 $2,495 $3.01 20d 2 1.22mi
6045 Cherry Ave Unit 1 Long Beach, CA 3.0 1.0 1095 $2,850 $2.60 12d 1 1.23mi
15005 Indiana Ave Paramount, CA 2.0 2.0 1134 $3,300 $2.91 24d 1 1.32mi
7317 Richfield St Unit 7317 Paramount, CA 3.0 1.0 924 $3,200 $3.46 43d 1 1.34mi
8523 Cedar St Bellflower, CA 2.0 2.0 1175 $3,000 $2.55 6d 1 1.34mi
7227 Richfield St Paramount, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 890 $2,450 $2.75 2d 1 1.34mi
8623 Cedar St Bellflower, CA 2.0 1.5 1100 $3,195 $2.90 24d 1 1.43mi
16245 Lakewood Blvd Bellflower, CA 2.0 1.0 966 $2,402 $2.49 43d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $210,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    listed $210,000 Active 276-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,100
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$3,150
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,648
− Management
−$2,648
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$5,732
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,376
After-tax cash flow
$7,359/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This 55+ Senior Community residence requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and appeal. Key areas for improvement include the awning, kitchen cabinets, and bathroom fixtures. Upgrades in these areas will significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Awning — Weathered and likely not functioning properly
  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Aesthetic upgrade needed
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Update needed for a more modern look

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Replace awning — A new awning improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale Update kitchen cabinets — Modern cabinets increase appeal and functionality
  • Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Awning · Weathered and likely not functioning properly Major $15,000–50,000
Kitchen cabinets · Aesthetic upgrade needed Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom fixtures · Update needed for a more modern look Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $16,000–56,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Replace awning — A new awning improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale Update kitchen cabinets — Modern cabinets increase appeal and functionality
  • Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paramount Unified
NCES district ID
0629850
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$46,631
Composite
21.25/100
National rank
#8398
State rank
#416 of 517 in CA

Livability — Paramount

Score
64/100
State rank
#432
US rank
#14664

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paramount, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
52,050
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
52,050
Household income
$75,250
Rent vs Own
57.0% rent · 43.0% own
Severe rent burden
2420.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 26% Black 9% White 4% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 71%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada
Languages at home
29% English-only · Spanish 67% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -459.80%
Current HPI
478.1981
Rent YoY
▼ -0.99%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $210,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $397 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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