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12523 Asbury Chapel Rd
F Composite 33.57
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

12523 Asbury Chapel Rd · Huntersville, NC 28078
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Land public records · 87 Days on market
Built 1978 0.55 ac lot ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to own over half an acre on the east side of Huntersville, a popular, growing area that is convenient to Huntersville Town Center, Birkdale Village, and only 8 miles to Concord Mills and 4 miles to I-485. This property offers a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom doublewide manufactured home, with a metal 2-car carport. Bring the pets to the fenced-in yard; ready to move in. Great opportunity for investors as well. Property being sold as is; seller will make no repairs.

Key facts

  • 0.55 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1978

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport with 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured doublewide single-family residence; One level; Completed development
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Aluminum and vinyl exterior materials; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a single-unit manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Chain link fencing; Cleared lot; Shed(s) on the property; Asphalt/paved public road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Central air
  • Interior features: 10 total rooms; Ceiling fans in multiple rooms; Walk-in closets in several rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located in hall; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-242 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (12.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (23.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $210k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.6% in Huntersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#47 in NC, #4,079 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: cost of living C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools (urban): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #85 of 178 in NC (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Blythe Elementary (math 39% / reading 45%, grade F, #633 of 1,410 statewide, top 48%, 915 students, 45% FRL); J. M. Alexander Middle (math 25% / reading 41%, grade F, #305 of 475 statewide, top 65%, 783 students, 52% FRL); North Mecklenburg High School (math 61% / reading 56%, grade C, #235 of 535 statewide, top 45%, 2,186 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 768 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 11,969 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (5,377 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mecklenburg County population projected at +53% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $209,889 (23.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.24%
Cash-on-cash
-3.78%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.9%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-65,797
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-35.1%
Equity multiple
-0.29×
Total profit
$-99,651
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28078

Home prices YoY
-31.4%
Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
768
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,099 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax est. 1.5%
$344 /mo · $4,125/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$-242

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,406
Max offer price $239,933
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-52 -5% $-147 +0% $-242 +5% $-337 +10% $-432
Rent -10% $-408 -5% $-325 +0% $-242 +5% $-159 +10% $-77
Rate -1.0pp $-104 -0.5pp $-172 base $-242 +0.5pp $-314 +1.0pp $-386

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6930 Prosperity Church Rd Huntersville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1088 $2,874 $2.64 5d 26 1.14mi
6503 Ziegler Ln Charlotte, NC 2.0 2.0 1068 $1,800 $1.69 26d 1 1.22mi
8829 Arbor Creek Dr Charlotte, NC 2.0 2.5 1200 $1,645 $1.37 4d 1 1.35mi
12640 Cardinal Point Rd Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 1608 $1,455 $0.90 15d 1 1.38mi
5030 Cardinal Spring Rd Charlotte, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1115 $3,039 $2.73 0d 54 1.41mi
8643 Beaver Creek Dr Charlotte, NC 2.0 2.5 1152 $1,750 $1.52 16d 1 1.43mi
8606 Beaver Creek Dr Charlotte, NC 2.0 2.5 1134 $1,749 $1.54 4d 1 1.43mi
8606 Beaver Creek Dr Charlotte, NC 2.0 2.5 1134 $1,749 $1.54 9d 1 1.43mi
8409 Summerford Dr Charlotte, NC 2.0 2.5 1569 $1,995 $1.27 0d 1 1.44mi
4708 Pepperstone Ln Charlotte, NC 2.0 2.5 1500 $1,999 $1.33 18d 1 1.47mi
4602 Quinton Ln Charlotte, NC 3.0 2.5 1365 $1,845 $1.35 20d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $275,000 Active 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $275,000 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $275,000 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 74 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 73 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $275,000 Active 70 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $275,000 Active 69 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $275,000 Active 68 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $275,000 Active 67 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 66 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    price $275,000
  16. 2026-04-20
    price $295,000
  17. 2026-03-26
    listed $319,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,187
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$4,125
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,015
− Management
−$2,015
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$7,747
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,859
After-tax cash flow
$-1,049/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools
NCES district ID
3702970
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$57,175
Composite
38.49/100
National rank
#4183
State rank
#85 of 178 in NC

Livability — Huntersville

Score
75/100
State rank
#47
US rank
#4079

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Mecklenburg County · 1,167,319 people
City population
71,657
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
71,657
Household income
$120,831
Rent vs Own
28.4% rent · 71.6% own
Severe rent burden
1275.0

Population outlook (Mecklenburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,305,740 people
By 2030
1,442,752 · +10.5%
By 2040
1,722,441 · +31.9%
By 2050
1,999,450 · +53.1%
By 2075
2,642,495 · +102.4%
By 2100
3,106,755 · +137.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mecklenburg

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 65.6% · R 32.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+8.5pp toward D · 2008: 24.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+29.9 2012: D+22.5 2008: D+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.16%
Current HPI
266.4459
Rent YoY
▲ 0.16%
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $275,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $295,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $319,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $530 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…