18194 Faller Rd · Tickfaw, LA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.2
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Renovated mobile home on 1.10 acres in a nice, convenient setting. This mobile home has an updated kitchen, attached carport for two vehicles and storage, fireplace, and more. No carpet, separate laundry room, and spacious primary bath and closet. Location is great! Minutes to Downtown Hammond, I-12 and I-55 but in a rural setting.
Key facts
- Attached carport
- Great location
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (5.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.0% in Tickfaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#203 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Tangipahoa Parish (rural): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #63 of 98 in LA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Woodland Park Magnet (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #597 of 646 statewide, top 95%, 519 students, 88% FRL); Lucille Nesom Memorial (math 7% / reading 21%, grade F, #534 of 646 statewide, top 83%, 549 students, 83% FRL); Independence High Magnet (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #224 of 265 statewide, top 86%, 570 students, 80% FRL).
- Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,085 units permitted in Tangipahoa Parish in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
- Tangipahoa County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.81%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $234,924
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -29.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18259 Fox Hollow Loop | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,675 (-3%) | 7mo | $199,000 | $119 | 62 |
| 18155 Briarwood Dr | 0.99mi | 3/2.0 | 1,653 (-4%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $94 | 54 |
| 18231 Fox Hollow Loop | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,604 (-7%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $134 | 53 |
| 17045 Tycer Ln | 1.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,837 (+6%) | 10mo | $274,811 | $150 | 47 |
| 18335 Fox Hollow Loop | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (-11%) | 14mo | $208,000 | $135 | 42 |
| 18349 Fox Hollow Loop | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-25%) | 5mo | $191,000 | $147 | 42 |
| 18092 Fox Hollow Loop | 0.83mi | 3/2.0 | 1,535 (-11%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $140 | 41 |
| 16330 Ridgel Rd | 1.46mi | 3/2.5 | 1,833 (+6%) | 16mo | $319,000 | $174 | 40 |
| 16291 Johns Dr | 1.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,379 (-20%) | 3mo | $191,000 | $139 | 37 |
| 48432 Fox Hollow Blvd | 0.76mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (-12%) | 15mo | $221,000 | $145 | 33 |
| 48447 Fox Hollow Blvd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-25%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $162 | 32 |
| 50026 Drago Ln | 1.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,305 (-24%) | 12mo | $229,900 | $176 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $42,151
- Equity at exit
- $80,201
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $119,759
- Equity at exit
- $128,489
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70466
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,568 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $510/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $262
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $356 | -5% $309 | +0% $262 | +5% $216 | +10% $169 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $138 | -5% $200 | +0% $262 | +5% $324 | +10% $386 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $345 | -0.5pp $304 | base $262 | +0.5pp $219 | +1.0pp $176 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18301-0 Fox Hollow Loop Hammond, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1847 | $2,500 | $1.35 | 139d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 18317 Fox Hollow Loop Hammond, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1847 | $1,975 | $1.07 | 2d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 18175 Fox Hollow Loop Hammond, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,615 | $1.01 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 48317 Fox Hollow Blvd Hammond, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1439 | $1,900 | $1.32 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-30days on market $165,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $165,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $165,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $165,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $165,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $165,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $165,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $165,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $165,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $165,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $165,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $165,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $165,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $165,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $165,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $165,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $165,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $165,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $165,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $165,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $165,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $165,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $165,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $165,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $165,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $165,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $165,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $165,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $165,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $165,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $165,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $165,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $165,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $165,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $165,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $165,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $165,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $165,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $165,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $165,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $165,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $165,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $165,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $165,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $165,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $165,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $165,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $165,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $165,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $165,000 Active 154 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $510 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $908 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- +$397/yr (+$33/mo · 77.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,817
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$510
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,505
- − Management
- −$1,505
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $429
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$103
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,044/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This renovated mobile home is in good condition with updated interiors and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good balance of curb appeal and functionality.
Components & finishes AI
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and reduce maintenance costs for tenants. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tangipahoa Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201680
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,283
- Composite
- 19.94/100
- National rank
- #8676
- State rank
- #63 of 98 in LA
Livability — Tickfaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #203
- US rank
- #15825
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Tangipahoa · 144,204 people
- Metro
- Hammond, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,815
- Household income
- $63,691
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3% of renters
Population outlook (Tangipahoa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,204 people
- By 2030
- 151,413 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 164,374 · +14.0%
- By 2050
- 175,427 · +21.7%
- By 2075
- 195,165 · +35.3%
- By 2100
- 201,641 · +39.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Serbian 2% Scandinavian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Tangipahoa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.6% · R 68.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -30.9pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+32.6 2012: R+27.7 2008: R+30.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.64%
- Current HPI
- 126.0016
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+206.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $199,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $199,000 GSREIN
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $200,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $200,000 GSREIN
- 2026-02-01 Listed $219,900 GSREIN
- 2026-02-01 Listed $219,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-23 Listed $190,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-06-23 Listed $190,000 GSREIN
- 2023-06-23 Sold (MLS) $190,000 GSREIN
- 2023-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2002-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $126,000 Public Records
- 1993-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $510 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…