1704 W Brown St · Pasco, WA 99301

$100,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,887 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market

Built 1953 8,712 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

MLS# 291216 Listing price is the STARTING PRICE OF AUCTION and is not indicative of final bid price. Visit Musser Bros. website to place your bids.

Key facts

• 8,712 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1953

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 22.1% vs local median 3.0% in Pasco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#104 in WA, #1,999 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D-.
• Pasco School District (suburban): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #242 of 291 in WA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 705 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 981 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (517 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Franklin County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $98,500 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.52% ✓
• Cap rate: 22.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 56.57%
• DSCR: 3.52
• GRM: 3.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $332,112
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1704 W Brown St	0.00mi	4/1.5	1,887 (0%)	1mo	$233,200	$124	97
1723 N 19th Ave	0.33mi	4/2.0	2,016 (+7%)	4mo	$375,000	$186	70
932 W Agate St	0.60mi	4/2.0	1,828 (-3%)	1mo	$375,000	$205	66
1715 N 24th Ave	0.52mi	4/2.0	2,100 (+11%)	5mo	$325,000	$155	53
1539 N 18th Dr	0.24mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,145 (+14%)	11mo	$345,000	$161	52
1836 W Park St	0.35mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,656 (-12%)	9mo	$325,000	$196	49
2303 W Pearl St	0.57mi	4/2.0	2,100 (+11%)	9mo	$370,000	$176	47
811 W Park St	0.68mi	3/3.0 (-1)	1,832 (-3%)	9mo	$305,000	$166	47
117 Bellerive Ln	0.71mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,998 (+6%)	11mo	$380,000	$190	43
725 W Margaret St	0.71mi	4/2.0	2,142 (+14%)	3mo	$326,000	$152	42
807 W Park St	0.69mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,642 (-13%)	5mo	$237,000	$144	37
1923 W Bonneville St	0.71mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,626 (-14%)	9mo	$365,000	$224	32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 53.8%
• Equity multiple: 3.33×
• Total profit: $65,352
• Equity at exit: $14,910

10-year hold

• IRR: 58.6%
• Equity multiple: 6.54×
• Total profit: $155,069
• Equity at exit: $8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Washington: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 99301

• Rents YoY: 2.0%
• Active inventory: 705
• Price-to-rent: 3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,518 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$103 /mo · $1,236/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$529
• Net cashflow: $1,320

Break-even live

Break-even rent $847

Max offer price $100,000

Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $25,000
• Closing costs: $3,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-12
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-13
   listed $100,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,236 · $103/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,236 · $103/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $30,212
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,602
• − Property taxes: −$1,236
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,417
• − Management: −$2,417
• − Depreciation: −$2,909
• Taxable income: $15,132
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,632
• After-tax cash flow: $12,207/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pasco School District
• NCES district ID: 5306570
• Math proficiency: 31% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $54,454
• Composite: 33.78/100
• National rank: #10401
• State rank: #242 of 291 in WA

Livability — Pasco

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #104
• US rank: #1999

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Pasco, WA
• County: Franklin County · 87,044 people
• City population: 87,044
• Metro: Kennewick-Richland, WA
• Population (ZIP): 87,044
• Household income: $87,951
• Rent vs Own: 28.6% rent · 71.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1556.0

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 108,530 people
• By 2030: 118,705 · +9.4%
• By 2040: 140,053 · +29.0%
• By 2050: 162,360 · +49.6%
• By 2075: 217,667 · +100.6%
• By 2100: 264,533 · +143.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 55% White 37% Two or more races 22% Black 2% Asian 2% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 51%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
• Foreign-born: 21% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 49% English-only · Spanish 47% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+22.7) · D 37.4% · R 60.1% · Other 2.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.0pp toward D · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -22.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+22.7 2020: R+14.5 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+25.2 2008: R+23.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -331.74%
• Current HPI: 284.481
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.99%
• Metro: Kennewick-Richland, WA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.65%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	2	$269B
▸Technology / Retail	1	$638B
▸Technology	1	$245B
▸Telecommunications	1	$38B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$36B
▸Automotive / Trucks	1	$34B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-12 Pending — PACMLS
• 2026-03-13 Listed $100,000 PACMLS

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,236 · -63.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.