201 Northside Ct · Tahlequah, OK
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable and spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home on spacious corner lot! This quaint home offers a cozy living room with wood stove, central heat and air, a large primary suite with private bath and extra storage. The bonus room could be used as a 4th bedroom, den, office, or formal dining area. The carport and garage provide adequate space4 to park the vehicles and additional storage. This cozy but spacious home is situated on a large corner lot with fenced back yard.
Key facts
- Cozy living room
- Wood stove
- Extra storage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Faces north; Crawlspace and slab foundation
- Construction: Brick and wood frame construction; Metal roof; Year built per public records
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Corner lot; Chain link fencing; No additional exterior features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Oven; Range; Dishwasher; Breakfast nook
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with private bath (first level); Additional bedrooms on first level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Master bath (full, first level); Hall bath with bathtub (full, first level); Two full bathrooms total
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate counters; Aluminum and wood window frames; Electric oven and range connections
- Laundry & utility: Inside utility room (first level); Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($176/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (18.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $135k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.3% in Tahlequah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#124 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities D, commute F.
- Tahlequah (town): math 27% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #109 of 270 in OK (top 40%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 367 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cherokee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.11%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $237,140
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1501 N Vinita Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,571 (-6%) | 10mo | $223,750 | $142 | 72 |
| 440 Talley St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,797 (+8%) | 8mo | $335,000 | $186 | 51 |
| 1315 Jamestown Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,732 (+4%) | 18mo | $180,000 | $104 | 50 |
| 1506 N Jones Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,432 (-14%) | 21mo | $190,000 | $133 | 50 |
| 2005 N Alora Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,516 (-9%) | 8mo | $263,000 | $173 | 48 |
| 214 Leoser St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,691 (+1%) | 11mo | $197,500 | $117 | 45 |
| 304 Jamestown | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,909 (+14%) | 4mo | $98,500 | $52 | 41 |
| 1802 N Vinita Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,503 (-10%) | 11mo | $220,000 | $146 | 39 |
| 1320 Jamestown Dr | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,510 (-10%) | 9mo | $157,300 | $104 | 37 |
| 2106 Brenda Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,425 (-15%) | 9mo | $231,000 | $162 | 35 |
| 105 Songbird Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,447 (-13%) | 19mo | $169,000 | $117 | 31 |
| 1813 N Vinita Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 20mo | $249,000 | $173 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-18,672
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $17,337
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74464
- Rents YoY
- 9.2%
- Active inventory
- 367
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,352 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $644/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $15
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-04-21status Active
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-03-04price $164,900
-
2025-12-29$169,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $644 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,484 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$840/yr (+$70/mo · 130.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,227
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$644
- − Insurance
- −$1,622
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,298
- − Management
- −$1,298
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable loss
- −$2,670
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$641
- After-tax cash flow
- $817/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tahlequah
- NCES district ID
- 4029380
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,990
- Composite
- 21.28/100
- National rank
- #8393
- State rank
- #109 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tahlequah
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #124
- US rank
- #12171
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tahlequah, OK
- County
- Cherokee County · 31,116 people
- City population
- 31,116
- Metro
- Tahlequah, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,116
- Household income
- $51,262
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1058.0
Population outlook (Cherokee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,747 people
- By 2030
- 53,481 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 56,503 · +9.2%
- By 2050
- 59,370 · +14.7%
- By 2075
- 67,178 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 70,900 · +37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.82)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Native American 35% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Cherokee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.6) · D 32.7% · R 65.3% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.4pp toward R · 2008: -12.2pp · 2024: -32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -184.14%
- Current HPI
- 226.4004
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.23%
- Metro
- Tahlequah, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-2.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-14 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $164,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-12-29 Listed $169,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $644 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…