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243 Winter St
B- Composite 68.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,000

243 Winter St · Battle Creek, MI 49015
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 918 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1940 5,663 sqft lot Est $119k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * Openhouose Saturday from 12-1pm * * Great opportunity in Lakeview! Cheaper than rent, this 3-bedroom home offers strong potential as a starter home, rental or value-add property. Featuring a practical floor plan, solid structure, and a sizable yard, this property is ready for your vision. Affordable price point with upside potential makes this a smart addition to any portfolio. BATVAI

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1940

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Traditional single-family residence; Built in 1940
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Composition roof; Foundation with full basement
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Storm windows and screens; Full basement; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Natural gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $124k).
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 5.2% in Battle Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#198 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Lakeview School District (Calhoun) (urban): math 28% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #291 of 540 in MI (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $857 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $124k implies a 195% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $124,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.98%
Cash-on-cash
16.74%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$119,340
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
243 Winter St 0.00mi 3/1.0 (-1) 960 (+5%) 0mo $97,000 $101 87
68 Pleasant Ave 0.15mi 3/1.0 (-1) 959 (+4%) 4mo $133,000 $139 77
241 Winter St 0.01mi 3/1.0 (-1) 959 (+4%) 16mo $125,000 $130 74
324 Burr St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (-1) 888 (-3%) 7mo $62,900 $71 74
563 Wentworth Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 935 (+2%) 8mo $157,000 $168 68
115 Winter St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (-1) 960 (+5%) 14mo $67,000 $70 62
64 E Grand Circle Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 920 (+0%) 8mo $110,000 $120 61
754 Andrus St 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 816 (-11%) 1mo $95,000 $116 54
218 22nd St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 960 (+5%) 15mo $160,000 $167 43
159 Spring St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,036 (+13%) 9mo $74,000 $71 34
244 Battle Creek Ave 0.61mi 4/1.0 1,028 (+12%) 22mo $145,000 $141 33
447 Lakeview Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,035 (+13%) 16mo $165,000 $159 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$19,507
Equity at exit
$18,489
10-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
3.78×
Total profit
$96,533
Equity at exit
$10,721

Cash invested: $34,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49015

Rents YoY
11.1%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,655 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$650
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,453/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$484

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,042
Max offer price $124,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,000
Closing costs
$3,720
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    * * Openhouose Saturday from 12-1pm * * Great opportunity in Lakeview! Cheaper than rent, this 3-bedroom home offers strong potential as a starter home, rental or value-add property. Featuring a practical floor plan, solid structure, and a sizable yard, this property is ready for your vision. Affordable price point with upside potential makes this a smart addition to any portfolio. BATVAI

  2. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    * * Openhouose Saturday from 12-1pm * * Great opportunity in Lakeview! Cheaper than rent, this 3-bedroom home offers strong potential as a starter home, rental or value-add property. Featuring a practical floor plan, solid structure, and a sizable yard, this property is ready for your vision. Affordable price point with upside potential makes this a smart addition to any portfolio. BATVAI

  3. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    * * Openhouose Saturday from 12-1pm * * Great opportunity in Lakeview! Cheaper than rent, this 3-bedroom home offers strong potential as a starter home, rental or value-add property. Featuring a practical floor plan, solid structure, and a sizable yard, this property is ready for your vision. Affordable price point with upside potential makes this a smart addition to any portfolio. BATVAI

  4. 2026-05-07
    listed $124,000 Active 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    * * Openhouose Saturday from 12-1pm * * Great opportunity in Lakeview! Cheaper than rent, this 3-bedroom home offers strong potential as a starter home, rental or value-add property. Featuring a practical floor plan, solid structure, and a sizable yard, this property is ready for your vision. Affordable price point with upside potential makes this a smart addition to any portfolio. BATVAI

  5. 2026-05-07
    listed $124,000 Active 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    * * Openhouose Saturday from 12-1pm * * Great opportunity in Lakeview! Cheaper than rent, this 3-bedroom home offers strong potential as a starter home, rental or value-add property. Featuring a practical floor plan, solid structure, and a sizable yard, this property is ready for your vision. Affordable price point with upside potential makes this a smart addition to any portfolio. BATVAI

  6. 2026-05-07
    listed $124,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    * * Openhouose Saturday from 12-1pm * * Great opportunity in Lakeview! Cheaper than rent, this 3-bedroom home offers strong potential as a starter home, rental or value-add property. Featuring a practical floor plan, solid structure, and a sizable yard, this property is ready for your vision. Affordable price point with upside potential makes this a smart addition to any portfolio. BATVAI

  7. 2014-08-14
    soldstatus $42,000
  8. 2014-05-29
    soldstatus $42,000
  9. 2014-05-29
    soldstatus $42,000
  10. 2013-09-19
    listed $46,500
  11. 2013-09-19
    listed $46,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,453 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,681 · $140/mo
Expected delta
+$228/yr (+$19/mo · 15.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,859
− Mortgage interest
−$6,946
− Property taxes
−$1,453
− Insurance
−$620
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,589
− Management
−$1,589
− Depreciation
−$3,607
Taxable income
$4,056
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$973
After-tax cash flow
$4,839/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lakeview School District (Calhoun)
NCES district ID
2620850
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$52,353
Composite
29.7/100
National rank
#6455
State rank
#291 of 540 in MI

Livability — Battle Creek

Score
73/100
State rank
#198
US rank
#5031

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Battle Creek, MI
County
Calhoun County · 91,590 people
City population
91,590
Metro
Battle Creek, MI
Population (ZIP)
27,765
Household income
$68,821
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
755.0

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,157 people
By 2030
126,691 · -2.7%
By 2040
118,517 · -8.9%
By 2050
109,855 · -15.6%
By 2075
90,486 · -30.5%
By 2100
70,766 · -45.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 7% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Philippines, Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 7% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.20%
Current HPI
206.7754
Rent YoY
▲ 11.13%
Metro
Battle Creek, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+166.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $124,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $124,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $124,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 2014-05-29 Sold (MLS) $42,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-05-29 Sold (MLS) $42,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2013-09-19 Listed $46,500 REALCOMP
  • 2013-09-19 Listed $46,500 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

-4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,453 · -31.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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