243 Winter St · Battle Creek, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * Openhouose Saturday from 12-1pm * * Great opportunity in Lakeview! Cheaper than rent, this 3-bedroom home offers strong potential as a starter home, rental or value-add property. Featuring a practical floor plan, solid structure, and a sizable yard, this property is ready for your vision. Affordable price point with upside potential makes this a smart addition to any portfolio. BATVAI
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1940
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Traditional single-family residence; Built in 1940
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Composition roof; Foundation with full basement
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Storm windows and screens; Full basement; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Natural gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $124k).
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 5.2% in Battle Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#198 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Lakeview School District (Calhoun) (urban): math 28% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #291 of 540 in MI (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $857 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $124k implies a 195% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.74%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $119,340
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243 Winter St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+5%) | 0mo | $97,000 | $101 | 87 |
| 68 Pleasant Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 959 (+4%) | 4mo | $133,000 | $139 | 77 |
| 241 Winter St | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 959 (+4%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $130 | 74 |
| 324 Burr St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 888 (-3%) | 7mo | $62,900 | $71 | 74 |
| 563 Wentworth Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 935 (+2%) | 8mo | $157,000 | $168 | 68 |
| 115 Winter St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+5%) | 14mo | $67,000 | $70 | 62 |
| 64 E Grand Circle Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 920 (+0%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $120 | 61 |
| 754 Andrus St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 816 (-11%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $116 | 54 |
| 218 22nd St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+5%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $167 | 43 |
| 159 Spring St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,036 (+13%) | 9mo | $74,000 | $71 | 34 |
| 244 Battle Creek Ave | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 | 1,028 (+12%) | 22mo | $145,000 | $141 | 33 |
| 447 Lakeview Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,035 (+13%) | 16mo | $165,000 | $159 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $19,507
- Equity at exit
- $18,489
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $96,533
- Equity at exit
- $10,721
Cash invested: $34,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49015
- Rents YoY
- 11.1%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,655 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$650
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,453/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$348
- Net cashflow
- $484
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,000
- Closing costs
- $3,720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
* * Openhouose Saturday from 12-1pm * * Great opportunity in Lakeview! Cheaper than rent, this 3-bedroom home offers strong potential as a starter home, rental or value-add property. Featuring a practical floor plan, solid structure, and a sizable yard, this property is ready for your vision. Affordable price point with upside potential makes this a smart addition to any portfolio. BATVAI
-
2026-05-15status Pending 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
* * Openhouose Saturday from 12-1pm * * Great opportunity in Lakeview! Cheaper than rent, this 3-bedroom home offers strong potential as a starter home, rental or value-add property. Featuring a practical floor plan, solid structure, and a sizable yard, this property is ready for your vision. Affordable price point with upside potential makes this a smart addition to any portfolio. BATVAI
-
2026-05-15status Pending
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
* * Openhouose Saturday from 12-1pm * * Great opportunity in Lakeview! Cheaper than rent, this 3-bedroom home offers strong potential as a starter home, rental or value-add property. Featuring a practical floor plan, solid structure, and a sizable yard, this property is ready for your vision. Affordable price point with upside potential makes this a smart addition to any portfolio. BATVAI
-
2026-05-07$124,000 Active 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
* * Openhouose Saturday from 12-1pm * * Great opportunity in Lakeview! Cheaper than rent, this 3-bedroom home offers strong potential as a starter home, rental or value-add property. Featuring a practical floor plan, solid structure, and a sizable yard, this property is ready for your vision. Affordable price point with upside potential makes this a smart addition to any portfolio. BATVAI
-
2026-05-07$124,000 Active 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
* * Openhouose Saturday from 12-1pm * * Great opportunity in Lakeview! Cheaper than rent, this 3-bedroom home offers strong potential as a starter home, rental or value-add property. Featuring a practical floor plan, solid structure, and a sizable yard, this property is ready for your vision. Affordable price point with upside potential makes this a smart addition to any portfolio. BATVAI
-
2026-05-07$124,000 Active
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
* * Openhouose Saturday from 12-1pm * * Great opportunity in Lakeview! Cheaper than rent, this 3-bedroom home offers strong potential as a starter home, rental or value-add property. Featuring a practical floor plan, solid structure, and a sizable yard, this property is ready for your vision. Affordable price point with upside potential makes this a smart addition to any portfolio. BATVAI
-
2014-08-14soldstatus $42,000
-
2014-05-29soldstatus $42,000
-
2014-05-29soldstatus $42,000
-
2013-09-19$46,500
-
2013-09-19$46,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,453 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,681 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- +$228/yr (+$19/mo · 15.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,859
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,946
- − Property taxes
- −$1,453
- − Insurance
- −$620
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,589
- − Management
- −$1,589
- − Depreciation
- −$3,607
- Taxable income
- $4,056
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$973
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,839/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakeview School District (Calhoun)
- NCES district ID
- 2620850
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,353
- Composite
- 29.7/100
- National rank
- #6455
- State rank
- #291 of 540 in MI
Livability — Battle Creek
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #198
- US rank
- #5031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Battle Creek, MI
- County
- Calhoun County · 91,590 people
- City population
- 91,590
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,765
- Household income
- $68,821
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 755.0
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,157 people
- By 2030
- 126,691 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 118,517 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 109,855 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 90,486 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 70,766 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 7% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Philippines, Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 7% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.20%
- Current HPI
- 206.7754
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.13%
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+166.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-15 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-15 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $124,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $124,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $124,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 2014-05-29 Sold (MLS) $42,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-05-29 Sold (MLS) $42,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2013-09-19 Listed $46,500 REALCOMP
- 2013-09-19 Listed $46,500 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
-4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,453 · -31.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…