1250 S Pinellas Ave #506 · Tarpon Springs, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$83,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Wow! FURNISHED, 1st floor End. This desirable 55+ community is a great location close to Tarpon Springs Golf Course, hospital, grocery, Pinellas Trail, public transit, Sponge Docks with restaurants and entertainment, Sunset Beach, Howard Park Beach & more! Lanai in Back overlooking a green area. Large storage area off Lanai with sliders to Living Room & Bedroom. Kitchen with all appliances including Breakfast Bar and oversized Pantry! Open, light and bright floor plan with spacious Living Room and Dining Room. Heated sparkling Pool & Laundry right next to the building, just steps away and you can enjoy the clubhouse with Fitness, l
Key facts
- 1st floor end unit
- Public transit
- Sunset beach
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Unit located in a senior community
- Financial info: Total annual association fees approximately $5,400; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $450 (includes cable TV, common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, insurance, internet, structure and grounds maintenance, management, pest control, recreational facilities, sewer, trash, water); Association requires approval; Association amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, pool, tennis courts, shuffleboard, golf course access, laundry, recreation facilities; Community features: deed restrictions, sidewalks, street lights, buyer approval required, association recreation owned; Pets allowed (cats and dogs), maximum pet weight ~24 lbs
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Residential condominium; Single-story building; Faces north
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of a larger building (Building 500)
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed rear porch; Exterior lighting; Sidewalks; Landscaped grounds with mature trees; Paved roads
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (ground floor/unit on first floor)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Window treatments; Blinds
- Laundry & utility: Laundry facilities (community/shared); Irrigation equipment
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $80 ($956/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.4% in Tarpon Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#502 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, schools A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 399 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $577 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 6580% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $68k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.09%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-12,374
- Equity at exit
- $12,450
- IRR
- -21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-19,320
- Equity at exit
- $7,220
Cash invested: $23,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34689
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 399
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,447 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$438
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$450
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $80
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,875
- Closing costs
- $2,505
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1250 S Pinellas Ave #504 Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 565 | $1,099 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 1185 S Pinellas Ave Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $1,572 | $1.55 | 1d | 21 | 0.23mi |
| 812 Bayou Ave Unit B Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,450 | $2.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 101 W Lemon St Apt 3 Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,350 | $2.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 101 W Lemon St Unit 4 Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,450 | $2.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 101 W Lemon St Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,450 | $2.23 | 4d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 105 S Spring Blvd Unit 10 Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 542 Division St Tarpon Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 629 | $1,400 | $2.23 | 11d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 606 Cross St Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 551 | $1,450 | $2.63 | 2d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 825 Cypress St Tarpon Springs, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,359 | $1.81 | 2d | 6 | 1.41mi |
| 36750 US Hwy 19 N Unit 4-209 Palm Harbor, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 530 | $2,100 | $3.96 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $450 · $5,400/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 34 events
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2026-05-17status Pending
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2026-05-16status Active
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2026-04-17status Pending
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2026-04-11price $83,500
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2026-03-02price $88,500
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2026-02-24price $91,850
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2026-02-11price $95,000
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2026-01-02historical $1,250
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2026-01-02price $102,500
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2025-12-19$1,250
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2025-12-06price $105,000
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2025-11-26$109,000 Active
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2025-11-20historical
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2025-10-27price $99,500
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2025-10-21price $105,900
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2025-09-22price $109,900
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2025-09-04$118,200 Active
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2024-03-10historical
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2024-02-23price $135,000
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2024-02-18price $129,000
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2024-02-14price $130,000
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2024-02-07price $134,900
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2024-01-29price $139,000
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2024-01-24status Active
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2024-01-24price $149,900
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2023-12-08status Pending
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2023-11-16price $129,900
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2023-11-14price $134,900
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2023-11-04$149,000 Active
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2020-03-02soldstatus $68,000
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2006-07-14soldstatus $90,000
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2006-07-14soldstatus $90,000
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2006-06-05$90,000
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1985-04-01soldstatus $36,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,685 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,685 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,358
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,677
- − Property taxes
- −$1,685
- − Insurance
- −$418
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,389
- − Management
- −$1,389
- − HOA
- −$5,400
- − Depreciation
- −$2,429
- Taxable loss
- −$28
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$7
- After-tax cash flow
- $963/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tarpon Springs
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #502
- US rank
- #9244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tarpon Springs, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 27,324
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,324
- Household income
- $74,854
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 721.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -300.96%
- Current HPI
- 303.7434
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.16%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+128.1% since first listed34 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-16 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $83,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $88,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $91,850 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-02 Rental Removed $1,250 STELLARMLS
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $102,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Listed for Rent $1,250 STELLARMLS
- 2025-12-06 Price Changed $105,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-26 Listed $109,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-20 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $99,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $105,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-22 Price Changed $109,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-04 Listed $118,200 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-10 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-23 Price Changed $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-18 Price Changed $129,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-14 Price Changed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-07 Price Changed $134,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-29 Price Changed $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-24 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-24 Price Changed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-16 Price Changed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-14 Price Changed $134,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-04 Listed $149,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2006-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2006-07-14 Sold (MLS) $90,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-05 Listed $90,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1985-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,685 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…