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1803 S Pecan St
B+ Composite 75.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$79,000

1803 S Pecan St · Brady, TX 76825
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 798 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1945 7,013 sqft lot $99/sqft · at area comps Est $82k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Modern interior updates throughout this 2BR/1BA home with laundry room, new metal roof, fenced backyard, single attached carport, and detached garage/storage. Strong investment potential or suitable for personal use. Appliances convey. Call to view today!

Key facts

  • New metal roof
  • Laundry room
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

LAUNDRY ROOMNEW METAL ROOFFENCED BACKYARDSINGLE ATTACHED CARPORTDETACHED GARAGE STORAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Traditional style; Single-story
  • Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s); Wall unit(s)
  • Interior features: Range; Refrigerator; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s); Wall unit(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($950 rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.5% in Brady — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#270 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Brady ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #238 of 826 in TX (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2 units permitted in McCulloch County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $76,630 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
10.30%
Cash-on-cash
14.30%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$82,412
List price
$79,000
Delta
-4.14%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1701 Ruby 0.27mi 2/1.0 784 (-2%) 20mo $51,000 $65 68
1805 S Bradley 0.07mi 1/1.0 (-1) 730 (-8%) 13mo $79,900 $109 66
501 E 10th St 0.54mi 2/1.0 862 (+8%) 7mo $75,000 $87 55
605 E 6th St 0.74mi 2/1.0 800 (+0%) 16mo $54,000 $68 52
901 S Plum St 0.69mi 2/1.0 880 (+10%) 14mo $76,000 $86 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.53% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$42,079
Equity at exit
$52,321
10-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
5.97×
Total profit
$109,999
Equity at exit
$97,265

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76825

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $476/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$264

Break-even live

Break-even rent $616
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2030 Menard Hwy Unit 6 Brady, TX 2.0 1.0 804 $950 $1.18 43d 1 0.48mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,000 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,000 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-05
    listed $79,000 Active 255-char remark
  16. 2004-03-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$476 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,446 · $120/mo
Expected delta
+$970/yr (+$81/mo · 204.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,400
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$476
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$912
− Management
−$912
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$1,982
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$476
After-tax cash flow
$2,688/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brady ISD
NCES district ID
4811110
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$38,179
Composite
40.02/100
National rank
#3826
State rank
#238 of 826 in TX

Livability — Brady

Score
72/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#6336

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brady, TX
Population (ZIP)
6,595

Population outlook (McCulloch County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,509 people
By 2030
8,544 · +0.4%
By 2040
8,555 · +0.5%
By 2050
8,486 · -0.3%
By 2075
8,089 · -4.9%
By 2100
6,599 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 21%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Italian 8% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 27%

Political lean MEDSL · McCulloch

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.4) · D 12.9% · R 86.3%
2008→2024 swing
-22.4pp toward R · 2008: -51.0pp · 2024: -73.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.4 2020: R+70.3 2016: R+67.0 2012: R+62.9 2008: R+51.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.53%
Current HPI
161.5061
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $79,000 CHCMLS
  • 2004-03-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $476 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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