133 School Cutoff Rd · Hokes Bluff, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Newly renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home in Jacksonville sitting on 1.46 acres! This 960 sq ft home offers fresh updates throughout and a move-in ready feel. Enjoy the peaceful setting with plenty of outdoor space plus two storage buildings for extra storage, hobbies, or tools. A great opportunity to own a renovated home with acreage!
Key facts
- Acreage
- Outdoor space
- Peaceful setting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel ID: 07-04-17-0-000-008.000; Lot is not in a flood plain; Lot view: no notable view; Driving directions available
- Financial info: Has down payment assistance available
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; Off-street parking; Unassigned parking
- Security: Storm door
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric water heater; Internet service availability unknown
- Home design: Single-story living areas (main level contains primary rooms); Existing construction; Accessible features including ramps, stall shower, and support rails
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Pillars/support foundation; Decks are covered
- Exterior features: Covered deck/porch; Porch; Storage building; Workshop; Some trees on the lot; Acreage (approx. 1.46 acres); Property accessed by paved, public road; No pool, no waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Eating area; Solid surface countertops
- Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms located on the main level (all bedrooms on level 1)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Garden tub in bathroom; Tub/shower combinations; Split bedroom plan
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceilings: Other (see remarks); Some window treatments to remain; No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.2% in Hokes Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#57 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Calhoun County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #46 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pleasant Valley Elementary School (math 39% / reading 62%, grade D+, #114 of 627 statewide, top 19%, 484 students, 61% FRL); Pleasant Valley High School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #47 of 305 statewide, top 17%, 422 students, 56% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.28%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $3,767
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $40,658
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36265
- Home prices YoY
- -26.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,190 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $335/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $290
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $352 | -5% $321 | +0% $290 | +5% $258 | +10% $227 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $196 | -5% $243 | +0% $290 | +5% $337 | +10% $384 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $345 | -0.5pp $318 | base $290 | +0.5pp $261 | +1.0pp $232 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$110,000 Active 338-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $335 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $451 · $38/mo
- Expected delta
- +$116/yr (+$10/mo · 34.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,282
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$335
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,143
- − Management
- −$1,143
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $1,750
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$420
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,056/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calhoun County
- NCES district ID
- 0100540
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,891
- Composite
- 28.91/100
- National rank
- #6635
- State rank
- #46 of 129 in AL
Livability — Hokes Bluff
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #8636
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Calhoun County · 71,763 people
- Metro
- Anniston-Oxford, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,452
- Household income
- $55,294
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 476.0
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,765 people
- By 2030
- 105,708 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 96,192 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 86,413 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 63,467 · -42.2%
- By 2100
- 44,704 · -59.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 15% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.8) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.5pp · 2024: -44.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.38%
- Current HPI
- 167.7493
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.60%
- Metro
- Anniston-Oxford, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $110,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…