4300 Riverside Dr #137 · Cleveland, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.4/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
What a great opportunity to own a Florida getaway without breaking the bank. This newer home is light bright and welcoming and has only been lived in on a seasonal basis. It offers 2 bedrooms and 1-1/2 baths. There is an inside laundry for your convenience and the home is being sold furnished. River Forest is a an active 55+ waterfront community which has a great clubhouse and lots of activities such as heated pool, shuffleboard, bocce courts, horeshoe pits and social activities to please just about everyone.
Key facts
- 4,958 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Total monthly fees reported as $250; total annual fees reported as $3,000; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA (Marge); monthly fee $250; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, shuffleboard court, spa/hot tub; Association fees include cable TV, pool access, grounds maintenance, trash, and water; Association approval required; Senior community; pets not allowed; Buyer approval required; golf carts allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway and off-street parking; Carport (1 space)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Underground utilities; Access to Peace River
- Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); Attached property; One story; Faces west
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed and screened patio/porch; Patio and porch with sliding doors; Exterior lighting; Shed(s); Access to Peace River via brackish canal; Private boat ramp
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Decorative electric fireplace
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Kitchen and family room combo; Split bedroom layout; Window treatments (blinds, drapes, double-pane windows)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry in a laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($910/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 4.8% in Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#574 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 1037 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 615 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $89k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 615 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.19%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-7,142
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $10,223
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33982
- Home prices YoY
- -1.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 1037
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,741 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,430/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$366
- Net cashflow
- $76
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3615 Dawson Ln Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,450 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3111 Riverside Dr Unit A Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,595 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 520 Drury Ln Unit 520 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,350 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 615 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $89,000 Active 614 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 614 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 613 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 612 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 610 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 609 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active 607 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 606 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 605 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 601 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 599 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 598 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 597 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 596 DOM
-
2025-10-10price $99,000
-
2025-09-08price $104,000
-
2025-07-28price $118,000
-
2025-06-26price $120,000
-
2025-05-02price $124,000
-
2025-04-07price $125,000
-
2025-04-06price $127,000
-
2025-03-07price $128,000
-
2024-12-19price $129,000
-
2024-11-12price $134,000
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2024-10-11$139,000 Active
-
2013-04-05soldstatus $30,000 514-char remark
Show marketing remark (514 chars)
What a great opportunity to own a Florida getaway without breaking the bank. This newer home is light bright and welcoming and has only been lived in on a seasonal basis. It offers 2 bedrooms and 1-1/2 baths. There is an inside laundry for your convenience and the home is being sold furnished. River Forest is a an active 55+ waterfront community which has a great clubhouse and lots of activities such as heated pool, shuffleboard, bocce courts, horeshoe pits and social activities to please just about everyone.
-
2013-03-04$34,900 514-char remark
Show marketing remark (514 chars)
What a great opportunity to own a Florida getaway without breaking the bank. This newer home is light bright and welcoming and has only been lived in on a seasonal basis. It offers 2 bedrooms and 1-1/2 baths. There is an inside laundry for your convenience and the home is being sold furnished. River Forest is a an active 55+ waterfront community which has a great clubhouse and lots of activities such as heated pool, shuffleboard, bocce courts, horeshoe pits and social activities to please just about everyone.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,430 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,430 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,892
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,430
- − Insurance
- −$5,564
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,671
- − Management
- −$1,671
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable loss
- −$19
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5
- After-tax cash flow
- $915/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Cleveland
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #574
- US rank
- #10905
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cleveland, FL
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,006
- Household income
- $72,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 43.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.25%
- Current HPI
- 448.5895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.13%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+183.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $99,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $104,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-28 Price Changed $118,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-26 Price Changed $120,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-02 Price Changed $124,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-07 Price Changed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-06 Price Changed $127,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-07 Price Changed $128,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-19 Price Changed $129,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-12 Price Changed $134,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-11 Listed $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-05 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-04 Listed $34,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,430 · -9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…