Duplex
131 N Thomas St · Bellefonte, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Livability +4.6/5.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
This fully rented up/down duplex in downtown Bellefonte offers a practical opportunity for anyone looking to expand their investment portfolio. Each unit includes a covered porch, natural gas forced‑air heat, an equipped kitchen with a range & refrigerator, comfortable living space, one bedroom & one full bathroom. Unit #1 rents for $850/month & is leased through May 31, 2026. Unit #2 rents for $900/month & is leased through July 31, 2026. Tenants are responsible for electric, natural gas, cable & internet, while the landlord covers water, sewer, refuse, lawn care & snow removal. Positioned close to many of Bellefonte’s well‑known amenities, this property offers convenient access to local parks, recreation areas, dining & small-town businesses. With its central location, established rental history & simple, functional layout, this duplex presents a straightforward investment option in a consistently desirable area.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Central location
- Equipped kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $620/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
- Recommended offer: $208k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.0% in Bellefonte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 92/100 on livability (#10 in PA, #37 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D+.
- Bellefonte Area SD (town): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #140 of 539 in PA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bellefonte El Sch (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #654 of 1,518 statewide, top 47%, 335 students, 47% FRL); Bellefonte Area Ms (math 31% / reading 52%, grade F, #234 of 512 statewide, top 47%, 576 students, 28% FRL); Bellefonte Area Hs (math 72%, 847 students, 16% FRL).
- Market conditions: 200 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,382/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 855% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.22%
- DSCR
- 2.03
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $275,392
- List price
- $229,000
- Delta
- -16.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $41,861
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $138,021
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16823
- Active inventory
- 200
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,382 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,619/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$710
- Net cashflow
- $1,241
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,370 | -5% $1,305 | +0% $1,241 | +5% $1,176 | +10% $1,111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $973 | -5% $1,107 | +0% $1,241 | +5% $1,374 | +10% $1,508 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,356 | -0.5pp $1,299 | base $1,241 | +0.5pp $1,181 | +1.0pp $1,121 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,382 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,691 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,691 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,382 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360 W Lamb St Bellefonte, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 46d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 254 N Allegheny St Unit Mansion 1 Bellefonte, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $2,695 | $3.59 | 46d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 254 N Allegheny St Unit 12 Bellefonte, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,250 | $3.00 | 46d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 313 E Bishop St Bellefonte, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,225 | $1.75 | 46d | 3 | 0.47mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-15status $229,000 Pending 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $229,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $229,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $229,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $229,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-02-25$229,000 Active 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
This fully rented up/down duplex in downtown Bellefonte offers a practical opportunity for anyone looking to expand their investment portfolio. Each unit includes a covered porch, natural gas forced‑air heat, an equipped kitchen with a range & refrigerator, comfortable living space, one bedroom & one full bathroom. Unit #1 rents for $850/month & is leased through May 31, 2026. Unit #2 rents for $900/month & is leased through July 31, 2026. Tenants are responsible for electric, natural gas, cable & internet, while the landlord covers water, sewer, refuse, lawn care & snow removal. Positioned close to many of Bellefonte’s well‑known amenities, this property offers convenient access to local parks, recreation areas, dining & small-town businesses. With its central location, established rental history & simple, functional layout, this duplex presents a straightforward investment option in a consistently desirable area.
-
2025-07-21status Pending
-
2025-07-21historical
-
2025-05-19price $239,000
-
2025-05-02$250,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,619 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,619 · $218/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,000/yr (+$83/mo · 61.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,584
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$1,619
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,247
- − Management
- −$3,247
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable income
- $11,837
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,841
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,046/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bellefonte Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203240
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,460
- Composite
- 45.25/100
- National rank
- #2662
- State rank
- #140 of 539 in PA
Livability — Bellefonte
- Score
- 92/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #37
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellefonte, PA
- County
- Centre County · 99,000 people
- City population
- 29,126
- Metro
- State College, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,126
- Household income
- $76,245
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 855.0
Population outlook (Centre County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 177,113 people
- By 2030
- 185,138 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 196,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 205,070 · +15.8%
- By 2075
- 217,575 · +22.8%
- By 2100
- 230,649 · +30.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 8% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Centre
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.8 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+1.9 2012: R+0.0 2008: D+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.54%
- Current HPI
- 202.598
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- State College, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
-8.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-25 Listed $229,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-21 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-19 Price Changed $239,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-02 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-4.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,619 · -53.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…