722 Miller St · Youngstown, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
House is rented for 500.00 a month. Tenant has lease until sept 2015
Key facts
- Tenant occupied
- Additional storage
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual taxes listed (2025)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Built (year source: public records)
- Exterior features: 0.11 acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas)
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $661 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,440/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 566% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $80k implies a 384% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.44%
- DSCR
- 2.58
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $56,160
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 708 Miller St | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,304 (+4%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $42 | 82 |
| 609 E Dewey Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,278 (+2%) | 1mo | $34,000 | $27 | 78 |
| 544 Miller St | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,170 (-6%) | 3mo | $47,000 | $40 | 75 |
| 827 E Avondale Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-2%) | 5mo | $64,000 | $52 | 62 |
| 582 Roxbury Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,256 (+1%) | 1mo | $112,900 | $90 | 55 |
| 1210 Aberdeen Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,316 (+5%) | 1mo | $177,000 | $134 | 54 |
| 95 E Earle Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,220 (-2%) | 2mo | $66,000 | $54 | 54 |
| 1208 Aberdeen Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,316 (+5%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $133 | 54 |
| 3005 Rush Blvd | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-7%) | 2mo | $26,000 | $22 | 54 |
| 632 Samuel Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,106 (-11%) | 3mo | $32,000 | $29 | 53 |
| 221 E Avondale Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,181 (-5%) | 3mo | $53,000 | $45 | 47 |
| 358 E Auburndale Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,332 (+7%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $34 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $46,633
- Equity at exit
- $30,553
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.08×
- Total profit
- $113,619
- Equity at exit
- $43,271
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44502
- Home prices YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,440 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $297/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $661
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $706 | -5% $683 | +0% $661 | +5% $638 | +10% $616 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $547 | -5% $604 | +0% $661 | +5% $718 | +10% $775 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $701 | -0.5pp $681 | base $661 | +0.5pp $640 | +1.0pp $619 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236 Hilton Ave Youngstown, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1488 | $1,195 | $0.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3446 Ambert Ave Youngstown, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1914 S Heights Ave Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,950 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-13status $79,900 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 600-char remark
-
2026-06-09$79,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $297 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $772 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- +$475/yr (+$40/mo · 160.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,283
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$297
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,383
- − Management
- −$1,383
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $7,021
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,685
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,244/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Youngstown City
- NCES district ID
- 3904516
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,257
- Composite
- 9.29/100
- National rank
- #9858
- State rank
- #649 of 656 in OH
Livability — Youngstown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #1506
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Youngstown, OH
- County
- Mahoning County · 84,956 people
- City population
- 28,503
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,594
- Household income
- $31,170
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 566.0
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 35% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.78%
- Current HPI
- 246.2163
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+142.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
- 2024-03-01 Rental Removed $950 YESMLS
- 2024-02-22 Price Changed $950 YESMLS
- 2024-02-05 Listed for Rent $1,100 YESMLS
- 2014-10-03 Sold (MLS) $16,500 MLSNOW
- 2014-09-03 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2014-08-23 Listed $21,900 MLSNOW
- 2009-08-06 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2009-05-13 Listed $24,900 MLSNOW
- 2007-02-06 Sold (MLS) $18,000 MLSNOW
- 2006-11-24 Listed $24,900 MLSNOW
- 1995-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 1995-01-18 Listed $42,000 MLSNOW
- 1992-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $297 · -11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…