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1421 215th St
B- Composite 65.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

1421 215th St · Fort Scott, KS 66701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,380 sqft · Manufactured public records · 240 Days on market
Built 1970 0.80 ac lot ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Ranch style manufactured home sitting on almost an acre, right outside of town on a paved road! Step inside to find warm wood tones, cozy spaces centered around a wood-burning fireplace, and a comfortable layout that feels instantly inviting. Two bedrooms plus an office, a full bathroom, and a large laundry/mudroom are all located on one side of the home, while the other side houses the open concept living, dining and kitchen areas. Central heat & air and roof are less than 3 years old. 30 amp electric pole is wired for an RV. The expansive yard is perfect for a large garden, or small scale home-steading, and the garage and shed provide plenty of room for storage needs and hobbies. Id

Key facts

  • 30 amp electric pole
  • Central heat and air
  • Expansive yard

Tags

WOOD BURNING FIREPLACECENTRAL HEAT AND AIR30 AMP ELECTRIC POLEEXPANSIVE YARDLARGE GARDEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Taxes: $460 annually
  • HOA & community: No association fees; No community maintenance provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family manufactured home (GreatLakes Belmont model); Ranch floor plan; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Manufactured home; Estimated age: 51–75 years
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.8 acres; Not inside city limits

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (includes an office that can function as an additional room)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (has air conditioning)
  • Interior features: Enclosed porch; Crawl space basement; Fireplace (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $349 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 5.0% in Fort Scott — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#259 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fort Scott (town): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #150 of 169 in KS (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Bourbon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bourbon County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 240 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 240 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
11.22%
Cash-on-cash
17.59%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$8,418
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$35,838
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66701

Home prices YoY
-10.4%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,101 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $477/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$349

Break-even live

Break-even rent $659
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $397 -5% $373 +0% $349 +5% $325 +10% $301
Rent -10% $262 -5% $305 +0% $349 +5% $392 +10% $436
Rate -1.0pp $392 -0.5pp $370 base $349 +0.5pp $327 +1.0pp $304

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $85,000 Active 240 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 238 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 237 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 236 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 235 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 233 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $85,000 Active 232 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 229 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 228 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 227 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 226 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 223 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 222 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 221 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 220 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 219 DOM
  17. 2025-12-11
    price $85,000
  18. 2025-11-05
    price $99,000
  19. 2025-10-23
    listed $105,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$477 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,198 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$722/yr (+$60/mo · 151.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,211
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$477
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,057
− Management
−$1,057
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$2,961
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$711
After-tax cash flow
$3,475/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Scott
NCES district ID
2006180
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,034
Composite
19.64/100
National rank
#8741
State rank
#150 of 169 in KS

Livability — Fort Scott

Score
66/100
State rank
#259
US rank
#11422

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,075

Population outlook (Bourbon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,761 people
By 2030
13,139 · -4.5%
By 2040
11,920 · -13.4%
By 2050
10,892 · -20.8%
By 2075
8,645 · -37.2%
By 2100
6,751 · -50.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bourbon

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.2) · D 22.0% · R 76.1% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-26.9pp toward R · 2008: -27.2pp · 2024: -54.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.2 2020: R+52.0 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+33.9 2008: R+27.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -20.03%
Current HPI
172.2531
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-19.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-11 Price Changed $85,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-05 Price Changed $99,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $105,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $477 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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