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124 Wellons St
B+ Composite 79.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

124 Wellons St · Suffolk, VA 23434
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,692 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1954 $74/sqft · 37% below area Est $330k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Unlock significant value with this versatile Suffolk duplex, ideal for an investor or owner occupant looking to generate income. This multi level property offers a flexible layout with a blend of modern updates and original character. Recent renovations include updated kitchens with sleek appliances and LVP flooring throughout. Interior HVAC components are already installed, with outdoor units still needed to complete the system. The property is being sold as is, presenting a strong value add opportunity for buyers ready to finish remaining improvements. Units are separately metered for added convenience and management. Located with easy access to major transit routes, shopping, and employment centers. A motivated seller and substantial progress already completed make this a solid opportunity to complete the vision and maximize returns.

Key facts

  • Suffolk duplex
  • Flexible layout
  • Updated kitchens

Tags

SUFFOLK DUPLEXFLEXIBLE LAYOUTUPDATED KITCHENSLVP FLOORINGINTERIOR HVAC COMPONENTSSEPARATELY METERED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $953 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.5% in Suffolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#88 in VA, #2,896 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, schools A; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
  • Suffolk City Public School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #72 of 131 in VA (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 536 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 680 units permitted in Suffolk city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Suffolk County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $200k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $196,901 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
12.02%
Cash-on-cash
20.44%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$329,639
List price
$199,900
Delta
-39.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
128 Wellons St 0.02mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,700 (+0%) 7mo $349,000 $129 84
205 Bosley Ave 0.31mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,760 (+2%) 5mo $349,500 $127 71
320 Western Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,670 (-1%) 1mo $475,000 $178 64
301 Linden Ave 0.21mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,424 (-10%) 8mo $255,000 $105 60
215 N Saratoga St 0.41mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,807 (+4%) 8mo $290,000 $103 58
409 Forest Hill Cres 0.63mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,638 (-2%) 4mo $425,000 $161 55
227 N Saratoga St 0.44mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,880 (+7%) 9mo $399,000 $139 54
908 Virginia Ave 0.47mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,976 (+10%) 0mo $330,000 $111 54
416 N Broad St 0.56mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,427 (-10%) 7mo $339,900 $140 45
1018 Delaware Ave 0.68mi 5/2.0 2,428 (-10%) 8mo $242,400 $100 45
407 Park Rd 0.59mi 5/2.5 2,362 (-12%) 8mo $405,000 $171 44
1009 Pennsylvania Ave 0.62mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,500 (-7%) 11mo $440,000 $176 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.84% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$36,577
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
3.61×
Total profit
$145,938
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23434

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
536
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,817 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$140 /mo · $1,684/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$592
Net cashflow
$953

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,610
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
124 Linden Ave Suffolk, VA 4.0 2.5 2568 $2,795 $1.09 43d 1 0.13mi
808 Gittings St Suffolk, VA 4.0 2.5 2187 $2,500 $1.14 23d 1 0.40mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    price $199,900 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Unlock significant value with this versatile Suffolk duplex, ideal for an investor or owner occupant looking to generate income. This multi level property offers a flexible layout with a blend of modern updates and original character. Recent renovations include updated kitchens with sleek appliances and LVP flooring throughout. Interior HVAC components are already installed, with outdoor units still needed to complete the system. The property is being sold as is, presenting a strong value add opportunity for buyers ready to finish remaining improvements. Units are separately metered for added convenience and management. Located with easy access to major transit routes, shopping, and employment centers. A motivated seller and substantial progress already completed make this a solid opportunity to complete the vision and maximize returns.

  2. 2026-05-06
    price $219,900 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Unlock significant value with this versatile Suffolk duplex, ideal for an investor or owner occupant looking to generate income. This multi level property offers a flexible layout with a blend of modern updates and original character. Recent renovations include updated kitchens with sleek appliances and LVP flooring throughout. Interior HVAC components are already installed, with outdoor units still needed to complete the system. The property is being sold as is, presenting a strong value add opportunity for buyers ready to finish remaining improvements. Units are separately metered for added convenience and management. Located with easy access to major transit routes, shopping, and employment centers. A motivated seller and substantial progress already completed make this a solid opportunity to complete the vision and maximize returns.

  3. 2026-05-01
    price $229,900 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Unlock significant value with this versatile Suffolk duplex, ideal for an investor or owner occupant looking to generate income. This multi level property offers a flexible layout with a blend of modern updates and original character. Recent renovations include updated kitchens with sleek appliances and LVP flooring throughout. Interior HVAC components are already installed, with outdoor units still needed to complete the system. The property is being sold as is, presenting a strong value add opportunity for buyers ready to finish remaining improvements. Units are separately metered for added convenience and management. Located with easy access to major transit routes, shopping, and employment centers. A motivated seller and substantial progress already completed make this a solid opportunity to complete the vision and maximize returns.

  4. 2026-04-24
    price $244,900 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Unlock significant value with this versatile Suffolk duplex, ideal for an investor or owner occupant looking to generate income. This multi level property offers a flexible layout with a blend of modern updates and original character. Recent renovations include updated kitchens with sleek appliances and LVP flooring throughout. Interior HVAC components are already installed, with outdoor units still needed to complete the system. The property is being sold as is, presenting a strong value add opportunity for buyers ready to finish remaining improvements. Units are separately metered for added convenience and management. Located with easy access to major transit routes, shopping, and employment centers. A motivated seller and substantial progress already completed make this a solid opportunity to complete the vision and maximize returns.

  5. 2026-04-21
    listed $255,000 Active 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Unlock significant value with this versatile Suffolk duplex, ideal for an investor or owner occupant looking to generate income. This multi level property offers a flexible layout with a blend of modern updates and original character. Recent renovations include updated kitchens with sleek appliances and LVP flooring throughout. Interior HVAC components are already installed, with outdoor units still needed to complete the system. The property is being sold as is, presenting a strong value add opportunity for buyers ready to finish remaining improvements. Units are separately metered for added convenience and management. Located with easy access to major transit routes, shopping, and employment centers. A motivated seller and substantial progress already completed make this a solid opportunity to complete the vision and maximize returns.

  6. 2026-03-12
    status Active
  7. 2026-03-12
    historical
  8. 2026-02-24
    historical Active Under Contract
  9. 2026-02-23
    price $244,000
  10. 2026-02-20
    price $269,000
  11. 2026-02-18
    price $285,000
  12. 2026-01-16
    listed $294,000 Active
  13. 2026-01-16
    historical $1,700
  14. 2026-01-15
    historical
  15. 2026-01-01
    historical
  16. 2026-01-01
    listed $300,000 Active
  17. 2025-12-20
    price $300,000
  18. 2025-12-06
    listed $1,700
  19. 2025-11-25
    price $340,000
  20. 2025-10-06
    price $349,000
  21. 2025-09-12
    listed $365,000 Active
  22. 2025-02-18
    soldstatus $95,000
  23. 2025-01-15
    status Under Contract
  24. 2025-01-12
    price $90,000
  25. 2025-01-06
    listed $125,000 Active
  26. 2024-10-07
    historical
  27. 2024-10-07
    listed $120,000
  28. 2024-07-31
    soldstatus $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,684 · $140/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,684 · $140/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,801
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$1,684
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,704
− Management
−$2,704
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$8,697
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,087
After-tax cash flow
$9,353/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Suffolk City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103710
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -43.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$65,573
Composite
48.31/100
National rank
#2151
State rank
#72 of 131 in VA

Livability — Suffolk

Score
77/100
State rank
#88
US rank
#2896

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living C Crime C- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Suffolk, VA
County
Suffolk City · 88,108 people
City population
88,108
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
54,387
Household income
$79,877
Rent vs Own
31.5% rent · 68.5% own
Severe rent burden
1934.0

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,269 people
By 2030
98,269 · +3.1%
By 2040
103,177 · +8.3%
By 2050
105,777 · +11.0%
By 2075
110,963 · +16.5%
By 2100
103,711 · +8.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 41% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
D (+15.9) · D 57.4% · R 41.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+2.7pp toward D · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 15.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.9 2020: D+17.3 2016: D+13.8 2012: D+15.1 2008: D+13.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -383.80%
Current HPI
158.5866
Rent YoY
▲ 5.84%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+149.9% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $199,900 REINMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $219,900 REINMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $229,900 REINMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $244,900 REINMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $255,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Relisted REINMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $244,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $269,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $285,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $294,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Rental Removed $1,700 REINMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listed $300,000 REINMLS
  • 2025-12-20 Price Changed $300,000 REINMLS
  • 2025-12-06 Listed for Rent $1,700 REINMLS
  • 2025-11-25 Price Changed $340,000 REINMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Price Changed $349,000 REINMLS
  • 2025-09-12 Listed $365,000 REINMLS
  • 2025-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2025-01-15 Pending REINMLS
  • 2025-01-12 Price Changed $90,000 REINMLS
  • 2025-01-06 Listed $125,000 REINMLS
  • 2024-10-07 Listed $120,000 REINMLS
  • 2024-10-07 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2024-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,684 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…