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Duplex
D+ Composite 45.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.9/30.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$457,000

12 Louisiana Dr Unit A & B · Palm Coast, FL 32137
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,483 sqft · MultiFamily · 93 Days on market
Built 2005 10,019 sqft lot Est $531k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Architectural Elegance Meets Investment Income — Experience an attractive find in the highly desirable L-section of Palm Coast. This meticulously maintained, turnkey duplex isn't just a rental property, it’s a premium residence upgraded with custom-home options to attract discerning tenants and enhance long-term value. - Curbside Sophistication & Premium Options –- The exterior sets the tone immediately with an upgraded stucco package featuring elegant two-tone corner quoin details and curve-top widows. Recently painted, enhancing curb appeal and reducing future maintenance. —Sophisticated Interiors — Each 3BR/2BA unit (about 1,250 sf living space) is pac

Key facts

  • Curve-top windows
  • Turnkey duplex
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

TURNKEY DUPLEXUPGRADED STUCCO PACKAGETWO-TONE CORNER QUOIN DETAILSCURVE-TOP WINDOWSSOARING CATHEDRAL CEILINGSUNIQUE DISPLAY SHELVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed; Development: Matanzas Woods
  • Financial info: Gross income: $36,600; Annual net income: $30,861; Annual expenses: $3,940; Total monthly expenses: $2,716; Tenant pays electricity, sewer, trash collection, and water; Lease terms include renewal option; Unit 1: Long-term tenant on annual lease (expires 12/31/2026); HVAC replaced April 2019; Unit 2: Month-to-month tenant; HVAC replaced May 2023; water heater replaced July 2025; Pro forma rents: Unit 1 $1,550; Unit 2 $1,500
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Each unit includes 1 garage space (attached garage present)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Duplex (residential income property); One building; Zoned DPX
  • Construction: Concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Total building area 3,290 square feet
  • Exterior features: Rear screened porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (total 6 bedrooms)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Open floorplan with living/dining room combo; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet; Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3.0-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $457k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-118 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-59/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $440k (3.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $385k (15.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $385k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.8% in Palm Coast — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#478 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Flagler (rural): math 53% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #20 of 73 in FL (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1616 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,588 units permitted in Flagler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,848/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 816% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Flagler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($416k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $384,800 (15.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.11%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$531,362
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
55 Louisiana Dr 0.30mi 6/4.0 2,622 (+6%) 1mo $560,000 $214 76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.5%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-89,680
Equity at exit
$68,140
10-year hold
IRR
-19.4%
Equity multiple
0.07×
Total profit
$-119,588
Equity at exit
$39,513

Cash invested: $127,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32137

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
1616
Price-to-rent
19.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,848 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,397
Tax est. 1.5%
$571 /mo · $6,855/yr
Insurance
$190
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$808
Net cashflow
$-118

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,998
Max offer price $439,881
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $198 -5% $40 +0% $-118 +5% $-276 +10% $-434
Rent -10% $-422 -5% $-270 +0% $-118 +5% $34 +10% $186
Rate -1.0pp $112 -0.5pp $-2 base $-118 +0.5pp $-237 +1.0pp $-357

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,848

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$114,250
Closing costs
$13,710
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $457,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $457,000 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $457,000 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-03-01
    listed $457,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$46,176
− Mortgage interest
−$25,599
− Property taxes
−$6,855
− Insurance
−$2,285
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,694
− Management
−$3,694
− Depreciation
−$13,295
Taxable loss
−$9,246
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,219
After-tax cash flow
$799/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flagler
NCES district ID
1200540
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,354
Composite
46.35/100
National rank
#2464
State rank
#20 of 73 in FL

Livability — Palm Coast

Score
69/100
State rank
#478
US rank
#8721

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palm Coast, FL
County
Flagler County · 113,412 people
City population
105,049
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
48,391
Household income
$83,923
Rent vs Own
13.6% rent · 86.4% own
Severe rent burden
816.0

Population outlook (Flagler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,474 people
By 2030
131,864 · +6.8%
By 2040
146,176 · +18.4%
By 2050
157,398 · +27.5%
By 2075
177,990 · +44.2%
By 2100
183,381 · +48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Russian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Flagler

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.2) · D 35.6% · R 63.8%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: -28.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.2 2020: R+20.8 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -153.27%
Current HPI
290.4607
Rent YoY
▲ 0.85%
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-01 Listed $457,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…