204 Floral St · Bayou Blue, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
All auction properties are subject to a 5% buyer's premium (minimum $2,500) and subject to a reserve price as well as seller confirmation All Brokers must be NAID Certified. Seller has the right to (a) change the date, place, and terms of the sale; (b) remove the property from the market; and (c) sell the property prior to the sale. Please reach out to Listing Agent for details.
Key facts
- 0.41 acre lot
- Built 1985
- Listed 660 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $82k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
- Recommended offer: $72k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 3.5% in Bayou Blue — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#275 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 661 days — a 12% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 661 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.00%
- DSCR
- 2.29
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $51,899
- List price
- $82,000
- Delta
- 58.00%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $14,177
- Equity at exit
- $12,226
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $47,991
- Equity at exit
- $7,090
Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70359
- Home prices YoY
- -26.8%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,425 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$430
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,280/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $430
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $476 | -5% $453 | +0% $430 | +5% $406 | +10% $383 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $317 | -5% $373 | +0% $430 | +5% $486 | +10% $542 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $471 | -0.5pp $450 | base $430 | +0.5pp $408 | +1.0pp $387 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,500
- Closing costs
- $2,460
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $82,000 Active 661 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $82,000 Active 660 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $82,000 Active 659 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $82,000 Active 658 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $82,000 Active 657 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $82,000 Active 655 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $82,000 Active 654 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $82,000 Active 652 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $82,000 Active 651 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $82,000 Active 650 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $82,000 Active 649 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $82,000 Active 646 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $82,000 Active 645 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $82,000 Active 644 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $82,000 Active 643 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $82,000 Active 642 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $82,000 Active 641 DOM
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2026-03-10price $82,000 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
All auction properties are subject to a 5% buyer’s premium (minimum $2,500) and subject to a reserve price as well as seller confirmation All Brokers must be NAID Certified. Seller has the right to (a) change the date, place, and terms of the sale; (b) remove the property from the market; and (c) sell the property prior to the sale. Please reach out to Listing Agent for details.
-
2026-03-10price $82,000 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
All auction properties are subject to a 5% buyer’s premium (minimum $2,500) and subject to a reserve price as well as seller confirmation All Brokers must be NAID Certified. Seller has the right to (a) change the date, place, and terms of the sale; (b) remove the property from the market; and (c) sell the property prior to the sale. Please reach out to Listing Agent for details.
-
2024-12-11$110,000 Active 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
All auction properties are subject to a 5% buyer’s premium (minimum $2,500) and subject to a reserve price as well as seller confirmation All Brokers must be NAID Certified. Seller has the right to (a) change the date, place, and terms of the sale; (b) remove the property from the market; and (c) sell the property prior to the sale. Please reach out to Listing Agent for details.
-
2024-12-11historical 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
All auction properties are subject to a 5% buyer’s premium (minimum $2,500) and subject to a reserve price as well as seller confirmation All Brokers must be NAID Certified. Seller has the right to (a) change the date, place, and terms of the sale; (b) remove the property from the market; and (c) sell the property prior to the sale. Please reach out to Listing Agent for details.
-
2024-09-01price $110,000 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
All auction properties are subject to a 5% buyer’s premium (minimum $2,500) and subject to a reserve price as well as seller confirmation All Brokers must be NAID Certified. Seller has the right to (a) change the date, place, and terms of the sale; (b) remove the property from the market; and (c) sell the property prior to the sale. Please reach out to Listing Agent for details.
-
2024-08-26$110,000 Active 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
All auction properties are subject to a 5% buyer’s premium (minimum $2,500) and subject to a reserve price as well as seller confirmation All Brokers must be NAID Certified. Seller has the right to (a) change the date, place, and terms of the sale; (b) remove the property from the market; and (c) sell the property prior to the sale. Please reach out to Listing Agent for details.
-
2024-08-26$123,500 Active 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
All auction properties are subject to a 5% buyer’s premium (minimum $2,500) and subject to a reserve price as well as seller confirmation All Brokers must be NAID Certified. Seller has the right to (a) change the date, place, and terms of the sale; (b) remove the property from the market; and (c) sell the property prior to the sale. Please reach out to Listing Agent for details.
-
2024-08-26$110,000 Active
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
All auction properties are subject to a 5% buyer’s premium (minimum $2,500) and subject to a reserve price as well as seller confirmation All Brokers must be NAID Certified. Seller has the right to (a) change the date, place, and terms of the sale; (b) remove the property from the market; and (c) sell the property prior to the sale. Please reach out to Listing Agent for details.
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2024-08-24historical
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2024-08-09price $123,500
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2024-08-02price $135,000
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2024-07-19price $144,500
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2024-05-31$170,000 Active
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2024-05-31$123,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,280 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,280 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,099
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,593
- − Property taxes
- −$1,280
- − Insurance
- −$1,912
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,368
- − Management
- −$1,368
- − Depreciation
- −$2,385
- Taxable income
- $4,192
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,006
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,150/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafourche Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200900
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,703
- Composite
- 34.4/100
- National rank
- #5205
- State rank
- #22 of 98 in LA
Livability — Bayou Blue
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #275
- US rank
- #19981
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 28,990
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,472
Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,122 people
- By 2030
- 103,361 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 104,401 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 102,795 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 95,599 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 82,303 · -19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 30% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.42%
- Current HPI
- 126.6099
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-51.8% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $82,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $82,000 GBRMLS
- 2024-12-11 Listed $110,000 GBRMLS
- 2024-12-11 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2024-09-01 Price Changed $110,000 GBRMLS
- 2024-08-26 Listed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-08-26 Listed $123,500 GBRMLS
- 2024-08-26 Listed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-08-24 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2024-08-09 Price Changed $123,500 GBRMLS
- 2024-08-02 Price Changed $135,000 GBRMLS
- 2024-07-19 Price Changed $144,500 GBRMLS
- 2024-05-31 Listed $123,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-05-31 Listed $170,000 GBRMLS
Property tax history
+21.5%/yrLatest (2024): $1,280 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…