Duplex
121 Center St · Danville, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Well maintained 2 unit with good rental history. Located a few blocks to Geisinger and Downtown Danville. 1 car garage and off street parking.
Key facts
- 2,613 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1881
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $190k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $694/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $179k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 5.1% in Danville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#508 in PA, #4,632 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, schools A-; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, employment D-.
- Danville Area SD (suburban): math 50% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #83 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 27 units permitted in Montour County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,418/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 361% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1881 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1881 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.29%
- DSCR
- 2.39
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $201,823
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- -5.86%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1042 Kline St | 0.11mi | 6/2.0 | 2,088 (+7%) | 14mo | $125,000 | $60 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $57,613
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- 33.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.09×
- Total profit
- $164,143
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17821
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,418 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$238 /mo · $2,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$718
- Net cashflow
- $1,387
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2.5 | $3,418 |
| #1 | 3 | 2.5 | $1,709 |
| #2 | 3 | 2.5 | $1,709 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,418 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $190,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $190,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $200,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $200,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-03price $200,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $210,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $210,000 142-char remark
Show marketing remark (142 chars)
Well maintained 2 unit with good rental history. Located a few blocks to Geisinger and Downtown Danville. 1 car garage and off street parking.
-
2026-04-10$225,000 Active 142-char remark
Show marketing remark (142 chars)
Well maintained 2 unit with good rental history. Located a few blocks to Geisinger and Downtown Danville. 1 car garage and off street parking.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,016
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$2,850
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,281
- − Management
- −$3,281
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $14,483
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,476
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,170/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2-unit property requires moderate renovations to improve its exterior and interior condition, increasing its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Severe weathering
- Minor interior paint — Some discoloration
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — Older style
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — Dated style
- Moderate flooring — Carpeted and worn
Value-add opportunities
- Both update exterior siding — Improves curb appeal and value
- Both replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizes and increases value
- Both replace bathroom fixtures — Modernizes and increases value
- Both replace flooring — Modernizes and increases value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Severe weathering | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior paint · Some discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| kitchen cabinets · Older style | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · Dated style | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| flooring · Carpeted and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $24,500–98,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update exterior siding — Improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizes and increases value ↑
- Both replace bathroom fixtures — Modernizes and increases value ↑
- Both replace flooring — Modernizes and increases value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Danville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4207320
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,554
- Composite
- 49.92/100
- National rank
- #1939
- State rank
- #83 of 539 in PA
Livability — Danville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #508
- US rank
- #4632
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Danville, PA
- County
- Montour County · 18,613 people
- City population
- 18,613
- Metro
- Bloomsburg-Berwick, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,613
- Household income
- $76,971
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 361.0
Population outlook (Montour County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,673 people
- By 2030
- 18,660 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 18,522 · -0.8%
- By 2050
- 18,239 · -2.3%
- By 2075
- 17,636 · -5.6%
- By 2100
- 16,283 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montour
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.0) · D 39.0% · R 60.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.9pp toward R · 2008: -15.1pp · 2024: -21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.0 2020: R+21.1 2016: R+28.4 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.95%
- Current HPI
- 192.6962
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bloomsburg-Berwick, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $210,000 CSVBR
- 2026-04-10 Listed $225,000 CSVBR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…