719 Walnut Ave · McAllen, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for your next project? This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath home offers 2,562 sq. ft. of potential sitting on . 23 of an acre! This property is perfect for an investor or buyer ready to bring their vision to life. With great space, a functional layout, and endless possibilities, this home could truly become something special with the right updates and upgrades. Property is being SOLD AS IS and is ready for someone to transform it into the perfect home or investment property. Don't miss this opportunity! Call today to schedule your private appointment to preview this property!
Key facts
- 9,974 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1976
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage facing side; 2 total parking spaces (2 covered, 2 garage spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; City sewer; Paved road access
- Home design: Not new construction
- Construction: Brick and stucco exterior; Composition shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Gutters/spouting; Mature trees; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Smooth electric cooktop; Single oven
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with walk-in closet
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Thermostat
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Laminate and tile countertops; Crown/cove molding; Walk-in closets; Drapes and partial window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer/dryer connections; Electric water heater (located in laundry room)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-84 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (7.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (9.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $181k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.7% in McAllen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#119 in TX, #3,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Mcallen ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #440 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jackson El (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 535 students, 86% FRL); Cathey Middle (math 46% / reading 47%, grade D+, #443 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 821 students, 69% FRL); Memorial H S (math 34% / reading 54%, grade F, #697 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 2,080 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 50% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 388 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,806/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 3043% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.81%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $238,226
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -16.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2909 Royal Palm Cir | 0.49mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,620 (+2%) | 10mo | $420,000 | $160 | 56 |
| 409 Redwood Ave | 0.40mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 2,456 (-4%) | 9mo | $275,000 | $112 | 54 |
| 1411 Daffodil Ave | 0.67mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,576 (+0%) | 7mo | $379,960 | $148 | 51 |
| 707 Nyssa Ave | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,786 (+9%) | 0mo | $429,000 | $154 | 49 |
| 1624 Highland Ave | 0.69mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 2,601 (+2%) | 8mo | $629,000 | $242 | 46 |
| 1501 La Vista Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 2,811 (+10%) | 16mo | $345,000 | $123 | 46 |
| 412 Sycamore Ave | 0.32mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,279 (-11%) | 15mo | $244,900 | $107 | 45 |
| 1301 W Nyssa Ave | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,424 (-5%) | 7mo | $249,900 | $103 | 45 |
| 1805 N Broadway St | 0.47mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,362 (-8%) | 14mo | $249,000 | $105 | 44 |
| 1316 Camellia Ave | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,360 (-8%) | 14mo | $235,000 | $100 | 42 |
| 1011 W Orange St | 0.55mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 2,849 (+11%) | 10mo | $550,000 | $193 | 40 |
| 1504 La Vista Ave | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,925 (+14%) | 8mo | $495,000 | $169 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-39,852
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-49,960
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78501
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 388
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,806 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$379 /mo · $4,554/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $-84
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $29 | -5% $-28 | +0% $-84 | +5% $-141 | +10% $-198 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-227 | -5% $-156 | +0% $-84 | +5% $-13 | +10% $58 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $16 | -0.5pp $-34 | base $-84 | +0.5pp $-136 | +1.0pp $-189 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1808 N Broadway St McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 505 W Esperanza Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2660 | $4,250 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2325 N Peking St McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1774 | $2,100 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1516 Walnut Ave McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2188 | $1,495 | $0.68 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1101 Kerria Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1920 | $2,350 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 705 Kerry Ln McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2326 | $1,650 | $0.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 118 E Iris Ave McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2070 | $1,800 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 920 N 15th St McAllen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3000 | $1,800 | $0.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 914 N 15th St McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2422 | $1,900 | $0.78 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 914 N 15th St McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2422 | $1,900 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 121 E Jonquil Ave McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2792 | $1,985 | $0.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 913 E Daffodil Ave Unit B McAllen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3552 | $800 | $0.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 609 N 15th St McAllen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1900 | $1,700 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1508 W Nolana Ave McAllen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2296 | $750 | $0.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2417 Tamarack Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3589 | $900 | $0.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2900 N 24th St McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2009 | $1,900 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1920 N 25th St Unit C McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2707 | $850 | $0.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1524 Primrose Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2002 | $1,750 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 405 Cedar Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1935 | $2,000 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 407 Cedar Ave McAllen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2967 | $950 | $0.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2604 Quince Ln McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,450 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3306 N 25 1/2 St McAllen, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3032 | $995 | $0.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $199,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-05$199,900 Active 599-char remark
Show marketing remark (586 chars)
Looking for your next project? This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath home offers 2,562 sq. ft. of potential sitting on . 23 of an acre! This property is perfect for an investor or buyer ready to bring their vision to life. With great space, a functional layout, and endless possibilities, this home could truly become something special with the right updates and upgrades. Property is being SOLD AS IS and is ready for someone to transform it into the perfect home or investment property. Don't miss this opportunity! Call today to schedule your private appointment to preview this property!
-
2026-05-05$199,900 Active 586-char remark
Show marketing remark (586 chars)
Looking for your next project? This spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bath home offers 2,562 sq. ft. of potential sitting on . 23 of an acre! This property is perfect for an investor or buyer ready to bring their vision to life. With great space, a functional layout, and endless possibilities, this home could truly become something special with the right updates and upgrades. Property is being SOLD AS IS and is ready for someone to transform it into the perfect home or investment property. Don't miss this opportunity! Call today to schedule your private appointment to preview this property!
-
2026-01-06status Active
-
2025-12-28status Pending
-
2025-12-22historical Option
-
2025-10-27$250,000 Active
-
1991-09-06soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,554 · $379/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,554 · $379/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,671
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$4,554
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,734
- − Management
- −$1,734
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$4,363
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,047
- After-tax cash flow
- $34/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcallen ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4829670
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,805
- Composite
- 33.16/100
- National rank
- #5551
- State rank
- #440 of 826 in TX
Livability — McAllen
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #119
- US rank
- #3771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McAllen, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
- City population
- 144,650
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,935
- Household income
- $48,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3043.0
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 89% Two or more races 32% White 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 85%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 22% English-only · Spanish 76%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.99%
- Current HPI
- 230.0213
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.78%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-20.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $199,900 RGVMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $199,900 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-01-06 Relisted — MCALLENMLS
- 2025-12-28 Pending — MCALLENMLS
- 2025-12-22 Contingent — MCALLENMLS
- 2025-10-27 Listed $250,000 MCALLENMLS
- 1991-09-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,554 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…