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196 Woodlands Green Dr
D+ Composite 47.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.0/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$329,000

196 Woodlands Green Dr · Flowood, MS 39047
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,403 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 298 Days on market
Built 1994 0.30 ac lot Est $375k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for that Front Porch living with lots of Southern Charm? Look no further, that this one in Castlewoods. Step inside and you will find both a formal dining room and a formal living room. The formal living room is currently being used as an office. Keep walking and you will enter the family room/den with gas log fireplace and lots of room for entertaining. Kitchen with granite tiles, double oven range, lots of cabinet space and so much more. Great breakfast bar and eat in kitchen nook as well. This split plan offers a large master bedroom, master bath with double sinks, separate tub and shower and a very nice sized closet. Just off the family room you will find 3 guest bedrooms with a shared bathroom as well. Outside there is a great deck with an arbor covering it, and a a slab patio too. 2 car garage, shed with power ran to it , a double gate and extra parking slab in backyard too. Need to know more? This one is fence and also has a back up generator as well. Don't wait, call your Realtor today.

Key facts

  • Spacious pantry
  • Grand foyer
  • Eat in dining area

Tags

CASTLEWOODS NEIGHBORHOODGRAND FOYERCABOCHON TILE FLOOR PATTERNDOUBLE OVENSPACIOUS PANTRYEAT IN DINING AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community association present; fee includes grounds maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Two-car garage that faces the side
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Landscaped yard; Architectural shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Double oven; Electric cooktop; Dishwasher
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Gas-powered cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace with hearth in the living room; Dishwasher; Double oven; Electric cooktop

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $329k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($127/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (20.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $261k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.3% in Flowood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#10 in MS, #3,075 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Rankin County School District (rural): math 56% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #6 of 130 in MS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Northwest Elementary School (math 58% / reading 57%, grade C+, #36 of 375 statewide, top 9%, 495 students, 99% FRL); Northwest Rankin Middle School (math 63% / reading 51%, grade B, #13 of 179 statewide, top 7%, 1,374 students, 100% FRL); Northwest Rankin High School (math 48% / reading 42%, grade D-, #34 of 197 statewide, top 17%, 1,898 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 35% district-wide (65 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 440 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 343 units permitted in Rankin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rankin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 298 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $260,955 (20.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 298 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.33%
Cash-on-cash
0.14%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$374,868
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
341 Woodlands Dr 0.21mi 4/3.0 2,450 (+2%) 7mo $424,000 $173 77
131 Woodlands Green Dr 0.19mi 4/2.0 2,239 (-7%) 4mo $374,900 $167 77
315 Woodlands Dr 0.43mi 4/2.0 2,501 (+4%) 2mo $319,999 $128 72
340 Willow Ridge Cv 0.39mi 4/3.0 2,482 (+3%) 2mo $356,900 $144 71
304 Fairway Cv 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,359 (-2%) 0mo $455,000 $193 69
156 Woodlands Glen Cir 0.52mi 4/3.0 2,432 (+1%) 1mo $380,000 $156 69
232 Greensview Dr 0.48mi 4/3.5 2,556 (+6%) 4mo $419,900 $164 58
300 Cypress Creek Rd 0.59mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,508 (+4%) 1mo $375,000 $150 58
323 Woodlands Dr 0.34mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,717 (+13%) 0mo $369,000 $136 53
214 Dominion Pkwy 0.67mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,581 (+7%) 2mo $244,000 $95 48
162 Apple Blossom Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,056 (-14%) 7mo $319,900 $156 36
518 Castlewoods Blvd 0.72mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,060 (-14%) 4mo $384,900 $187 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-52,999
Equity at exit
$49,055
10-year hold
IRR
-8.1%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-46,753
Equity at exit
$28,446

Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39047

Home prices YoY
-32.6%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
440
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,610 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,725
Tax from tax record
$189 /mo · $2,263/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$548
Net cashflow
$11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,596
Max offer price $329,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $197 -5% $104 +0% $11 +5% $-83 +10% $-176
Rent -10% $-196 -5% $-93 +0% $11 +5% $114 +10% $217
Rate -1.0pp $176 -0.5pp $94 base $11 +0.5pp $-75 +1.0pp $-161

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,250
Closing costs
$9,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
108 Cypress Ridge Dr Brandon, MS 3.0 2.0 1911 $2,206 $1.15 45d 1 0.56mi
917 Willow Grande Cir Brandon, MS 4.0 2.0 1823 $2,400 $1.32 15d 1 0.83mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $329,000 Pending 298 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $329,000 Active 298 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $329,000 Active 297 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $329,000 Active 296 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $329,000 Active 294 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $329,000 Active 293 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $329,000 Active 291 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $329,000 Active 290 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $329,000 Active 289 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $329,000 Active 288 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $329,000 Active 284 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    status $329,000 Active 283 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $329,000 Active Under Contract 283 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $329,000 Active Under Contract 282 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $329,000 Active Under Contract 281 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $329,000 Active Under Contract 280 DOM
  17. 2026-02-02
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2026-01-27
    status Active
  19. 2025-10-24
    historical
  20. 2025-09-09
    price $329,000
  21. 2025-07-02
    price $334,000
  22. 2025-05-20
    listed $345,000 Active
  23. 2017-08-10
    soldstatus 1017-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1017 chars)

    Looking for that Front Porch living with lots of Southern Charm? Look no further, that this one in Castlewoods. Step inside and you will find both a formal dining room and a formal living room. The formal living room is currently being used as an office. Keep walking and you will enter the family room/den with gas log fireplace and lots of room for entertaining. Kitchen with granite tiles, double oven range, lots of cabinet space and so much more. Great breakfast bar and eat in kitchen nook as well. This split plan offers a large master bedroom, master bath with double sinks, separate tub and shower and a very nice sized closet. Just off the family room you will find 3 guest bedrooms with a shared bathroom as well. Outside there is a great deck with an arbor covering it, and a a slab patio too. 2 car garage, shed with power ran to it , a double gate and extra parking slab in backyard too. Need to know more? This one is fence and also has a back up generator as well. Don't wait, call your Realtor today.

  24. 2017-04-28
    listed $242,800 1017-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1017 chars)

    Looking for that Front Porch living with lots of Southern Charm? Look no further, that this one in Castlewoods. Step inside and you will find both a formal dining room and a formal living room. The formal living room is currently being used as an office. Keep walking and you will enter the family room/den with gas log fireplace and lots of room for entertaining. Kitchen with granite tiles, double oven range, lots of cabinet space and so much more. Great breakfast bar and eat in kitchen nook as well. This split plan offers a large master bedroom, master bath with double sinks, separate tub and shower and a very nice sized closet. Just off the family room you will find 3 guest bedrooms with a shared bathroom as well. Outside there is a great deck with an arbor covering it, and a a slab patio too. 2 car garage, shed with power ran to it , a double gate and extra parking slab in backyard too. Need to know more? This one is fence and also has a back up generator as well. Don't wait, call your Realtor today.

  25. 2006-08-30
    soldstatus
  26. 2006-08-25
    soldstatus 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Beautiful one story home with new Architectural roof.Italian marble in Foyer.Formal LR/Office,Dining Room and spacious Great Room with Mahogany floors-Kitchen w/antiqued cabinets,Granite counters and Travertine edging/backsplash opens to breakfast area w/Brick floors.4BR/2Ba split plan w/ 9'&10' ceilings.Master Br w/new carpet-mstr BA w/whirlpool and sep. shower,split vanities and walk-in Cedar closet.Covered patio and deck w/Tiki bar and fully fenced backyard.

  27. 2006-07-12
    listed $233,000 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Beautiful one story home with new Architectural roof.Italian marble in Foyer.Formal LR/Office,Dining Room and spacious Great Room with Mahogany floors-Kitchen w/antiqued cabinets,Granite counters and Travertine edging/backsplash opens to breakfast area w/Brick floors.4BR/2Ba split plan w/ 9'&10' ceilings.Master Br w/new carpet-mstr BA w/whirlpool and sep. shower,split vanities and walk-in Cedar closet.Covered patio and deck w/Tiki bar and fully fenced backyard.

  28. 2006-06-29
    historical
  29. 2006-03-21
    listed $244,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,263 · $189/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,599 · $217/mo
Expected delta
+$336/yr (+$28/mo · 14.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,315
− Mortgage interest
−$18,429
− Property taxes
−$2,263
− Insurance
−$1,645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,505
− Management
−$2,505
− Depreciation
−$9,571
Taxable loss
−$5,604
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,345
After-tax cash flow
$1,472/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rankin County School District
NCES district ID
2803830
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$61,867
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2587
State rank
#6 of 130 in MS

Livability — Flowood

Score
77/100
State rank
#10
US rank
#3075

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Rankin County · 123,614 people
City population
9,222
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
40,808
Household income
$100,347
Rent vs Own
14.7% rent · 85.3% own
Severe rent burden
551.0

Population outlook (Rankin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,317 people
By 2030
171,013 · +4.1%
By 2040
182,723 · +11.2%
By 2050
192,376 · +17.1%
By 2075
209,535 · +27.5%
By 2100
209,534 · +27.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rankin

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+6.4pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.1 2020: R+45.4 2016: R+52.9 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+53.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.01%
Current HPI
162.9709
Rent YoY
▲ 2.90%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+34.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Contingent MLSU
  • 2026-01-27 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-10-24 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-09-09 Price Changed $329,000 MLSU
  • 2025-07-02 Price Changed $334,000 MLSU
  • 2025-05-20 Listed $345,000 MLSU
  • 2017-08-10 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2017-04-28 Listed $242,800 MLSU
  • 2006-08-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-08-25 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2006-07-12 Listed $233,000 MLSU
  • 2006-06-29 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2006-03-21 Listed $244,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,263 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…