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1501 Golden Dr
B Composite 74.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

1501 Golden Dr · Bellefontaine Neighbors, MO 63137
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1955 6,446 sqft lot $101/sqft · 21% below area Est $101k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home located in a quiet and convenient St. Louis neighborhood. With approximately 792 square feet of living space, this residence features a functional layout perfect for first-time homebuyers or investors. Enjoy a bright living area, practical kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms. The property includes a backyard ideal for outdoor activities or gardening, and a full basement providing extra storage or future finishing potential. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways, this home combines comfort with accessibility. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with solid potential!

Key facts

  • Backyard
  • Full basement
  • Convenient location

Tags

BACKYARDFULL BASEMENTQUIET NEIGHBORHOODCONVENIENT LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 9.5% in Bellefontaine Neighbors — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#592 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,709 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
12.69%
Cash-on-cash
22.85%
DSCR
2.02
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$100,768
List price
$79,900
Delta
-20.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1237 Kilgore Dr 0.26mi 2/1.0 792 (0%) 10mo $67,900 $86 80
10346 Ashbrook 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 792 (0%) 1mo $135,000 $170 65
1207 Bakewell 0.62mi 2/1.0 776 (-2%) 3mo $124,500 $160 65
10019 Lord Dr 0.62mi 2/1.0 795 (+0%) 7mo $37,999 $48 65
1227 Bliss Dr 0.64mi 2/1.0 792 (0%) 9mo $74,900 $95 63
10117 Royal Dr 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+9%) 1mo $35,000 $41 58
10417 Duke Dr 0.71mi 2/1.0 770 (-3%) 7mo $35,000 $45 56
10348 Earl Dr 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 770 (-3%) 4mo $35,000 $45 55
9712 Griffin Dr 0.62mi 2/1.0 850 (+7%) 6mo $119,900 $141 54
10117 Duke Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+9%) 4mo $119,900 $139 53
1132 Kilgore Dr 0.45mi 3/1.5 (+1) 864 (+9%) 7mo $115,000 $133 51
9632 Cutler Dr 0.66mi 2/1.0 850 (+7%) 9mo $52,360 $62 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$18,972
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
30.6%
Equity multiple
4.25×
Total profit
$72,601
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63137

Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
201
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,270 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,503/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$426

Break-even live

Break-even rent $731
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1520 Attica Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1062 $1,200 $1.13 24d 1 0.19mi
1255 Bosworth Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1071 $1,575 $1.47 10d 1 0.32mi
10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1016 $900 $0.89 44d 1 0.43mi
10113 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 770 $1,325 $1.72 44d 1 0.47mi
1253 Avant Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 795 $1,295 $1.63 15d 1 0.50mi
1253 Avant Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 795 $1,295 $1.63 18d 1 0.50mi
10200 Tappan Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,450 $1.59 16d 1 0.52mi
10421 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,275 $1.25 24d 1 0.61mi
10112 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 7d 1 0.63mi
2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,050 $0.99 24d 1 0.63mi
1230 Roxton Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,400 $1.54 22d 1 0.64mi
10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 882 $775 $0.88 44d 1 0.65mi
2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 975 $1,320 $1.35 24d 1 0.65mi
1115 Bakewell Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 916 $1,300 $1.42 44d 1 0.67mi
10404 Earl Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 770 $1,100 $1.43 4d 1 0.68mi
10367 Coburg Lands Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,270 $1.39 44d 1 0.70mi
1130 Forest Home Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,275 $1.24 44d 1 0.71mi
9723 Portage Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,450 $1.43 7d 1 0.72mi
10365 Lord Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,075 $1.24 2d 1 0.73mi
9744 Lanier Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,345 $1.33 44d 1 0.74mi
10557 Castle Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,300 $1.27 15d 1 0.77mi
1009 Bliss Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,400 $1.54 44d 1 0.79mi
10409 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,100 $1.21 22d 1 0.80mi
10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,728 $1.61 24d 1 0.82mi
1208 Rapid Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 992 $1,375 $1.39 4d 1 0.86mi
10512 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 888 $1,195 $1.35 15d 1 0.88mi
10508 Druid Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1122 $1,475 $1.31 16d 1 0.89mi
10504 Baron Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 7d 1 0.91mi
13061 Lord Dr St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,040 $1.16 22d 1 0.92mi
10203 Trio Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,435 $1.57 16d 1 0.99mi
815 Bella Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,275 $1.48 44d 1 1.12mi
10066 Dorothy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 916 $1,225 $1.34 22d 1 1.15mi
2152 Nemnich Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.5 1030 $1,100 $1.07 44d 1 1.18mi
10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 912 $1,250 $1.37 24d 1 1.21mi
9924 Gloucester Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 992 $1,565 $1.58 10d 1 1.27mi
9943 Lilac Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1086 $1,000 $0.92 44d 1 1.28mi
623 Ludlow Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 840 $1,199 $1.43 24d 1 1.28mi
10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 24d 1 1.35mi
10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 44d 1 1.35mi
9811 Lilac Dr Unit I St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 705 $799 $1.13 44d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 80 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-05-01
    price $84,900 680-char remark
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home located in a quiet and convenient St. Louis neighborhood. With approximately 792 square feet of living space, this residence features a functional layout perfect for first-time homebuyers or investors. Enjoy a bright living area, practical kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms. The property includes a backyard ideal for outdoor activities or gardening, and a full basement providing extra storage or future finishing potential. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways, this home combines comfort with accessibility. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with solid potential!

  16. 2026-04-16
    price $89,900 680-char remark
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home located in a quiet and convenient St. Louis neighborhood. With approximately 792 square feet of living space, this residence features a functional layout perfect for first-time homebuyers or investors. Enjoy a bright living area, practical kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms. The property includes a backyard ideal for outdoor activities or gardening, and a full basement providing extra storage or future finishing potential. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways, this home combines comfort with accessibility. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with solid potential!

  17. 2026-03-19
    listed $94,900 Active 680-char remark
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home located in a quiet and convenient St. Louis neighborhood. With approximately 792 square feet of living space, this residence features a functional layout perfect for first-time homebuyers or investors. Enjoy a bright living area, practical kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms. The property includes a backyard ideal for outdoor activities or gardening, and a full basement providing extra storage or future finishing potential. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways, this home combines comfort with accessibility. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with solid potential!

  18. 2018-01-05
    soldstatus $1,067,500
  19. 2016-09-30
    price $35,900
  20. 2016-07-29
    price $36,900
  21. 2013-12-19
    soldstatus
  22. 2013-10-21
    listed $16,500
  23. 1996-09-10
    soldstatus $53,900
  24. 1959-12-18
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,503 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,503 · $125/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,243
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,503
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,219
− Management
−$1,219
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$4,102
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$984
After-tax cash flow
$4,127/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Riverview Gardens
NCES district ID
2926670
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$32,759
Composite
4.22/100
National rank
#10058
State rank
#324 of 324 in MO

Livability — Bellefontaine Neighbors

Score
58/100
State rank
#592
US rank
#20944

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellefontaine Neighbors, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
19,684
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
19,684
Household income
$43,422
Rent vs Own
52.2% rent · 47.8% own
Severe rent burden
1863.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 82% White 13% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.70%
Current HPI
130.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 6.59%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+57.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $84,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $94,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $1,067,500 Public Records
  • 2016-09-30 Price Changed $35,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-29 Price Changed $36,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-12-19 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-21 Listed $16,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $53,900 Public Records
  • 1959-12-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+11.2%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,503 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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