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27 Pine Arbor Ln #205
D+ Composite 45.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$108,500

27 Pine Arbor Ln #205 · Florida Ridge, FL 32962
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 750 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1977 Est $112k · at est. $496/mo HOA · 33% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Vista Royale, Well Kept Turnkey 1 Bed 1.5 Bath, Second Floor. Many Recent Updates Including AC and Water Heater. Fully Furnished, bring your toothbrush. Close to Pine Arbor Club House. Active 55+ Community with Four Clubhouses with Heated Pools, many amenities. Close to Beach and Much More.

Key facts

  • Heated pools
  • Recent updates
  • Four clubhouses

Tags

RECENT UPDATESFOUR CLUBHOUSESHEATED POOLSCLOSE TO BEACH

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association with monthly fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, heated pool, spa/hot tub, fitness center, billiard room, laundry, pool, shuffleboard, pickleball, putting green, golf course, recreation facilities, cafe/restaurant, storage, manager on site, internet included, maintained community, and common area maintenance; Association fee: $496 monthly; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned open parking (1 space total)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry level: 2; Faces west; Resale condition
  • Construction: Block/CBS construction with stucco; Concrete perimeter foundation; Other roof
  • Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch; Glass-enclosed porch; East-of-US-1 frontage; Paved, public-maintained road access; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Electric range; Electric cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Furnished; Single hung metal and sliding windows
  • Laundry & utility: On-site laundry (association amenity)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-116 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $88k (18.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $108k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.5% in Florida Ridge — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#353 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, health & safety D-.
  • Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Vero Beach Elementary School (math 39% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,596 of 2,144 statewide, top 75%, 599 students, 80% FRL); Oslo Middle School (math 39% / reading 45%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 864 students, 72% FRL); Vero Beach High School (math 28% / reading 43%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 2,847 students, 50% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $750 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 33% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,970 (18.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.97%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$111,750
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
44 Woodland Dr #103 0.28mi 1/1.5 750 (0%) 14mo $117,000 $156 74
58 Woodland Dr #105 0.44mi 1/1.5 750 (0%) 17mo $85,000 $113 64
55 Woodland Dr #105 0.37mi 1/1.5 750 (0%) 22mo $112,000 $149 62
91 Crooked Tree Ln #205 0.63mi 1/1.5 750 (0%) 14mo $110,000 $147 57
97 Spring Lake Dr #105 0.71mi 1/1.5 750 (0%) 15mo $103,000 $137 53
78 Royal Oak Dr #205 0.61mi 1/1.5 750 (0%) 23mo $115,000 $153 50
111 Spring Lake Ct #105 0.72mi 1/1.5 750 (0%) 18mo $141,000 $188 49
608 3rd Pl SW 0.67mi 2/1.0 (+1) 780 (+4%) 7mo $210,000 $269 47
106 Spring Lake Ct #105 0.73mi 1/1.5 750 (0%) 22mo $107,000 $143 46
98 Spring Lake Dr #203 0.72mi 1/1.5 747 (-0%) 22mo $98,000 $131 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.2%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-22,830
Equity at exit
$16,178
10-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-20,409
Equity at exit
$9,381

Cash invested: $30,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32962

Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
348
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,494 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$569
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,441/yr
Insurance
$45
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$496
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$-116

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,641
Max offer price $87,970
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,125
Closing costs
$3,255
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
28 Pine Arbor Ln #103 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.5 750 $1,200 $1.60 20d 1 0.04mi
37 Pine Arbor Ln #101 Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 13d 1 0.14mi
36 Pine Arbor Ln Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 20d 2 0.15mi
19 Pine Arbor Ln #105 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.5 750 $1,800 $2.40 20d 1 0.17mi
16 Vista Palm Ln Vero Beach, FL 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 20d 2 0.24mi
5 Vista Palm Ln #203 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.5 750 $1,500 $2.00 13d 1 0.24mi
50 Woodland Dr #203 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.5 750 $1,350 $1.80 13d 1 0.41mi
58 Woodland Dr #206 Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 13d 1 0.43mi
52 Woodland Dr #204 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 630 $1,300 $2.06 20d 1 0.44mi
65 Woodland Dr #207 Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 20d 1 0.47mi
60 Woodland Dr Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 630 $1,125 $1.79 20d 1 0.47mi
60 Woodland Dr #204 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 630 $1,250 $1.98 13d 1 0.48mi
86 Crooked Tree Ln #102 Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 13d 1 0.58mi
85 Crooked Tree Ln #203 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.5 750 $1,450 $1.93 20d 1 0.61mi
80 Crooked Tree Ln #106 Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 13d 1 0.61mi
74 Royal Oak Ct #204 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 630 $1,175 $1.87 20d 1 0.61mi
103 Royal Oak Dr #106 Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 13d 1 0.71mi
101 Spring Lake Dr #204 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 630 $1,275 $2.02 20d 1 0.73mi
95 Spring Lake Dr #103 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.5 750 $1,600 $2.13 20d 1 0.74mi
102 Royal Oak Dr #105 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.5 750 $1,550 $2.07 20d 1 0.76mi
15 Vista Gardens Trl #104 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 630 $1,300 $2.06 13d 1 1.00mi
43 Vista Gardens Trl #205 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.5 750 $1,450 $1.93 20d 1 1.16mi
23 Vista Gardens Trl #203 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.5 750 $1,500 $2.00 20d 1 1.17mi
26 Vista Gardens Trl #203 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.5 750 $1,350 $1.80 20d 1 1.25mi
33 Vista Gardens Trl #104 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 630 $1,500 $2.38 13d 1 1.29mi
36 Vista Gardens Trl #201 Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,390 $1.39 20d 1 1.30mi
34 Vista Gardens Trl #107 Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 20d 1 1.30mi
28 Vista Gardens Trl #102 Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 20d 1 1.30mi
35 Vista Gardens Trl #205 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.5 934 $1,400 $1.50 20d 1 1.32mi
11 Vista Gardens Trl #106 Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 20d 1 1.34mi
4 Vista Gardens Trl #207 Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 13d 1 1.34mi
528 7th Sq #102 Vero Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1095 $3,000 $2.74 20d 1 1.45mi
441 7th Pl #441 Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $1,250 $2.27 20d 1 1.47mi
462 7th Pl Vero Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $1,400 $2.55 20d 1 1.50mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$496 · $5,952/yr
Likely covers
waterpool

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $108,500 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $108,500 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $108,500 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $108,500 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $108,500 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $108,500 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $108,500 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $108,500 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $108,500 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $108,500 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $108,500 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $108,500 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    price $108,500 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,500 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,500 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,500 Active 58 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $114,500 Active 57 DOM
  18. 2026-04-03
    listed $114,500 Active 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Vista Royale, Well Kept Turnkey 1 Bed 1.5 Bath, Second Floor. Many Recent Updates Including AC and Water Heater. Fully Furnished, bring your toothbrush. Close to Pine Arbor Club House. Active 55+ Community with Four Clubhouses with Heated Pools, many amenities. Close to Beach and Much More.

  19. 2026-04-03
    listed $114,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Vista Royale, Well Kept Turnkey 1 Bed 1.5 Bath, Second Floor. Many Recent Updates Including AC and Water Heater. Fully Furnished, bring your toothbrush. Close to Pine Arbor Club House. Active 55+ Community with Four Clubhouses with Heated Pools, many amenities. Close to Beach and Much More.

  20. 2022-03-24
    soldstatus $95,000
  21. 2016-11-02
    soldstatus $55,000
  22. 2016-10-28
    soldstatus $55,000 397-char remark
    Show marketing remark (397 chars)

    Pack your bags & move right in. This location is great. .. just steps to one of the heated pools & tennis courts. Turnkey, well kept 1BR 1.5BA CORNER unit on 2nd floor. A/C, range & porch shades only 2 yrs old! Enjoy the Florida lifestyle year-round or "in season" at this active 55+ community w/ golf course, 4 heated pools, tennis, clubhouses and activities for all!

  23. 2008-12-31
    soldstatus $38,000
  24. 2006-08-25
    soldstatus $70,000
  25. 2003-05-30
    soldstatus $58,000
  26. 1980-04-01
    soldstatus $41,000
  27. 1977-08-01
    soldstatus $25,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,441 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,441 · $120/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,932
− Mortgage interest
−$6,078
− Property taxes
−$1,441
− Insurance
−$1,340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,435
− Management
−$1,435
− HOA
−$5,952
− Depreciation
−$3,156
Taxable loss
−$2,904
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$697
After-tax cash flow
$-698/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian River
NCES district ID
1200930
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,597
Composite
42.45/100
National rank
#3218
State rank
#35 of 73 in FL

Livability — Florida Ridge

Score
72/100
State rank
#353
US rank
#6129

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florida Ridge, FL
County
Indian River County · 143,738 people
City population
25,629
Metro
Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
25,522
Household income
$66,664
Rent vs Own
20.3% rent · 79.7% own
Severe rent burden
425.0

Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
165,104 people
By 2030
172,869 · +4.7%
By 2040
185,640 · +12.4%
By 2050
194,465 · +17.8%
By 2075
211,115 · +27.9%
By 2100
211,781 · +28.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Indian River

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -182.13%
Current HPI
333.3274
Rent YoY
▲ 4.18%
Metro
Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+342.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $114,500 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $114,500 RAIRCMLS
  • 2022-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2016-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2016-10-28 Sold (MLS) $55,000 RAIRCMLS
  • 2008-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 2006-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2003-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 1980-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
  • 1977-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,441 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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