270 N Clark Rd #41 · Show Low, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.5
$65,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 1-bedroom, 1-bath residence is located in Venture In, nestled in the White Mountains. The residence offers a well-sized kitchen and comes fully furnished. Updated in Summer 2025, the interior and exterior were painted and Jamestown Hickory waterproof luxury vinyl plank flooring was installed throughout. The bathroom features a step-in shower, new toilet, and updated faucets, along with new faucets in the kitchen sink.
Key facts
- Well-sized kitchen
- Screened-in porch
- Utility room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $66k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $66k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 3.2% in Show Low — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#90 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Show Low Unified District (4393) (rural): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #89 of 249 in AZ (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Nikolaus Homestead Elementary School (math 40% / reading 44%, grade F, #371 of 1,109 statewide, top 34%, 389 students, 42% FRL); Show Low Junior High School (math 29% / reading 34%, grade F, #78 of 218 statewide, top 36%, 587 students, 45% FRL); Show Low High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #120 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 877 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1067 active listings in the ZIP; 485 units permitted in Navajo County in 2024 (11 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Navajo County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.59%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,900
- List price
- $65,900
- Delta
- -30.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 N Clark Rd #142 | 0.15mi | 1/1.0 | 399 (-8%) | 13mo | $49,000 | $123 | 69 |
| 270 N Clark Rd Unit Venture In 160 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 450 (+4%) | 27mo | $87,000 | $193 | 60 |
| 1100 N 43Rd Loop | 0.80mi | 1/1.0 | 500 (+16%) | 1mo | $94,900 | $190 | 39 |
| 680 N 41St Dr | 0.55mi | 1/1.0 | 480 (+11%) | 51mo | $150,000 | $313 | 36 |
| 4650 W Cottage Loop | 1.31mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (+30%) | 48mo | $269,000 | $480 | 20 |
| 2221 W Rogers Dr | 0.95mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 551 (+28%) | 50mo | $110,000 | $200 | 15 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $11,462
- Equity at exit
- $9,826
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $38,533
- Equity at exit
- $5,698
Cash invested: $18,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 0 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 0.0 mo
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 85901
- Home prices YoY
- -14.5%
- Active inventory
- 1067
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,016 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$346
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$82 /mo · $988/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $347
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $393 | -5% $370 | +0% $347 | +5% $325 | +10% $302 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $267 | -5% $307 | +0% $347 | +5% $388 | +10% $428 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $381 | -0.5pp $364 | base $347 | +0.5pp $330 | +1.0pp $313 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,475
- Closing costs
- $1,977
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $65,900 Active 185 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $65,900 Active 184 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $65,900 Active 183 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $65,900 Active 182 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $65,900 Active 181 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $65,900 Active 180 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $65,900 Active 177 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $65,900 Active 176 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $65,900 Active 175 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $65,900 Active 173 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $65,900 Active 171 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $65,900 Active 170 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $65,900 Active 169 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $65,900 Active 168 DOM
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2026-07-21pricedays on market $65,900 Active 167 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $68,900 Active 164 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $68,900 Active 162 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $68,900 Active 161 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $68,900 Active 160 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $68,900 Active 159 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $68,900 Active 158 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $68,900 Active 157 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $68,900 Active 156 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $68,900 Active 155 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $68,900 Active 154 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $68,900 Active 153 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $68,900 Active 152 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $68,900 Active 151 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $68,900 Active 150 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $68,900 Active 149 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $68,900 Active 148 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $68,900 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $68,900 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $68,900 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $68,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $68,900 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $68,900 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $68,900 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $68,900 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $68,900 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $68,900 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $68,900 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $68,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $68,900 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $68,900 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $68,900 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $68,900 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $68,900 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $68,900 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $68,900 Active 122 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,195
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,691
- − Property taxes
- −$988
- − Insurance
- −$330
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$976
- − Management
- −$976
- − Depreciation
- −$1,917
- Taxable income
- $3,317
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$796
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,373/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 1-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home in Venture In, White Mountains, is in good condition with recent updates and a good curb appeal. It's move-in ready with minor maintenance items to keep it in top shape.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior annually — Maintains curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Rental Replace HVAC filter quarterly — Keeps the home comfortable and energy-efficient, attracting tenants. ↑
- Both Install smart thermostat — Improves energy efficiency and comfort, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Add smart locks — Enhances security and convenience, attracting buyers and tenants. ↑
- Both Install energy-efficient windows — Reduces energy costs and enhances comfort, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Show Low Unified District (4393)
- NCES district ID
- 0407700
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,240
- Composite
- 29.9/100
- National rank
- #6387
- State rank
- #89 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Show Low
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #13573
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Show Low, AZ
- County
- Navajo · 105,760 people
- City population
- 18,821
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,821
- Household income
- $60,313
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Navajo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,760 people
- By 2030
- 103,301 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 97,070 · -8.2%
- By 2050
- 88,850 · -16.0%
- By 2075
- 65,180 · -38.4%
- By 2100
- 37,281 · -64.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Navajo
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.2) · D 40.9% · R 58.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.5pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -17.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+7.9 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.52%
- Current HPI
- 386.3007
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-5.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $68,900 WMMLS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $73,000 WMMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…